Try the model
ISU

Iowa State 21 at Oklahoma 28

OU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:50 · Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Home team on offense+16.9Pregame prior+0.1Garbage-time factor+4.9Score differential+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Time remaining+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 2:57: Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — ISU win probability +11.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:09: Jalen Redmond 42 Yd Fumble Return (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +6.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:02: Mario Williams 11 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +10.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:06: Eric Gray 7 Yd Run (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +7.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:57: Charlie Kolar 2 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Andrew Mevis Kick) — ISU win probability +17.3 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 4:04ISU 4th & 4 at OU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:28OU 4th & 4 at OU 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:44ISU 4th & 18 at ISU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:35OU 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:56ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.8%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:35ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:29OU 4th & 5 at ISU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:39OU 4th & 16 at OU 14, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:16ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−2.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:20OU 4th & 6 at OU 5, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:08ISU 4th & 1 at OU 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%−4.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−5.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00OU 4th & 3 at ISU 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    74.9%−3.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.6%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:45OU 4th & 6 at OU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:26ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:46OU 4th & 11 at OU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:50ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−3.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:15ISU 4th & 10 at OU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−1.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:00ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:13OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:09OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:06OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:57ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
31 plays · 75 yds · 15:0042% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 2 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
58.3%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+20
58.3%
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Brian Asamoah) to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 12 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+4
58.3%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-8
58.3%
Brock Purdy sacked by Isaiah Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 26
+25
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 25 yds pass complete to for 25 yds fumbled, recovered by IowSt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.0%
Breece Hall 1 Yd Run (Andrew Mevis Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
51.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
52.0%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+20
52.1%
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, personal foul (Brian Asamoah) to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
50.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
50.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 12 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
50.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+4
50.2%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
50.2%
pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-8
50.3%
Brock Purdy sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 26
+25
51.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 25 yds Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by IowSt for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 10:0057% → 59%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
58.5%
Caleb Williams 74 Yd Run (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
19 plays · 27 yds · 9:1342% → 43%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
58.4%
Xavier Hutchinson run for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-15
57.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
58.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+13
58.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 13 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
57.9%
Purdy,Brock pass complete to Hutchinson,Xavier for 24 yards to the OKL30 (Graham,D.J.) PENALTY ISU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Hufford,Jared) 5 yards from ISU46 to ISU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+3
58.3%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+4
58.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+4
58.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
58.0%
Corey Dunn punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
57.7%
Xavier Hutchinson run for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
57.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-8
56.4%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 48 IOWA ST Penalty, personal foul (Jarrod Hufford) to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
57.8%
pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+13
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 13 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
56.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson IOWA ST Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+3
57.3%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+4
57.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+4
56.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the Okla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 4:0458% → 58%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
58.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 7 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 3
OWN 20
0
58.5%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 20
-1
57.9%
Caleb Williams sacked by Mike Rose for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+20
57.7%
Michael Turk punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 38 , Jaylin Noel returns for 20 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
58.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 7 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 20
0
58.8%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jadon Haselwood, broken up by Greg Eisworth IISimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 20
-1
58.0%
Caleb Williams sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 2:2843% → 42%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
57.2%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
57.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-6
58.1%
Brock Purdy sacked by Perrion Winfrey for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
59.1%
Corey Dunn punt for 48 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
57.3%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
58.0%
pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-6
58.3%
Brock Purdy sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:0959% → 59%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
59.3%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+16
59.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 16 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
60.0%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Michael Woods IISimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
59.3%
pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+16
59.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 16 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
60.1%
pass incomplete to Michael Woods IISimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
59.9%
Caleb Williams run for 8 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
59.9%
Caleb Williams run for 8 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
60.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 10
50
0
59.3%
Michael Turk punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 13:3542% → 43%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
58.2%
Xavier Hutchinson run for no gain to the IowSt 10Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to for 4 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+5
58.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+2
59.1%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+45
59.3%
Andrew Mevis punt for 45 yds , Eric Gray returns for no gain to the Okla 26 , Eric Gray returns for no gain to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
56.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 4 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+5
57.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 5:2961% → 63%
Q2 5:29
