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BCU

Bethune-Cookman 14 at UCF 63

UCF
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadBCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreBCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Quadry Jones run for 5 yds to the BthCk 10 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:37: Darryl Powell Jr. 15 Yd pass from Shannon Patrick (Dylan Moghaddam Kick) — BCU win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: BCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:08: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 22 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK) — UCF win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:37: Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK) — UCF win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:28: Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK) — UCF win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:40: Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK) — UCF win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:12BCU 4th & 1 at UCF 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:32UCF 4th & 12 at BCU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:00BCU 4th & 5 at BCU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:07UCF 4th & 8 at BCU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:52BCU 4th & 15 at BCU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:47UCF 4th & 10 at BCU 29, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:28BCU 4th & 10 at BCU 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:41BCU 4th & 10 at BCU 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:41BCU 4th & 3 at BCU 30, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:16UCF 4th & 5 at BCU 30, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:43BCU 4th & 6 at BCU 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:43UCF 4th & 2 at BCU 11, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:54BCU 4th & 6 at BCU 35, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 9 of 9BCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:42UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:37BCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:08UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:37UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:28UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:40UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:46UCF Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:17BCU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:30UCF Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:16UCF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:26UCF Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+19
99.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 19 yds to the BthCk 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
99.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 15 yds to the BthCk 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 17 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 2TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:051% → 1%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.3%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the BthCk 20Similar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.3%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Darryl Powell Jr. for 5 yds to the BthCk 25Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.3%
UCF Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BthCk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
99.3%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Darryl Powell Jr. for 13 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.3%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BthCk 48Similar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 15
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+16
99.3%
Que'shaun Byrd run for 16 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.3%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
99.3%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Darryl Powell Jr. for 11 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.3%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Darryl Powell Jr. for 3 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
99.3%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+6
99.1%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Kemari Averett for 6 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
99.1%
Shannon Patrick run for 2 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
99.1%
Que'shaun Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 15Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
99.1%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+15
98.8%
Darryl Powell Jr. 15 Yd pass from Shannon Patrick (Dylan Moghaddam Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:5599% → 99%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
98.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 12 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
98.9%
GABRIEL, Dillon scrambles to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the UCF39 (STUBBS, Devon). PENALTY Before the snap, BCU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UCF33 to the UCF38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+4
98.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 4 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+13
98.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 13 yds to the BthCk 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the BthCk 43Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-3
98.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 3 yards to the BthCk 46Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
98.9%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Tony Bowman for 0 yards to the BthCk 47Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
98.6%
Andrew Osteen punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:321% → 2%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Aaron Thompson run for no gain to the BthCk 12Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+5
98.6%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Jonathon Thomas for 5 yds to the BthCk 17Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
98.4%
Ben Lennon punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:5299% → 99%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
98.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 22 yds to the BthCk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
98.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the BthCk 34Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
98.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
98.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+12
98.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 12 yds to the BthCk 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
98.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 22 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 6INT
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:112% → 2%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
98.5%
UCF Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (17 Yards) to the BthCk 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
98.5%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Kemari Averett for 9 yds to the BthCk 41Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
98.4%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Daveno Ellington for 5 yds to the BthCk 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.3%
Que'shaun Byrd run for no gain to the BthCk 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
98.3%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+12
98.3%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Kemari Averett for 12 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.3%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
98.3%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Daveno Ellington for 4 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+9
98.3%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Jonathon Thomas for 9 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.2%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
97.9%
Shannon Patrick pass intercepted return for no gain to the UCF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:2098% → 99%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 7 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
98.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
98.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+7
98.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 7 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
98.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 23 yds to the BthCk 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
98.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the BthCk 29Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+10
98.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 10 yds to the BthCk 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
98.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 13 yds to the BthCk 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 5 yds to the BthCk 1Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:452% → 2%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.3%
