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OU

Oklahoma 33 at Oklahoma State 37

OKST
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:43 · Tanner Brown 44 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense−9.8Pregame prior+3.1Garbage-time factor−3.4Score differential−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:38: Gabe Brkic kickoff for 65 yds , Brennan Presley return for 100 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +8.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:37: Caleb Williams pass complete to Brayden Willis for 10 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +14.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:36: Michael Turk punt for 51 yds , Brennan Presley returns for a loss of 8 yards, Brennan Presley fumbled, recovered by Okla Justin Broiles for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +13.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:52: Spencer Sanders run for 37 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +24.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 8:54: Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — OKST win probability +16.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6OU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 14:10OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26OU 4th & 5 at OU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:45OU 4th & 1 at OKST 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    33.8%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:05OU 4th & 6 at OKST 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−4.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:25OKST 4th & 10 at OU 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:02OU 4th & 9 at OU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:23OU 4th & 10 at OKST 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:36OU 4th & 9 at OU 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−2.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:43OKST 4th & 3 at OU 27, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.9%−1.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−9.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:17OU 4th & 21 at OU 11, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−7.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:15OU 4th & 21 at OU 14, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−10.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:43OKST 4th & 4 at midfield, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:44OU 4th & 11 at OU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:20OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−3.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:16OU 4th & 10 at OKST 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−1.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−5.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:54OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:08OU 4th & 10 at OKST 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.7%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−4.7
    68% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−7.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:57OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:08OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:16OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:53OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:37OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:52OKST Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:54OKST Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.4%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    72.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
58.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 20Similar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
58.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 10 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
58.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
58.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 14:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
58.3%
Tom Hutton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Okla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3842% → 42%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
58.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brayden Willis for 11 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
58.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
58.2%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Michael Woods IISimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+3
58.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
58.4%
Michael Turk punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:2358% → 60%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
58.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 14 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
58.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 22 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
58.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 11 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
59.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+30
60.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 30 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4540% → 42%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.8%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+50
59.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 50 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
59.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+15
59.4%
Williams, Caleb pass incomplete to Woods II, Michael, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAST9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q1 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
59.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
57.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brian Darby for 11 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 1:4459% → 62%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
58.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 4 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+10
59.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 10 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
59.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 15 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
59.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 10 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
59.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+6
59.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 6 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
59.4%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Bray, Jaden, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 4 yards to the OKLAHOMA4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q1 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
62.2%
Tay Martin run for 4 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:1639% → 43%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.4%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brayden Willis for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
61.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 4 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
61.5%
Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+12
61.3%
Trevon West run for 12 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
61.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 7 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
61.1%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
61.5%
Michael Woods II run for 2 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 2:45
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
62.2%
Caleb Williams run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
62.1%
Caleb Williams sacked by Malcolm Rodriguez for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 17
OPP 43
+1
63.1%
Caleb Williams run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 16
OPP 42
0
63.7%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 16
OPP 42
+15
64.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
62.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-8
62.7%
Caleb Williams sacked by Israel Antwine for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+29
57.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Stogner for 29 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:2535% → 37%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
65.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+25
65.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 25 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+27
65.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Stogner for 27 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
63.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 17 yds to the OKSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
63.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
63.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 4 yds to the OKSt 7Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
64.7%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
63.5%
Gabe Brkic 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 4:3562% → 70%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
62.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+18
62.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 18 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
63.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+10
64.1%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Martin, Tay, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
64.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Okla 33Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 5
OPP 33
-5
65.1%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
64.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 15 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
65.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 8 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+6
65.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
66.3%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
66.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
65.8%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
69.5%
Tanner Brown 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:1030% → 28%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
70.0%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Trevon WestSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+11
70.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 11 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
70.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+22
70.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 22 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
68.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 6
50
-2
68.0%
Caleb Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-1
69.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
71.7%
Michael Turk punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:5571% → 71%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
70.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for 16 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
