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UCD

UC Davis 19 at Tulsa 17

TLSA
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2021 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadUCD aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreUCD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+0.6TLSA 87.4%Z.Long 41 yard field goal attempt isgood, Center-TSA, Holder-TSA.AWAY 7 - HOME 3 · Q1 2:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:08 · Z.Long 41 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TSA, Holder-TSA.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior+36.2Home team on offense−0.9Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:13: S.Anderson rushed to UCD End Zone for 1 yards. S.Anderson for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld. — TLSA win probability +4.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:04: I.Gomez 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-UCD, Holder-UCD. — UCD win probability +4.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:16: I.Gomez 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-UCD, Holder-UCD. — UCD win probability +6.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:51: D.Prince rushed to UCD End Zone for 59 yards. D.Prince for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TLSA win probability +12.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:37: I.Gomez 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-UCD, Holder-UCD. — UCD win probability +14.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UCD made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:37TLSA 4th & 11 at UCD 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:03TLSA 4th & 7 at UCD 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:45UCD 4th & 1 at UCD 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:08TLSA 4th & 12 at UCD 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:05UCD 4th & 5 at UCD 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:25TLSA 4th & 4 at UCD 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:24UCD 4th & 12 at UCD 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:11TLSA 4th & 3 at UCD 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    79.9%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:15UCD 4th & 17 at TLSA 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    16.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:23TLSA 4th & 8 at TLSA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:16UCD 4th & 4 at TLSA 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−9.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:50UCD 4th & 7 at UCD 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:09TLSA 4th & 24 at TLSA 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−4.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:18UCD 4th & 6 at TLSA 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−11.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:37UCD 4th & 5 at TLSA 5, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−16.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UCD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:17UCD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:13TLSA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:51TLSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCDDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:438% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.4%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 28.Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
92.3%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 28. Catch made by M.Castles at UCD 28. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 41.Similar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.2%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 42 for 1 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 42.Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+11
92.1%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 42. Catch made by C.Hutton at UCD 42. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 47.Similar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
92.0%
U.Gilliam rushed to TSA 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 44.Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
91.9%
H.Rodrigues steps back to pass. H.Rodrigues pass incomplete intended for C.Hutton.Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+14
91.8%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 44. Catch made by J.Harrell at TSA 44. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 30.Similar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.7%
U.Gilliam rushed to TSA 30 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 30.Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
91.5%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 30. Catch made by J.Harrell at TSA 30. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 25.Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+13
91.4%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 25. Catch made by B.Thorpe at TSA 25. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 12.Similar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
90.9%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 12. Catch made by M.Castles at TSA 12. Gain of 12 yards. M.Castles for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:2591% → 90%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
91.0%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 34. Catch made by E.Hall at TSA 34. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 43.Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
90.9%
D.Brin rushed to TSA 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 45.Similar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
90.8%
S.Brooks rushed to UCD 42 for 13 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 42.Similar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
90.8%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for J.Johnson.Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
90.7%
S.Brooks rushed to UCD 39 for 3 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 39.Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-4
90.4%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin sacked at UCD 43 for -4 yards (B.Rodgers; C.Trimble)Similar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 11
OPP 43
+28
89.8%
L.Wilson punts 28 yards to UCD 15, Center-TSA. I.Thomas returned punt from the UCD 15. Tackled by TSA at UCD 16.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3989% → 89%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+3
89.4%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 50. Catch made by E.Hall at TSA 50. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 47.Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
89.0%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for TSA.Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
88.9%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for K.Stokes.Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+47
88.6%
L.Wilson punts 47 yards to UCD End Zone, Center-TSA. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:1112% → 13%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.4%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 23 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 23.Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
88.1%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 35 for 12 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 35.Similar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
87.7%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 41 for 6 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 41.Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
87.1%
H.Rodrigues steps back to pass. H.Rodrigues pass incomplete intended for G.O'Keefe.Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