Aaron Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BthCk 23Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-3
98.3%
Jimmie Robinson III run for a loss of 3 yards to the BthCk 20Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
98.3%
Ben Lennon punt for 34 yds, downed at the UCF 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:2498% → 99%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 7 yds to the BthCk 47Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+18
98.4%
Ryan O'Keefe run for 18 yds to the BthCk 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
98.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
98.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+28
98.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Amari Johnson for 28 yds to the BthCk 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:551% → 1%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.0%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Marcus Riley for 4 yds to the BthCk 14Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
99.0%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Marcus Riley for 2 yds to the BthCk 16Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+6
99.1%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Marcus Riley for 6 yds to the BthCk 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
99.0%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Marcus Riley for 13 yds to the BthCk 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.0%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Kemari Averett for 6 yds to the BthCk 41Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
99.0%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Daveno Ellington for 5 yds to the BthCk 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Que'shaun Byrd run for no gain to the BthCk 46Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+14
99.0%
Ben Lennon punt for 38 yds , Amari Johnson returns for 14 yds to the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 0:4899% → 100%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Amari Johnson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 5
50
+25
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 25 yds to the BthCk 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+16
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 16 yds to the BthCk 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Que'shaun Byrd run for 1 yd to the BthCk 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Marcus Riley for 5 yds to the BthCk 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
99.6%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Marcus Riley for 11 yds to the BthCk 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.8%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Que'shaun Byrd for 5 yds to the BthCk 46Similar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 5
OWN 46
-5
99.7%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the BthCk 41Similar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+12
99.8%
Ben Lennon punt for 42 yds , Amari Johnson returns for 12 yds to the UCF 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 17 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.8%
Johnny Richardson run for 10 yds to the BthCk 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel run for 44 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Que'shaun Byrd run for 6 yds to the BthCk 31Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.8%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Darryl Powell Jr. for 4 yds to the BthCk 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.8%
Aaron Thompson run for 1 yd to the BthCk 36Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+30
99.8%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Daveno Ellington for 30 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.8%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Daveno Ellington for 34 yds for a TD, (Dylan Moghaddam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+12
99.8%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 12 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.8%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 10 yds to the BthCk 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Mark-Antony Richards for 12 yds to the BthCk 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 3 yds to the BthCk 29Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+10
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Mark-Antony Richards for 10 yds to the BthCk 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
99.8%
Mark-Antony Richards run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 20Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+5
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 5 yds to the BthCk 15Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Trillion Coles for 15 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
99.9%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BthCk 18Similar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+9
99.9%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Jonathon Thomas for 9 yds to the BthCk 27Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Jonathon Thomas for 3 yds to the BthCk 30Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Ben Lennon punt for 40 yds , Titus Mokiao-Atimalala returns for 6 yds to the UCF 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 6 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+11
99.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Dionte Marks for 11 yds to the BthCk 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Dionte Marks for 9 yds to the BthCk 38Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the BthCk 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the BthCk 34Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 4 yds to the BthCk 30Similar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 30 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Shannon Patrick pass complete to Dylaan Lee for 4 yds to the BthCk 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Shannon Patrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+13
99.9%
Ben Lennon punt for 44 yds , Titus Mokiao-Atimalala returns for 13 yds to the UCF 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 8 yds to the BthCk 42Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 3 yds to the BthCk 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 5 yds to the BthCk 34Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+15
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 15 yds to the BthCk 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 5 yds to the BthCk 14Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 3 yds to the BthCk 11Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+7
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 7 yds to the BthCk 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:250% → 0%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
100.0%
Jimmie Robinson III run for 1 yd to the BthCk 15Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+3
100.0%
Jimmie Robinson III run for 3 yds to the BthCk 18Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+13
100.0%
Devin Black pass complete to Kameron Ingram for 13 yds to the BthCk 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Kameron Ingram run for no gain to the BthCk 31Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Devin Black pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Devin Black pass complete to Kameron Ingram for 4 yds to the BthCk 35Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+24
100.0%
Ben Lennon punt for 47 yds for a 1ST down , Titus Mokiao-Atimalala returns for 24 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22END OF GAME
11 plays · 81 yds · 6:54100% → 100%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
100.0%
Trillion Coles run for 7 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+14
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 14 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 3 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+19
99.9%
Trillion Coles run for 19 yds to the BthCk 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
100.0%
Quadry Jones pass complete to Stephen Martin for 14 yds to the BthCk 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
Anthony Williams run for 2 yds to the BthCk 32Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+6
100.0%
Anthony Williams run for 6 yds to the BthCk 26Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+3
100.0%
Anthony Williams run for 3 yds to the BthCk 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
100.0%
Anthony Williams run for 3 yds to the BthCk 20Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
100.0%
Anthony Williams run for 5 yds to the BthCk 15Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+5
100.0%
Quadry Jones run for 5 yds to the BthCk 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:28
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 0:40
Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 9:37
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com