70.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
71.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-32
70.5%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Woodi Washington return for 32 yds to the OKSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:1134% → 48%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
66.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 3 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+1
66.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the OKSt 10Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
52.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brayden Willis for 10 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
59.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:3245% → 45%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
55.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
55.3%
Caleb Williams run for no gain to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+6
56.4%
Caleb Williams run for 6 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+36
55.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 36 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
51.7%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
51.7%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
52.9%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Michael Woods IISimilar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
55.2%
Michael Turk punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15SF
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
52.7%
Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 8 yards for a SAFETY Dominic Richardson fumbled, recovered by OKSt for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2450% → 62%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
49.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
50.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Kennedy BrooksSimilar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+1
51.3%
Caleb Williams run for 1 yd to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
37.9%
Michael Turk punt for 51 yds , Brennan Presley returns for a loss of 8 yards, Brennan Presley fumbled, recovered by Okla Justin Broiles for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:5338% → 37%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
38.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
38.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 9 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
38.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+24
38.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 24 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
41.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 9 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-3
41.3%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+1
38.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
36.5%
Tanner Brown 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:0867% → 66%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
33.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
33.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+8
33.6%
Caleb Williams run for 8 yds to the Okla 39 Caleb Williams fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:5738% → 36%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
38.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
37.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
37.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
38.6%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+4
38.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-4
35.9%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Woodi Washington return for no gain to the Okla 24 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Woodi Washington) to the Okla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:0868% → 71%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
31.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+15
31.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 15 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
29.9%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Eric GraySimilar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-5
30.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-8
29.5%
Williams, Caleb pass complete to Brooks, Kennedy for 21 yards to the OKLAHOMA38, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 8 yards to the OKLAHOMA9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 23
OWN 9
+5
29.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 19 yds to the Okla 28 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (-14 Yards) to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 18
OWN 14
-9
27.9%
Caleb Williams sacked by Malcolm Rodriguez for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 5Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 27
OWN 5
+6
29.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 21
OWN 11
0
28.9%
Michael Turk punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 1:2330% → 56%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
30.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 4 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+6
31.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 6 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
32.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
31.3%
Sanders, Spencer rush for 6 yards to the OKLAHOMA42, PENALTY OKLAHOMA offside 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
32.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+6
31.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 6 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
31.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+37
56.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 37 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:3055% → 53%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-21
44.6%
Caleb Williams run for a loss of 17 yards to the Okla 4 Caleb Williams fumbled, recovered by Okla OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Batting (Jadon Haselwood) to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 31
OWN 4
+9
45.1%
Caleb Williams run for 9 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 22
OWN 13
-5
46.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 8Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 27
OWN 8
+6
46.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
47.5%
Michael Turk punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1750% → 52%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
50.3%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Nik Bonitto for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 29 Spencer Sanders fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+15
48.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 15 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
54.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaylen WarrenSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-10
51.8%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Green, Blaine, PENALTY OKLAST holding 10 yards to the OKLAST34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+12
49.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 12 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+5
50.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Okla 49Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-1
54.1%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 4
50
0
52.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds , Eric Gray returns for no gain to the Okla 5 Eric Gray fumbled, recovered by OKSt Demarco JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:4659% → 75%
Q4 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
58.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
58.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0631% → 28%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.8%
Caleb Williams run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
68.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 8 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
67.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
66.8%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-3
68.0%
Caleb Williams sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
71.9%
Michael Turk punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:0578% → 81%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
78.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
-5
78.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 14Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 14
OWN 14
0
79.3%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the OKSt 14Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+6
80.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 6 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 8
OWN 20
+2
80.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 47 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 2 yds to the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:5927% → 22%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
72.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
72.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
50
+6
68.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 6 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
67.9%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hall, broken up by Malcolm RodriguezSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
69.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Stogner for 5 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
69.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
66.4%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-5
70.2%
Caleb Williams sacked by Devin Harper for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+5
78.0%
Caleb Williams run for 5 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:2192% → 93%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
92.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+2
93.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+4
93.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
93.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 29DOWNS
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:4210% → 12%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.2%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jadon Haselwood, broken up by Jarrick Bernard-ConverseSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+56
90.7%
Caleb Williams run for 56 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
82.4%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jadon Haselwood, broken up by Tanner McCalisterSimilar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
83.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Trevon WestSimilar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
86.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 10
OPP 24
-8
88.1%
Caleb Williams sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:52
Spencer Sanders run for 37 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)
+24.5
TD · Q4 8:54
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+16.7
TD · Q2 0:37
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brayden Willis for 10 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com