87.1%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 41. Catch made by J.Harrell at UCD 41. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 44.Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
87.0%
L.Larison rushed to UCD 44 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 44.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:3188% → 87%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
87.9%
S.Brooks rushed to UCD 36 for 8 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 36. PENALTY on UCD-C.Trimble, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
88.0%
S.Brooks rushed to UCD 8 for 5 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 8. PENALTY on TSA-D.Couch, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 15
OPP 26
0
87.8%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for J.Santana.Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+3
87.6%
S.Brooks rushed to UCD 23 for 3 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 23.Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
86.8%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for D.Prince.Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+41
87.4%
Z.Long 41 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TSA, Holder-TSA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0013% → 13%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.5%
C.Hutton rushed to UCD 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 26.Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
87.3%
L.Larison rushed to UCD 25 for -1 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 25.Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.0%
L.Larison rushed to UCD 30 for 5 yards. L.Larison FUMBLES, forced by. Fumble RECOVERED by UCD-L.Larison at UCD 30. Tackled by TSA at UCD 30.Similar
Q1 0:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+46
87.0%
D.Whelan punts 46 yards to TSA 24, Center-UCD. K.Stokes returned punt from the TSA 24. K.Stokes ran out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:3587% → 86%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
86.6%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 48 for 16 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 48.Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.1%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for K.Stokes.Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
86.9%
D.Prince rushed to UCD 43 for 9 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 43.Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-3
86.8%
D.Prince rushed to UCD 46 for -3 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 46.Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+36
86.0%
L.Wilson punts 36 yards to UCD 10, Center-TSA. Fair catch by I.Thomas.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:5514% → 16%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
85.7%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 10. Catch made by U.Gilliam at UCD 10. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 19.Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+5
85.3%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 19. Catch made by C.Hutton at UCD 19. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 24. PENALTY on UCD-J.Parks, Offensive Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-1
85.1%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 13 for -1 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 13.Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+16
85.4%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 13. Catch made by J.Harrell at UCD 13. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 29.Similar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
84.6%
H.Rodrigues rushed to UCD 33 for 4 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 33.Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
84.1%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 33. Catch made by B.Thorpe at UCD 33. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 38.Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
83.7%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 39 for 1 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 39.Similar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
83.4%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 39. Catch made by J.Harrell at UCD 39. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 37.Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
83.7%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 37 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 37.Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
83.4%
H.Rodrigues steps back to pass. H.Rodrigues pass incomplete intended for C.Hutton.Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+4
83.7%
D.Whelan punts 47 yards to TSA 16, Center-UCD. K.Stokes returned punt from the TSA 16. Tackled by UCD at TSA 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:5883% → 87%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
83.0%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 20. Catch made by S.Crawford at TSA 20. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 34.Similar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
83.0%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for J.Johnson.Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
82.9%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 47 for 13 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 47.Similar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
83.8%
D.Prince rushed to UCD 48 for 5 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 48.Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+21
83.1%
D.Brin pass complete to UCD 48. Catch made by J.Santana at UCD 48. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 27.Similar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
83.4%
D.Brin pass complete to UCD 27. Catch made by J.Johnson at UCD 27. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 24.Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+4
83.1%
A.Watkins rushed to UCD 20 for 4 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 20.Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
82.1%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for J.Santana.Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+17
81.2%
D.Brin pass complete to UCD 20. Catch made by S.Crawford at UCD 20. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 3.Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
82.6%
S.Anderson rushed to UCD 1 for 2 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 1.Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.2%
PENALTY on UCD-UCD, Defensive Illegal Shift, 0 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.8%
S.Anderson rushed to UCD End Zone for 1 yards. S.Anderson for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:2315% → 17%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
84.9%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 24. Catch made by U.Gilliam at UCD 24. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 28.Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-1
84.4%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 27 for -1 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 27.Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+43
84.9%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 27. Catch made by J.Harrell at UCD 27. Gain of 43 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 30.Similar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
82.1%
L.Larison rushed to TSA 30 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 30.Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-4
82.0%
H.Rodrigues rushed to TSA 34 for -4 yards. H.Rodrigues FUMBLES, forced by TSA. Fumble RECOVERED by UCD-H.Rodrigues at TSA 34. Tackled by TSA at TSA 34.Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 14
OPP 34
-3
83.3%
H.Rodrigues steps back to pass. H.Rodrigues sacked at TSA 37 for -3 yards (J.Terry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 11PUNT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 2:15
