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KSU

Kansas State 17 at Texas 22

TEX
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2021 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:03 · Will Howard run for no gain to the Texas 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense+6.7Pregame prior+0.3Garbage-time factor+2.3Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:07: Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 10 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker PAT MISSED) — TEX win probability +4.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:50: Will Howard run for 71 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:56: Chris Tennant 51 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:52: Cameron Dicker 39 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +7.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:32: Cameron Dicker 22 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +12.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 8KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:52KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:28TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:59KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 48, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:03TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 18, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:56KSU 4th & 9 at TEX 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00TEX 4th & 3 at KSU 6, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%−1.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−9.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:00KSU 4th & 15 at TEX 38, up 1
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:52TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 15, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:46KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:52TEX 4th & 1 at KSU 21, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%−4.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−17.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:51KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 31, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−1.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:24TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 45, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:14KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 30, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.0%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:32TEX 4th & 4 at KSU 4, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.6%−2.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−24.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:03KSU 4th & 1 at TEX 17, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−4.9
    80% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−16.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:33TEX 4th & 12 at KSU 40, up 5
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:12TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:44KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:07TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:50KSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4855% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 1 yd to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
55.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
55.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 13 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
55.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 17 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
55.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+12
55.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 12 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
55.1%
Roschon Johnson pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 2 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+6
56.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+5
55.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
57.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1343% → 42%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
56.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
56.9%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
57.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
57.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 42 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
57.7%
Casey Thompson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:5842% → 46%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
57.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+9
57.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
57.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+10
57.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 10 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
57.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 19 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
56.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 11 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
53.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 6:3056% → 63%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
55.7%
Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+9
55.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 9 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
56.2%
Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+9
56.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 9 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
56.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
56.9%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
56.7%
Cade Brewer run for 2 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
56.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+9
57.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+16
57.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 16 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
58.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 1 yd to the KanSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+5
58.2%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
62.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 10 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
53.4%
Will Howard run for 71 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2255% → 53%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.6%
Casey Thompson run for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
55.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
54.2%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
53.4%
Cameron Dicker punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:2946% → 49%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
53.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Jax Dineen for 6 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
52.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+6
53.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Eric Hommel for 6 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
52.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Landry WeberSimilar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
52.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
52.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
51.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5654% → 52%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
53.5%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 12
OWN 10
-1
53.3%
Casey Thompson sacked by Eli Huggins for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 9Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+9
51.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 9 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
51.9%
Cameron Dicker punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 4:0750% → 54%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
49.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+9
49.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
49.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+13
49.5%
Malik Knowles run for 13 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
48.4%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
48.4%
Will Howard run for no gain to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+1
49.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the Texas 33Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+51
46.2%
Chris Tennant 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 1:4749% → 50%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
49.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 28 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
52.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 6 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
54.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+5
50.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
52.5%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+14
52.4%
Worthy,Xavier pass incomplete to Washington,Marcus PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Brents,Julius) 14 yards from KSU27 to KSU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
52.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
49.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+5
47.6%
Casey Thompson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
49.8%
Cameron Dicker 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:5251% → 47%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
48.9%
PENALTY TEX Offside 5 yards from KSU46 to TEX49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+16
48.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 16 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
47.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+10
47.3%
Phillip Brooks run for 10 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 14
OPP 37
-1
50.9%
Will Howard sacked by David Gbenda for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 15
OPP 38
0
52.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0852% → 50%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
52.3%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 4Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 12
OWN 4
+11
52.1%
Keilan Robinson run for 11 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 15
0
51.3%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 15Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
50.4%
Cameron Dicker punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0651% → 47%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
48.9%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
49.7%
Malik Knowles run for no gain to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
50.9%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Sammy WheelerSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+5
53.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 45 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 5 yds to the Texas 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 6:5453% → 64%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
52.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 10 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
53.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 9 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+1
56.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 36Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+5
54.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
56.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Kelvontay Dixon for 7 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-10
56.8%
Thompson,Casey pass complete to Johnson,Roschon for 2 yards to the TEX50 (Elder,Ross) PENALTY TEX Holding (Jones,Christian) 10 yards from TEX48 to TEX38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+19
53.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jared Wiley for 19 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
57.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+7
57.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
58.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jared Wiley for 5 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
58.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
56.7%
Keilan Robinson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+39
63.8%
Cameron Dicker 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0140% → 37%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
59.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
60.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 2 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
63.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:2763% → 66%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
63.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+14
62.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 14 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
64.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
64.3%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+7
62.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 7 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
65.5%
Cameron Dicker punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:1036% → 35%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
63.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+6
62.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
62.6%
Will Howard run for 4 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
62.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
61.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
65.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19FG
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:4272% → 83%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
71.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 21 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
71.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
71.8%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
70.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
82.5%
Cameron Dicker 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:2532% → 30%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
68.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 14 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
64.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 20 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
62.2%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+6
62.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
64.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 1
OPP 17
0
70.3%
Will Howard run for no gain to the Texas 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:3086% → 96%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
85.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
87.7%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+17
87.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 17 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
89.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 24 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
90.4%
Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 14
OPP 42
0
89.9%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+2
88.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
95.6%
Cameron Dicker punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:3312% → 12%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
88.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 13 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
87.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 8 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 7:32
Cameron Dicker 22 yd FG GOOD
+12.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+12.4
TD · Q2 12:50
Will Howard run for 71 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com