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
61.0%
Gabe Brkic 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
60.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 14 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
61.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+23
62.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 23 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
64.2%
Caleb Williams sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+19
63.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 19 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
64.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
64.1%
Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
62.7%
pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 0:0931% → 32%
Q2 0:09
3RD & 21
OPP 40
+42
69.4%
Jalen Redmond 42 Yd Fumble Return (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
70.5%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
68.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
69.9%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+15
68.3%
Breece Hall run for 15 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
67.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Jarrod Hufford) to the IowSt 48Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+4
69.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 4 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+4
68.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 4 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+15
67.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 15 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
69.2%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 13:3967% → 75%
Q3 13:39
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+10
67.2%
Michael Turk punt for 48 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 10 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
77.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
76.6%
pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-5
75.4%
Caleb Williams sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 12:1631% → 32%
Q3 12:16
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
68.9%
Andrew Mevis punt for 55 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
66.4%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
50
0
65.7%
pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
50
-6
67.7%
Brock Purdy sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 10:2068% → 76%
Q3 10:20
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+6
67.7%
Michael Turk punt for 56 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 6 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
76.4%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
76.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, false start (Chris Murray) to the Okla 1Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+5
75.1%
Caleb Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 5 Caleb Williams fumbled, recovered by Okla Anton Harrison Anton Harrison run for 5 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
76.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 3 yds to the Okla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 7:0833% → 35%
Q3 7:08
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
66.7%
Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
67.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+3
65.0%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
65.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
65.0%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
65.4%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:0276% → 80%
Q3 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
76.1%
Mario Williams 11 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
78.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
79.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-1
79.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
79.0%
pass incomplete to Eric GraySimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+4
77.1%
Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
79.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+22
80.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 22 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
80.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the IowSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 3:4131% → 31%
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
69.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.5%
pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:5578% → 80%
Q3 1:55
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
77.6%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Jake HummelSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
79.2%
pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
78.4%
Eric Gray run for 12 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
79.8%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
79.7%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 4:0830% → 25%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
69.7%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+7
70.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+4
70.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 4 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+2
70.8%
Hunter Dekkers run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37 Hunter Dekkers fumbled, recovered by IowSt Hunter Dekkers for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
74.7%
Chase Allen 12 Yd pass from Hunter Dekkers (Andrew Mevis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 8:4584% → 91%
Q4 8:45
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
84.4%
Michael Turk punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 19 , Jaylin Noel returns for 9 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-9
91.6%
Caleb Williams sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
90.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 9 yds to the Okla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 7:2614% → 10%
Q4 7:26
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
85.9%
Andrew Mevis punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
88.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
88.8%
pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+3
89.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 5:0697% → 98%
Q4 5:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.0%
Eric Gray 7 Yd Run (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+41
98.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 26 yds to the OKLAHOMA 42 IOWA ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jordyn Morgan) to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
98.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 9 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+8
98.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the IowSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
98.3%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5719% → 20%
Q4 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.0%
Charlie Kolar 2 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Andrew Mevis Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
88.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 15 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+28
86.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 28 yds Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by IowSt Tarique Milton for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
80.0%
pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+14
81.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
80.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Key Lawrence) to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23Uncategorized
4 plays · -6 yds · 2:1393% → 91%
Q4 2:13
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-2
93.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 19Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
93.0%
Michael Turk punt for 61 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for no gain to the IowSt 14Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+5
93.8%
Caleb Williams run for 5 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
91.3%
Caleb Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24INT
9 plays · 65 yds · 1:2011% → 13%
Q4 1:20
2ND & 19
OWN 36
0
88.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Breece Hall, broken up by Marcus StriplingSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+13
89.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+16
87.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
84.6%
pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
84.6%
pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 10
OPP 21
0
86.8%
Brock Purdy pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
88.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 11 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
88.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 20 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-9
86.9%
Brock Purdy sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the IowSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
91.1%
Caleb Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:57
Charlie Kolar 2 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Andrew Mevis Kick)
-17.3
TD · Q4 2:57
Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-11.5
TD · Q3 4:02
Mario Williams 11 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick)
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com