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KU

Kansas 28 at TCU 31

TCU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:56 · Reis Vernon punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+39.9Home team on offense−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:32: Kendre Miller run for 56 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +10.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:55: Max Duggan run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +7.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:23: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 28 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +12.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:46: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 10 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +33.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:06: Griffin Kell 25 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +31.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:23KU 4th & 15 at KU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56KU 4th & 4 at TCU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:33KU 4th & 1 at TCU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:42TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:53TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:30KU 4th & 10 at TCU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59TCU 4th & 1 at KU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    69.6%−1.9
    89% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−8.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:35KU 4th & 3 at KU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:55TCU 4th & 1 at KU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−3.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−12.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:27KU 4th & 10 at TCU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    15.3%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:59TCU 4th & 15 at TCU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−3.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:06TCU 4th & 3 at KU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−12.0
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−31.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:33TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:43KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:29KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:32TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:55TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:43TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:23KU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:46KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:379% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
90.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-14
90.8%
KANSAS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-14 Yards) to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 14:23
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
90.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:279% → 10%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
90.6%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 7
50
+3
90.6%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
90.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
90.2%
Reis Vernon punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:2390% → 90%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
90.3%
Emari Demercado run for 6 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+14
90.3%
Max Duggan run for 14 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
90.3%
Emari Demercado run for 11 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
90.4%
Emari Demercado run for 9 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+43
90.4%
Derius Davis run for 43 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5010% → 13%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
90.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 22 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
90.0%
Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
90.0%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+3
90.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 3 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+1
90.1%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
90.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 14 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
89.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jason Bean for 1 yd to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+1
89.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+15
90.0%
PENALTY TCU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Winters,Dee) 15 yards from TCU29 to TCU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
87.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 14 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 4:0188% → 86%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 3 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-10
88.0%
Max Duggan sacked by Kyron Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 12Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+28
87.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 28 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.3%
Emari Demercado run for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
88.2%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-2
88.0%
Max Duggan sacked by Jereme Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 40 Max Duggan fumbled, recovered by TCU Steve Avila , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
86.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 4:1314% → 21%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
86.3%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+4
86.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
85.4%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+44
85.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 44 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
84.5%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+3
84.5%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+13
84.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 13 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.3%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3681% → 79%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
80.8%
Barber,Taye rush for 4 yards gain to the TCU29 (Webb,Jeremy), out of bounds PENALTY TCU Personal Foul (Nowell,Blake) 12 yards from TCU25 to TCU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+8
80.7%
Kendre Miller run for 8 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
80.7%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
80.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blake NowellSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
78.7%
Jordy Sandy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:2321% → 27%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
78.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 5 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
78.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+8
78.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 8 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
78.2%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
78.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 8 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
78.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for no gain to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+17
78.0%
Devin Neal run for 17 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
73.4%
Jalon Daniels sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+5
73.7%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
73.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
73.0%
Jacob Borcila 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:1775% → 75%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+48
74.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 48 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
77.5%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 6
OPP 20
-10
77.5%
TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+6
77.3%
Emari Demercado run for 6 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
74.6%
Max Duggan pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1629% → 33%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.8%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
70.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 8 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
66.9%
Jalon Daniels pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:5875% → 72%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
74.8%
Emari Demercado run for 11 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
74.7%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
74.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quincy BrownSimilar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+8
73.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 8 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
71.7%
Emari Demercado run for no gain to the Kans 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5932% → 34%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
68.1%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+4
67.1%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
65.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:2568% → 80%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
67.6%
Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
69.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 4 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+56
79.8%
Kendre Miller run for 56 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5724% → 24%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
75.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
75.7%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
75.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:4077% → 87%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
77.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quincy BrownSimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
76.7%
Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+8
76.5%
Max Duggan run for 8 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
78.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 15 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
79.5%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+42
79.4%
Max Duggan run for 42 yds to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
80.2%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.2%
Brent Matiscik run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.2%
Kendre Miller run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.0%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:2816% → 16%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
83.4%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
83.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 21 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
81.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
81.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for no gain to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
82.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for no gain to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
83.9%
Trevor Wilson punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 99 yds · 6:4486% → 96%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+10
85.7%
Kendre Miller run for 10 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
85.9%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+5
85.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Dominic DiNunzio for 5 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+9
85.5%
Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
86.2%
Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+5
89.5%
Derius Davis run for 5 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+49
88.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 49 yds to the KANSAS 20 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tabor Allen) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
90.4%
Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+9
90.4%
Kendre Miller run for 9 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
90.4%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the Kans 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
90.4%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:146% → 20%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+28
93.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 28 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
92.8%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+11
92.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Steven McBride for 11 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
92.3%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+28
80.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 28 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2489% → 88%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
89.2%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Kendre MillerSimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
88.4%
Max Duggan sacked by Nate Betts for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 20Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
88.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1315% → 53%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
85.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for no gain to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+15
86.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
50
0
82.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Amauri Pesek-HicksonSimilar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 10
50
+8
83.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 8 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+17
82.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 17 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
80.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 15 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
46.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 10 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 4:4062% → 95%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.7%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
62.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quincy BrownSimilar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
59.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 10 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
63.4%
Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
66.5%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
66.5%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+14
65.6%
Derius Davis run for 14 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
67.5%
Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+4
68.9%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
68.9%
Emari Demercado run for 10 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
68.9%
Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+1
66.4%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-1
63.8%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
94.7%
Griffin Kell 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:46
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 10 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)
-33.1
FG · Q4 0:06
Griffin Kell 25 yd FG GOOD
+31.8
TD · Q4 9:23
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 28 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com