4TH & 17
OPP 37
+29
84.2%
D.Whelan punts 29 yards to TSA 8, Center-UCD. T.Davis returned punt from the TSA 8. Tackled by UCD at TSA 8.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12INT
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:2884% → 86%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
83.6%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 8. Catch made by K.Stokes at TSA 8. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 21.Similar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+61
83.6%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 21. Catch made by K.Stokes at TSA 21. Gain of 61 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 18.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
85.6%
D.Brin pass INTERCEPTED at UCD 9. Intercepted by T.Buchanan at UCD 9. Tackled by TSA at UCD 9.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 13FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 1:2916% → 25%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
83.7%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 16 for 7 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 16.Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+14
83.4%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 16. Catch made by K.Vaughn at UCD 16. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 30.Similar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
83.1%
H.Rodrigues steps back to pass. H.Rodrigues pass incomplete intended for J.Harrell. PENALTY on TSA-T.Davis, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
81.7%
H.Rodrigues scrambles to UCD 49 for 4 yards. H.Rodrigues ran out of bounds. PENALTY on TSA-T.Davis, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
80.8%
H.Rodrigues steps back to pass. H.Rodrigues pass incomplete intended for UCD.Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
81.0%
PENALTY on UCD-C.Granfors, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+16
81.9%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 46. Catch made by C.Davis at TSA 46. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 30.Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
79.7%
U.Gilliam rushed to TSA 27 for 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by TSA at TSA 27.Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
74.8%
I.Gomez 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-UCD, Holder-UCD.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3781% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.9%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 25.Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.5%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 25. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 32.Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
80.1%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 32. Catch made by S.Brooks at TSA 32. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 36.Similar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.8%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for K.Stokes.Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
80.3%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 36 for 0 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 36.Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+2
78.9%
D.Brin scrambles to TSA 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 38.Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+47
78.1%
L.Wilson punts 47 yards to UCD 15, Center-TSA. I.Thomas returned punt from the UCD 15. Tackled by TSA at UCD 18. PENALTY on UCD-M.Alexander, , 9 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 15FG
11 plays · 87 yds · 3:5323% → 33%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
77.3%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 12 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 12.Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+3
76.8%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 15 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 15.Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+7
77.1%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 15. Catch made by M.Castles at UCD 15. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 22. PENALTY on TSA-C.Wick, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
74.9%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 37 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 37.Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+53
74.8%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 37. Catch made by J.Harrell at UCD 37. Gain of 53 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 10.Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+4
71.1%
C.Hutton rushed to TSA 16 for 4 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 16.Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
71.4%
H.Rodrigues steps back to pass. H.Rodrigues pass incomplete intended for C.Hutton.Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+12
73.3%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 16. Catch made by C.Hutton at TSA 16. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 4.Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
67.3%
I.Gomez 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-UCD, Holder-UCD.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:1570% → 83%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
69.7%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 22. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 22. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 32.Similar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
69.8%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 32. Catch made by D.Prince at TSA 32. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 36.Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
71.1%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 41 for 5 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 41.Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+59
83.4%
D.Prince rushed to UCD End Zone for 59 yards. D.Prince for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5619% → 18%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.7%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 35 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 35.Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
80.9%
T.Tompkins rushed to UCD 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 38.Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
80.5%
T.Tompkins steps back to pass. T.Tompkins pass incomplete intended for K.Vaughn.Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+62
81.8%
D.Whelan punts 62 yards to TSA End Zone, Center-UCD. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:3082% → 80%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
82.0%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 25 for 5 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 25.Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+10
82.0%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 25. Catch made by K.Stokes at TSA 25. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 35.Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.7%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for J.Johnson.Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+30
81.5%
D.Prince rushed to UCD 35 for 30 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 35. PENALTY on TSA-J.Santana, Illegal Blindside Block, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+3
84.7%
A.Watkins rushed to UCD 47 for 3 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 47.Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
83.9%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for E.Naylor.Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-2
82.7%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin sacked at UCD 49 for -2 yards (C.Trimble)Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
