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BAY

Baylor 20 at Kansas State 10

KSU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of GameMISSED FG-10.1KSU 18.3%Chris Tennant 39 yd FG MISSEDAWAY 20 - HOME 10 · Q4 9:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:25 · Chris Tennant 39 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense−18.3Pregame prior+1.4Score differential−8.6Garbage-time factor−9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:01: Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drake Dabney for 2 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +15.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:01: Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 04:01 — BAY win probability +4.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:51: Deuce Vaughn run for 65 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +16.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Isaiah Hankins 21 Yd Field Goal — BAY win probability +9.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. MISSED FG · Q4 9:25: Chris Tennant 39 yd FG MISSED — BAY win probability +10.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10BAY made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:54BAY 4th & 4 at BAY 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09KSU 4th & 4 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01KSU 4th & 10 at BAY 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    54.9%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33BAY 4th & 16 at BAY 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:08KSU 4th & 20 at KSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−1.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53BAY 4th & 15 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:22KSU 4th & 9 at BAY 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:22KSU 4th & 9 at BAY 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:22BAY 4th & 1 at BAY 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.3%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:03KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:38BAY 4th & 6 at KSU 40, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%
    34% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:59KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:38BAY 4th & 2 at KSU 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.3%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:24KSU 4th & 10 at BAY 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−1.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−8.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:39KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:35BAY 4th & 10 at KSU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−1.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−8.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:25KSU 4th & 8 at BAY 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−7.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:44BAY 4th & 1 at KSU 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−2.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−4.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:36BAY 4th & 1 at KSU 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−1.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BAY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:09BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:01BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:51KSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0141% → 41%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
59.4%
PENALTY BAY Delay Of Game (Bohanon,Gerry) 5 yards from BAY20 to BAY15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+5
59.5%
Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the Bayl 20Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
59.5%
Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+2
59.5%
Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q1 14:54
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
59.5%
Issac Power punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 3:4541% → 42%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
59.4%
Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
59.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 1 yd to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+9
59.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
59.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 2 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
57.6%
Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 45 yds · 5:0858% → 56%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
58.0%
Thompson,Skylar pass incomplete to Knowles,Malik PENALTY BAY Roughing The Passer (Bernard,Terrel) 15 yards from KSU29 to KSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
58.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+2
58.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+5
58.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 4
50
+13
58.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 13 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
58.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 4 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+4
58.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
58.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+7
56.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2845% → 44%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
55.5%
Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
55.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-8
55.9%
Gerry Bohanon sacked by Daniel Green for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 24Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
55.8%
Issac Power punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:2556% → 53%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
55.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+6
56.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
56.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 20
OWN 32
0
55.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 20
OWN 32
0
55.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Joe ErvinSimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 20
OWN 32
+15
53.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 52 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 15 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:1546% → 47%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
53.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Drew EstradaSimilar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+29
54.1%
Trestan Ebner run for 29 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
52.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 10 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-12
52.7%
Gerry Bohanon sacked by Nate Matlack for a loss of 12 yards to the Bayl 43Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 22
OWN 43
0
53.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Drew EstradaSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 22
OWN 43
0
52.7%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 15
50
0
53.1%
Issac Power punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:3153% → 51%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+25
53.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 25 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
54.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 3
50
0
54.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 3
50
+3
53.5%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
53.9%
Malik Knowles run for 4 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+5
52.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
53.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
50.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 11Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
50.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8TD
17 plays · 74 yds · 7:2150% → 67%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
50.1%
Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+1
50.0%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 27Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+8
51.0%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 8 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+4
50.2%
Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
48.9%
Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+20
48.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drake Dabney for 20 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
48.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
48.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 9 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
48.3%
Gerry Bohanon run for 4 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
48.0%
Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+14
48.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 14 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
48.0%
Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
48.0%
Abram Smith run for no gain to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+10
48.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 10 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drake Dabney for 2 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1029% → 44%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
29.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
28.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
28.2%
Ty Zentner punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the KanSt 35Similar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
44.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 65 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10FG
19 plays · 71 yds · 2:5158% → 69%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete pass complete to for 2 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
43.1%
Trestan Ebner run for 11 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
41.2%
Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
40.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 7 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+11
40.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 11 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
39.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 1 yd to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+7
39.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 7 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+2
40.1%
Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+32
39.4%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 32 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
37.0%
Blake Shapen pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
37.0%
Shapen,Blake pass incomplete to Thornton,Tyquan PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Brents,Julius) 2 yards from KSU04 to KSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.8%
Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
36.2%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Drew EstradaSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
31.5%
Isaiah Hankins 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0139% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
39.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
40.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
39.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q3 13:59
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
37.6%
Ty Zentner punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 37 yds · 2:2161% → 64%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+28
38.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 28 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
37.2%
Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
37.3%
Monaray Baldwin run for 1 yd to the Bayl 49Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+4
37.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+1
36.4%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the KanSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:1438% → 41%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
38.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 12 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
39.0%
Joe Ervin run for 2 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
39.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Sammy WheelerSimilar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+18
38.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 18 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
40.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 11 yds to the Bayl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
40.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
40.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Sammy WheelerSimilar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
38.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
41.4%
Chris Tennant 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:1962% → 68%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
37.6%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 4 yds to the Bayl 36Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
36.7%
Kalon Barnes run for 4 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+6
36.4%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Abram Smith for 6 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
36.0%
Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 6
50
+12
35.5%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 12 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
35.4%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
32.3%
Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41 Blake Shapen fumbled, forced by Nate Matlack, recovered by KanSt TJ SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2642% → 37%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
41.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+5
39.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
40.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
37.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:0466% → 75%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
33.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+15
33.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 15 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
31.9%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
32.5%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 8 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
31.3%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
30.8%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+28
30.8%
Blake Shapen run for 28 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
29.6%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 7 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+9
26.5%
Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
26.5%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.5%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 14:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
25.8%
Blake Shapen sacked by Timmy Horne for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 10Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
25.4%
Isaiah Hankins 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 4:1025% → 18%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
25.4%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Gabe Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
24.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+48
24.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 48 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
31.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Bayl 22Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-1
31.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Gabe Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 23Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+2
28.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 2 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
18.3%
Chris Tennant 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:4185% → 91%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
15.3%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 2 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
15.6%
Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+31
15.4%
Trestan Ebner run for 31 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
13.5%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
13.6%
Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+5
13.9%
Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+10
9.0%
Abram Smith run for 10 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19INT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0113% → 10%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
12.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Brayden Utley for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+4
11.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 4 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+15
11.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 15 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
13.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
10.4%
Jaren Lewis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
11 plays · 24 yds · 3:4393% → 98%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
7.3%
Blake Shapen run for 7 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+9
7.1%
Blake Shapen run for 9 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
6.7%
Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
4.1%
Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
3.9%
Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
2.2%
Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
2.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-2
1.9%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:51
Deuce Vaughn run for 65 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)
+16
TD · Q2 4:01
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drake Dabney for 2 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
-15.1
MISSED FG · Q4 9:25
Chris Tennant 39 yd FG MISSED
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com