Try the model
GRAM

Grambling 0 at Houston 45

HOU
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · TDECU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadGRAM aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreGRAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:08 · Tyce Fusilier run for 1 yd to the Gramb 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. PUNT · Q1 3:54: Laine Wilkins punt for 55 yds, downed at the Gramb 25 — GRAM win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q1 0:15: Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:23: Alton McCaskill run for 17 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:11: Ike Ogbogu pass incomplete — HOU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:54: Alton McCaskill run for 34 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6GRAM made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 12:20HOU 4th & 13 at GRAM 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09GRAM 4th & 7 at GRAM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:43GRAM 4th & 7 at HOU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:17GRAM 4th & 6 at GRAM 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:37HOU 4th & 4 at HOU 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:40GRAM 4th & 7 at GRAM 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:26GRAM 4th & 24 at GRAM 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:23HOU 4th & 1 at GRAM 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:40GRAM 4th & 1 at GRAM 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:24HOU 4th & 8 at HOU 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:11GRAM 4th & 9 at HOU 44, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:53GRAM 4th & 18 at GRAM 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:33GRAM 4th & 3 at GRAM 26, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:09GRAM 4th & 3 at GRAM 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:48GRAM 4th & 4 at GRAM 22, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:10HOU 4th & 4 at GRAM 4, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:52GRAM 4th & 6 at GRAM 29, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:08HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 42, up 45
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 0:15HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:23HOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:54HOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:01HOU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:03HOU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:3599% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 17 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 11 yds to the Gramb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 17 yds to the Gramb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
99.2%
Clayton Tune run for a loss of 4 yards to the Gramb 29Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+6
99.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 6 yds to the Gramb 23Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-5
99.2%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 28Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 13
OPP 28
0
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+46
99.0%
Dalton Witherspoon 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.0%
CJ Russell run for 1 yd to the Gramb 29Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
99.0%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+2
99.0%
CJ Russell run for 2 yds to the Gramb 31Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Garrett Urban punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.9%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
98.9%
Clayton Tune sacked by Jaden Hardy for 0 yards to the Houst 39Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted return for no gain to the Gramb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:121% → 1%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
98.8%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Casey Warming for 6 yds to the Gramb 49Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
98.8%
Aldon Clark run for 6 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
98.8%
Aldon Clark run for 1 yd to the Houst 44Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+2
98.8%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Kobe Ross for 2 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
98.6%
Garrett Urban punt for 37 yds, downed at the Houst 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:4999% → 98%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
98.6%
Alton McCaskill run for 6 yds to the Houst 11Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+17
98.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 17 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
98.6%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+13
98.6%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 13 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
98.6%
MCCASKILL, Alton rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the HOU50 (MARTIN, Devanir). PENALTY HOU Holding on FREEMAN, Jack enforced 10 yards from the HOU45 to the HOU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 34
OWN 21
0
98.6%
Ike Ogbogu sacked by Javon Carter and Blake Thomas for 0 yards to the Houst 13Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 42
OWN 13
+7
98.6%
Alton McCaskill run for 7 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 35
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Laine Wilkins punt for 55 yds, downed at the Gramb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:332% → 2%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.1%
Aldon Clark run for 15 yds to the Gramb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.1%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
98.1%
Darqueze Brutton run for 2 yds to the Gramb 42Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+5
97.8%
Aldon Clark run for 5 yds to the Gramb 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:0698% → 98%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
98.0%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 13 yds to the Gramb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
98.1%
OGBOGU, Ike pass to the right incomplete intended for HERSLOW, Jake thrown to the GSU8. PENALTY GSU Offsides on HARDY, Jaden enforced 5 yards from the GSU34 to the GSU29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 5
OPP 29
0
98.1%
Ike Ogbogu pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+11
98.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 11 yds to the Gramb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
98.1%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Christian Trahan for a loss of 3 yards to the Gramb 21Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+5
97.8%
Ike Ogbogu run for 5 yds to the Gramb 16Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
98.1%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:432% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
98.0%
Greg White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 12
0
98.0%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+5
98.0%
CJ Russell run for 5 yds to the Gramb 17Similar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+41
98.0%
Garrett Urban punt for 31 yds for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4098% → 98%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
98.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 9 yds to the Gramb 49Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 1
OPP 49
-10
98.0%
MCCASKILL, Alton rush up the middle for a gain of 24 yards to the GSU25 (FIELDS, Ryan). PENALTY HOU Holding on RUSSEY, Kody enforced 10 yards from the GSU49 to the HOU41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+7
98.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 7 yds to the Houst 48Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
98.0%
Ike Ogbogu pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
97.7%
Laine Wilkins punt for 44 yds, downed at the Gramb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 10PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:572% → 2%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
97.7%
CJ Russell run for 2 yds to the Gramb 10Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+3
97.7%
CJ Russell run for 3 yds to the Gramb 13Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 5
OWN 13
-2
97.8%
Darqueze Brutton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 11Similar
Q2 10:40
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+48
98.0%
Garrett Urban punt for 37 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 48 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:142% → 2%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Jones) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Aldon Clark sacked by Latrell Bankston for 0 yards to the Houst 42Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 14
OPP 42
0
98.0%
Aldon Clark sacked by David Anenih for 0 yards to the Gramb 48Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 24
OWN 48
+5
97.8%
