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TEX

Texas 23 at West Virginia 31

WVU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+12.3WVU 89.2%Casey Legg 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 23 - HOME 31 · Q4 7:03
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:03 · Casey Legg 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense+19.5Pregame prior+1.2Garbage-time factor+11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Score differential+3.8Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:34: Leddie Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +9.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:40: Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 52 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +14.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 0:29: Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +13.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:25: Roschon Johnson 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — TEX win probability +19.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 7:03: Casey Legg 45 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +12.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:36TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:36WVU 4th & 12 at TEX 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:42TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:42TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:15WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:49TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:47TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:13WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:13TEX 4th & 13 at WVU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03WVU 4th & 2 at TEX 31, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%−1.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:16TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:52WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:25WVU 4th & 5 at TEX 32, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    73.1%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−3.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:03WVU 4th & 12 at TEX 28, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−2.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−13.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:36WVU 4th & 5 at TEX 36, up 8
    Close callWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%
    42% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:10TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:02WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:44WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:34TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:34WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:40TEX Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:29WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:25TEX Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    28.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5860% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
60.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 23 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
60.2%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
60.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 13 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
60.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 4 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
60.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 1 yd to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+11
60.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 11 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
60.6%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+4
60.6%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
61.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 20 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2038% → 38%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
61.6%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 8Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+7
61.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 7 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
61.8%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 4
OWN 15
+1
62.4%
Cameron Dicker punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0063% → 62%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
62.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 11 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
62.7%
Jarret Doege sacked by Ben Davis for 0 yards to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 26
OWN 37
0
62.2%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 26
OWN 37
+14
62.0%
Leddie Brown run for 14 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
62.4%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5437% → 36%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
62.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 21Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
62.8%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
63.1%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
63.7%
Cameron Dicker punt for 55 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for no gain to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
63.7%
Cameron Dicker punt for 55 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for no gain to the WVirg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2763% → 63%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
63.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+5
63.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Banks for 5 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
63.3%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
63.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2637% → 36%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.1%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
63.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
62.8%
Casey Thompson sacked by Josh Chandler-Semedo and Edward Vesterinen for 0 yards to the Texas 39Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
64.1%
Cameron Dicker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:0564% → 74%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
64.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 3 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
64.3%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+31
63.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 31 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
65.3%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
65.3%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
65.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
65.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
65.4%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the Texas 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+18
66.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 18 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
66.8%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 14 TEXAS Penalty, Targeting (7 Yards) to the Texas 14Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
73.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4929% → 28%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
71.4%
Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
71.3%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
71.5%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+4
72.5%
Cameron Dicker punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for 4 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3473% → 73%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
73.5%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
73.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
72.8%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
73.1%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for no gain to the Texas 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:3927% → 34%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
73.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 7 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+6
72.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
72.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
72.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
72.5%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+49
65.7%
Keilan Robinson run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 5:5568% → 81%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
67.6%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+6
67.7%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
67.3%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
66.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 9 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
67.9%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
68.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 20 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
69.1%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+14
72.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
72.8%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+19
72.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 19 yds to the Texas 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
71.5%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 2Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.5%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 1:3022% → 24%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
77.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 9 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+8
76.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 8 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
76.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 19 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
75.2%
JOHNSON, Roschon rush up the middle for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU33 (ALSTON, Taijh;MATTHEWS, Jackie). PENALTY TEX Holding on WORTHY, Xavier enforced 10 yards from the WVU29 to the WVU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 20
OPP 39
0
77.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 20
OPP 39
0
77.9%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+50
77.1%
Cameron Dicker 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 20
OPP 39
+7
76.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:1082% → 80%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.8%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
82.1%
Leddie Brown run for 13 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
82.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 19 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
83.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 3 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
83.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 5 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
80.2%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+48
79.9%
Casey Legg 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
80.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:4424% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
76.4%
Keilan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
75.5%
Keilan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
75.7%
TEXAS Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ANGILAU, Junior ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
76.4%
Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
77.5%
Cameron Dicker punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:2476% → 79%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
76.4%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+1
76.5%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+6
75.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 6 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
76.7%
Jarret Doege run for 3 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
76.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
76.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
78.0%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
78.0%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
77.1%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
78.8%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:1221% → 37%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
78.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
79.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+10
79.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Marcus Washington for 10 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
77.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
77.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+6
77.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
62.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 52 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:1169% → 86%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.9%
Jarret Doege sacked by David Gbenda and Vernon Broughton for 0 yards to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
68.3%
Jarret Doege sacked by T'Vondre Sweat for 0 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+19
67.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 19 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
70.1%
Leddie Brown run for 26 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
72.4%
Leddie Brown run for 18 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
72.7%
TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Darion Dunn) to the Texas 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
72.7%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 6Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
72.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 7Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:0417% → 41%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
83.2%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+5
82.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 5 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
82.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 17 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
80.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+25
81.1%
Keilan Robinson run for 25 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
79.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 9 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+5
79.1%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
59.3%
Roschon Johnson 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 5:2275% → 89%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
74.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+20
72.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 20 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
77.5%
Leddie Brown run for 12 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
78.5%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
78.5%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
78.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
78.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
77.6%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+6
75.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 6 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
78.9%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 28Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 12
OPP 28
0
78.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 12
OPP 28
0
76.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+45
89.2%
Casey Legg 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:5413% → 14%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
87.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 16 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
84.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
83.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 4 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
82.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+13
82.9%
Hudson Card run for 13 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
81.1%
Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
82.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-2
84.5%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 8
OPP 30
-15
86.4%
TEXAS Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Block below the waist on KERSTETTER, Derek enforced (-15 Yards) to the WVirg 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 15 yds · 2:0998% → 99%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
97.9%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
97.9%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+2
97.9%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
98.6%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+1
98.6%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+3
98.9%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
98.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:205% → 4%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.5%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
95.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 4 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
95.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:25
Roschon Johnson 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-19.8
TD · Q3 5:40
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 52 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q3 0:29
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)
+13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com