80.3%
PENALTY on TSA-D.Couch, Unnecessary Roughness / Offense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 24
OWN 36
+56
79.6%
L.Wilson punts 56 yards to UCD 8, Center-TSA. I.Thomas returned punt from the UCD 8. Tackled by TSA at UCD 8.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 19FG
18 plays · 78 yds · 6:4221% → 31%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 5
OWN 13
0
79.5%
L.Larison rushed to UCD 15 for yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 15. PENALTY on TSA-TSA, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
79.3%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 18. Catch made by G.O'Keefe at UCD 18. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 21.Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
79.3%
L.Larison rushed to UCD 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 27.Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
79.1%
L.Larison rushed to UCD 28 for 1 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 28.Similar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
78.6%
H.Rodrigues steps back to pass. H.Rodrigues pass incomplete intended for M.Castles.Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
79.1%
H.Rodrigues scrambles to UCD 33 for 5 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 33.Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+8
78.8%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 33. Catch made by C.Hutton at UCD 33. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 41.Similar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
76.5%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 41. Catch made by J.Harrell at UCD 41. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 45. PENALTY on TSA-J.Terry, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
74.3%
PENALTY on TSA-E.Taylor, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+10
72.6%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 35. Catch made by C.Hutton at TSA 35. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 25.Similar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
72.4%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 25. Catch made by C.Hutton at TSA 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 19.Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-1
72.0%
L.Larison rushed to TSA 20 for -1 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 20.Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+7
72.6%
L.Larison rushed to TSA 13 for 7 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 13.Similar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
70.8%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 13. Catch made by G.O'Keefe at TSA 13. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 9.Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-3
70.6%
L.Larison rushed to TSA 12 for -3 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 12.Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+3
72.8%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to TSA 12. Catch made by C.Hutton at TSA 12. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 9.Similar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
68.9%
I.Gomez 26 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-UCD, Holder-UCD.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5073% → 72%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
72.5%
K.Stokes rushed to TSA 42 for 9 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 42.Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
75.0%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 46 for 4 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 46.Similar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
75.1%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 48 for 2 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 48.Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-1
74.9%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin sacked at TSA 47 for -1 yards (T.Buchanan)Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
71.8%
D.Brin pass INTERCEPTED at UCD 47. Intercepted by C.Hansen at UCD 47. Tackled by TSA at TSA 14. PENALTY on TSA-C.Paul, Offensive Facemask, 7 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 21FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2839% → 52%
Q4 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
61.3%
C.Hutton rushed to TSA 5 for 2 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 5.Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
60.9%
U.Gilliam rushed to TSA 5 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 5.Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.0%
H.Rodrigues steps back to pass. H.Rodrigues pass incomplete intended for J.Harrell.Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
47.6%
I.Gomez 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-UCD, Holder-UCD.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:1456% → 54%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.3%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by UCD at TSA 32.Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+19
59.0%
S.Brooks rushed to UCD 49 for 19 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 49.Similar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
61.1%
D.Brin pass complete to UCD 49. Catch made by J.Johnson at UCD 49. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 35.Similar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.8%
PENALTY on TSA-TSA, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+13
58.0%
S.Brooks rushed to UCD 27 for 13 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 27.Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+9
63.4%
S.Brooks rushed to UCD 18 for 9 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 18.Similar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
63.1%
D.Prince rushed to UCD 15 for 3 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 15.Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
59.8%
D.Prince rushed to UCD 12 for 3 yards. Tackled by UCD at UCD 12.Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+11
53.6%
D.Brin pass complete to UCD 12. Catch made by K.Stokes at UCD 12. Gain of 11 yards. K.Stokes FUMBLES, forced by C.Venable. Fumble RECOVERED by UCD-UCD at UCD End Zone. Tackled by TSA at UCD End Zone. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 23END OF GAME
12 plays · 40 yds · 2:4665% → 83%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+6
35.3%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 21 for 6 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 21.Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+12
32.9%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 21. Catch made by M.Castles at UCD 21. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 33.Similar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
30.0%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 33 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 33.Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+10
28.7%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 43 for 10 yards. U.Gilliam ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
25.3%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 45.Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
23.8%
U.Gilliam rushed to UCD 49 for 4 yards. Tackled by TSA at UCD 49.Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+8
20.8%
H.Rodrigues pass complete to UCD 49. Catch made by U.Gilliam at UCD 49. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 43.Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
16.7%
H.Rodrigues kneels at the TSA 44.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 7:37
I.Gomez 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-UCD, Holder-UCD.
-14.5
TD · Q3 6:51
D.Prince rushed to UCD End Zone for 59 yards. D.Prince for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+12.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com