Garrett Urban punt for 37 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 5 yds to the Houst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:4098% → 99%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
97.8%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Houst 21Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
98.0%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to KeSean Carter for 10 yds to the Houst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
98.0%
Chandler Smith run for 6 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+37
98.0%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 37 yds to the Gramb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
98.1%
Chandler Smith run for 5 yds to the Gramb 21Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+2
98.1%
Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the Gramb 19Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
98.0%
Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the Gramb 17Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+17
99.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 17 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:431% → 1%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Darqueze Brutton run for no gain to the Gramb 25Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
Aldon Clark run for 4 yds to the Gramb 29Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.9%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Darqueze Brutton for 5 yds to the Gramb 34Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.9%
Garrett Urban punt for 50 yds, downed at the Houst 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1699% → 99%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
99.2%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 8 yards to the Houst 8Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 18
OWN 8
0
99.1%
Ike Ogbogu pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 18
OWN 8
+10
99.1%
Ike Ogbogu run for 10 yds to the Houst 18Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
99.0%
Laine Wilkins punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.8%
Aldon Clark run for 2 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-1
98.8%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Donald Johnson III for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 44Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 9
OPP 44
+14
98.8%
Garrett Urban punt for 29 yds GRAMBLING Penalty, Kick Catch Interference on WHITMER-TORRES, Micah enforced at the deadball spot for (-15 Yards) to the Houst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:1199% → 99%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Ike Ogbogu pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Ike Ogbogu sacked by Jaylon Turner for 0 yards to the Houst 22Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 22
+3
99.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:071% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
CJ Russell run for 2 yds to the Gramb 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.8%
Aldon Clark sacked by David Anenih and Derek Parish for 0 yards to the Gramb 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-3
98.9%
CJ Russell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Gramb 17Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+2
98.9%
Garrett Urban punt for 33 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 2 yds to the Gramb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 0:5999% → 100%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 6 yds to the Gramb 42Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
99.1%
Ike Ogbogu pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+8
99.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 8 yds to the Gramb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.8%
Alton McCaskill run for 34 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
Darqueze Brutton run for 1 yd to the Gramb 20Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+6
99.8%
Darqueze Brutton run for 6 yds to the Gramb 26Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Garrett Urban punt for 30 yds, downed at the Houst 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:32100% → 100%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
99.8%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 43Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+16
99.8%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Peyton Sawyer for 16 yds to the Gramb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the Gramb 36Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
99.8%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 4 yds to the Gramb 32Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+15
99.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 15 yds to the Gramb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
99.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the Gramb 10Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 10 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Darqueze Brutton run for 2 yds to the Gramb 27Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Darqueze Brutton run for 4 yds to the Gramb 31Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Darqueze Brutton run for 1 yd to the Gramb 32Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Garrett Urban punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Offsides (Blake Thomas) to the Gramb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
99.9%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 23 yds to the Gramb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Gramb 21Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+10
99.9%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Face mask (10 yards) (Toddrick Paul) to the Gramb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Gramb 1Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.9%
CJ Russell run for 3 yds to the Gramb 19Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-1
99.9%
CJ Russell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 18Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+4
100.0%
CJ Russell run for 4 yds to the Gramb 22Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
Garrett Urban punt for 49 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 5 yds to the Houst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 8:38100% → 100%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 33Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 1 yd to the Houst 34Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+27
99.9%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Jake Herslow for 27 yds to the Gramb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the Gramb 37Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Gramb 36Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+9
99.9%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Jake Herslow for 9 yds to the Gramb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Gramb 27Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 8 yds to the Gramb 19Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+11
99.9%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Jake Herslow for 11 yds to the Gramb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the Gramb 6Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the Gramb 4Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
OGBOGU, Ike pass up the middle incomplete intended for CREAMER, Shane thrown to the GSU5. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on DARLING, Josh enforced at the spot of the foul for 2 yards to the GSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 4Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Ike Ogbogu pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Ike Ogbogu pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
100.0%
Dalton Witherspoon 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Darqueze Brutton run for 4 yds to the Gramb 29Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
John-Paul Pierce run for 1 yd to the Gramb 30Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
100.0%
John-Paul Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 29Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Garrett Urban punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Ike Ogbogu pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
Jamel Starks run for 6 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-2
100.0%
Holman Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 42 fumbled, recovered by Houst Jamel StarksSimilar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Laine Wilkins punt for 48 yds, downed at the Gramb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
100.0%
Tyce Fusilier run for 1 yd to the Gramb 11Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+4
100.0%
Tyce Fusilier run for 4 yds to the Gramb 15Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+1
100.0%
Tyce Fusilier run for 1 yd to the Gramb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:23
Alton McCaskill run for 17 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q3 11:54
Alton McCaskill run for 34 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
+0.7
PUNT · Q1 3:54
Laine Wilkins punt for 55 yds, downed at the Gramb 25
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com