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OKST

Oklahoma State 23 at Texas Tech 0

TTU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.3TTU 26.8%Tanner Brown 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 10:02
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:02 · Tanner Brown 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense−0.6Pregame prior−23.7Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:26: Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 14 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +9.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:19: Donovan Smith pass incomplete — TTU win probability +4.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:45: OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Blaine Green) to the TexTc 35 — OKST win probability +4.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:51: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 15 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST down — OKST win probability +3.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:26: Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:58TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:02OKST 4th & 7 at TTU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:19TTU 4th & 24 at TTU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:56OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:26TTU 4th & 5 at OKST 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    32.0%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:08OKST 4th & 6 at TTU 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:12TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:19OKST 4th & 8 at TTU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:37TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:10OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:41OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 40, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:49OKST 4th & 2 at TTU 2, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−9.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:11TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 37, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:22OKST 4th & 10 at TTU 47, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:11TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 18, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:22TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 30, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:01OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 34, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:25TTU 4th & 7 at OKST 33, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:43OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 42, up 23
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:15TTU 4th & 11 at TTU 39, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 0:26OKST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:26OKST Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5525% → 25%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.8%
Donovan Smith pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
25.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
25.2%
Donovan Smith pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
25.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:4675% → 73%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
25.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 2 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
25.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+9
25.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 9 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
26.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
26.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+14
26.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 14 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
26.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+38
26.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 38 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
26.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
26.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
26.5%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the TexTc 7Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
26.8%
Tanner Brown 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:3627% → 27%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
26.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-4
27.0%
Donovan Smith sacked by Brendon Evers for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-7
26.9%
Donovan Smith sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 11Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
27.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0473% → 71%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
27.5%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+1
27.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
28.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+1
28.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 50 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 1 yd to the TexTc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 5:0428% → 30%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
28.1%
Donovan Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+8
28.0%
Donovan Smith run for 8 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+15
28.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jarrick Bernard-Converse) to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
29.3%
Xavier White run for 4 yds to the TexTc 47 Xavier White fumbled, recovered by TexTc Xavier WhiteSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+1
29.7%
Xavier White run for 1 yd to the TexTc 48Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+10
29.7%
Kaylon Geiger run for 10 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
30.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
30.7%
Henry Teeter run for no gain to the OKSt 39 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexTc Henry TeeterSimilar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+2
30.8%
Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
30.4%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0070% → 69%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
29.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
29.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
29.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 6 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
29.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
29.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 6 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+1
29.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-5
30.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
30.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4331% → 30%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
31.2%
Xavier White run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 18Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
31.2%
Donovan Smith pass incomplete to Kaylon GeigerSimilar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
30.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
30.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:4169% → 72%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+35
31.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 35 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
29.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 18 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
29.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
29.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
29.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
29.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
30.4%
John Paul Richardson pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
28.0%
Tanner Brown 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2329% → 29%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.4%
Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-11
29.5%
Donovan Smith sacked by Jarrick Bernard-Converse for a loss of 11 yards to the TexTc 18 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Donovan Smith) to the TexTc 18Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+12
28.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 12 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
29.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:0871% → 71%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
29.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+1
27.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.5%
Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
27.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
27.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+2
28.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 44 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 2 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:3830% → 28%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
29.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 14 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
31.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+10
30.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (LD Brown) to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
32.2%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 13
50
-5
29.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (T.J. Storment) to the TexTc 45Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 18
OWN 45
-1
28.7%
Donovan Smith sacked by Brock Martin and Devin Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 19
OWN 44
0
28.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 3:4373% → 85%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
27.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 9 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
26.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 5 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
26.5%
Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 12
OWN 32
0
27.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+13
28.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 13 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
25.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 6 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
25.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
25.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 6 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
24.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
24.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
24.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-1
24.1%
Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 24Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+10
24.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Riko Jeffers) to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
15.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 14 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:1922% → 21%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
21.5%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
21.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:1481% → 81%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
19.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 13 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
18.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
18.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
18.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
19.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Adrian Frye at the TexTc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:3021% → 21%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
21.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
20.9%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+11
19.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mason Tharp for 11 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
21.0%
Donovan Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 25 Donovan Smith fumbled, forced by Tyler Lacy, recovered by OKSt Malcolm RodriguezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16FG
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:5684% → 87%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
16.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Blaine Green) to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 20
OPP 35
0
16.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 20
OPP 35
-5
16.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Cole Birmingham) to the TexTc 40Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 25
OPP 40
+24
16.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 24 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+8
15.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Krishon Merriweather) to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
15.4%
Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
15.4%
Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
15.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q3 9:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
12.9%
Tanner Brown 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:1915% → 15%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
15.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jarrick Bernard-Converse) to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
15.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
15.2%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
14.8%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+55
14.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the TEXASTECH 15 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trey Rucker) to the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:3887% → 88%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
13.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+16
12.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 16 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
12.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 16 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
11.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 3
50
+3
11.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
11.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-3
11.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 47Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
10.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:22
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
11.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19Uncategorized
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0414% → 13%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for no gain to the TexTc 20Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
13.2%
Behren Morton run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 18Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
12.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
12.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 57 yds, downed at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2591% → 98%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
9.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 15 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
8.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
8.2%
Dezmon Jackson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+16
8.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 16 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-6
7.6%
Dezmon Jackson run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+11
6.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 11 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+3
5.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+5
6.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
5.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Matthew Young) to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
5.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
1.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:543% → 2%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
2.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+17
2.4%
Behren Morton run for 17 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
2.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
2.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:5998% → 99%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
1.7%
Tay Martin run for 9 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
1.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
1.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
1.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
1.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
1.3%
Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
1.3%
Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the TexTc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:302% → 2%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
2.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+15
1.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jarrick Bernard-Converse) to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.9%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
1.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to McLane Mannix for 16 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
2.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (TEAM) to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+6
2.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 6 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
2.0%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
1.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mason Tharp for 3 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
1.8%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 7
OPP 33
0
1.7%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2899% → 99%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
1.0%
Dezmon Jackson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
0.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
0.7%
Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
0.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the TexTc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
1.0%
Donovan Smith sacked by Kolby Harvell-Peel for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 15Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 11
OWN 15
0
1.0%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+25
0.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mason Tharp for 25 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
1.0%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
1.0%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-1
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
0.9%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 16 yds · 4:0099% → 100%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
0.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 10 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
0.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+5
0.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+6
0.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 19
-4
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:26
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 14 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)
-9.2
KEY PLAY · Q3 11:45
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Blaine Green) to the TexTc 35
-4.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:19
Donovan Smith pass incomplete
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com