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KU

Kansas 57 at Texas 56

TEX
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:27 · Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 37 , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 15 yds to the Texas 46 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerrin Thompson) to the Texas 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 113Pregame prior+23.9Home team on offense−35.2Score differential−20.2Garbage-time factor−7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:59: Devin Neal run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +29.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:21: Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +23.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:39: Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 8 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +22.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:22: Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +47.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Marcus Washington 8 Yd pass from Casey Thompson (Cameron Dicker Kick) — TEX win probability +31.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q2 11:10KU 4th & 6 at KU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  2. Q3 8:11TEX 4th & 25 at TEX 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−5.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  3. Q3 6:27KU 4th & 9 at KU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−3.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  4. Q3 6:27KU 4th & 9 at KU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−3.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 2:05KU 4th & 13 at KU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−7.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  6. Q4 14:48KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:58TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:34KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.2%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:34KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.2%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:34KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.2%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:34KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.2%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:44KU 4th & 9 at KU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 7KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:58KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:36KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:14TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:48TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:25KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:14KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:00KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:17TEX Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 8:59KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:50TEX Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 1:21TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 8:47KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−1.3
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 4:39TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−1.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 0:22TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−7.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:024% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
96.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.4%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
96.4%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
96.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 9 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
96.4%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+8
96.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
96.4%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+9
96.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 9 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
96.4%
Devin Neal run for 11 yds to the Texas 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
96.4%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.3%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:1895% → 94%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
94.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
94.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+7
94.6%
Casey Thompson run for 7 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
94.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Kelvontay Dixon for 12 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
93.9%
Casey Thompson sacked by Kyron Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 35 Casey Thompson fumbled, recovered by Kans Rich Miller , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 5:047% → 11%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Steven McBride for 5 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
93.4%
Trevor Wilson run for 3 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+14
93.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 14 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
93.4%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+9
93.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 9 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
93.3%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 19 yds to the Texas 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
93.3%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the Texas 11Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
93.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
88.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 11 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2289% → 90%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
89.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 17 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
89.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
-5
89.5%
Thompson,Casey pass incomplete to Washington,Marcus broken up by Logan Jr.,Kenny PENALTY TEX Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Imade,Tope) 5 yards from KAN49 to TEX46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
89.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+18
89.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Kelvontay Dixon for 18 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
89.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+2
89.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+4
89.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
90.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0411% → 11%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
88.9%
Trevor Wilson pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
89.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
88.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:2289% → 92%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
88.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 9 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+8
89.3%
Jonathon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
89.4%
Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 9
50
+10
89.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Kelvontay Dixon for 10 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
89.5%
Jonathon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+33
91.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 33 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2310% → 23%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
90.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 20 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
89.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 2 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+10
89.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 10 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+7
89.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 7 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
89.2%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-2
89.2%
Jalon Daniels sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+14
86.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 14 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
86.3%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+10
86.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 10 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
86.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Texas 9Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
77.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5081% → 79%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.8%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Kelvontay DixonSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
79.1%
Hudson Card sacked by Kyron Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 23 Hudson Card fumbled, recovered by Kans Kyron Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:2125% → 34%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
75.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Trevor WilsonSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
75.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 4 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
65.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 19 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-31
57.0%
Jacobee Bryant 31 Yd Interception Return (Jacob Borcila Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11END OF HALF
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:5956% → 55%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
56.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+10
55.9%
Thompson,Casey pass incomplete to Dixon,Kelvontay PENALTY KAN Holding (Webb,Jeremy) 10 yards from TEX05 to TEX15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
56.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 19 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
56.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 8 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
56.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-15
54.6%
TEXAS Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:4355% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
54.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+14
56.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 14 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
57.2%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-10
56.9%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+3
55.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+14
55.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 14 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
57.8%
Casey Thompson run for 2 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
58.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jared Wiley for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+24
57.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 24 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
59.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.6%
Casey Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1843% → 76%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+58
56.9%
Devin Neal run for 58 yds to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
54.1%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
24.5%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -15 yds · 0:4834% → 31%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
33.9%
PENALTY TEX False Start (Washington,Marcus) 5 yards from TEX25 to TEX20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-10
33.6%
Thompson,Casey pass complete to Worthy,Xavier for 5 yards to the TEX25 (Bryant,Jacobee) PENALTY TEX Pass Interference (Brewer,Cade) 10 yards from TEX20 to TEX10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 25
OWN 10
0
33.6%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 25
OWN 10
0
33.6%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 25
OWN 10
0
33.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q3 8:11
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+3
31.2%
Cameron Dicker punt for 53 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 3 yds to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4476% → 82%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
23.6%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
23.7%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
23.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+15
18.1%
Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 37 , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 15 yds to the Texas 46 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerrin Thompson) to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+15
18.1%
Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 12 , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 15 yds to the Texas 46 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerrin Thompson) to the Texas 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 2:3727% → 44%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
27.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+18
27.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 18 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
27.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 16 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
29.6%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
29.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 7 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
30.2%
PENALTY KAN Illegal Substitution declined KAN Offside (Parker,Steven) 5 yards from KAN45 to KAN40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
30.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
30.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 15 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
43.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:4565% → 68%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.3%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
35.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
35.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
36.6%
Vernon,Reis punt 45 yards to the TEX28 Jamison,D'Shawn return 0 yards to the PENALTY KAN Illegal Motion (Casey,Jared) 5 yards from KAN27 to KAN22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
32.4%
Reis Vernon punt blocked by Marcus Washington blocked by Marcus WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:4439% → 63%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
39.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 15 yds to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
39.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
62.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3349% → 51%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
46.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
47.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Trevor WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
48.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5054% → 48%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
53.7%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
52.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
53.0%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+9
47.9%
Cameron Dicker punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 27 , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 9 yds to the Kans 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:1157% → 95%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
42.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+9
41.8%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
40.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 29 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
38.0%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
34.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+16
35.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 16 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
34.7%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Texas 4Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
34.7%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 2 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 3:5712% → 38%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
11.6%
Jonathon Brooks run for 14 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
12.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 12 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
12.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
12.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Roschon Johnson for no gain to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+12
12.3%
Casey Thompson run for 12 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Nate Betts) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
13.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 9 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+10
14.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 10 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
15.9%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Roschon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+25
15.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 25 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
16.2%
Thompson,Casey pass incomplete to Dixon,Kelvontay PENALTY TEX Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Kerstetter,Derek) 5 yards from KAN08 to KAN13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
15.5%
Casey Thompson run for 5 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
38.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 8 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:0580% → 92%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
19.7%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
21.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 7 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
8.2%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
8.2%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
8.2%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
8.2%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:2432% → 27%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
31.7%
PENALTY TEX UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Coburn,Keondre) 15 yards from KAN34 to KAN49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
26.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 14 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
31.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
33.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
33.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 2 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
26.8%
Casey Thompson pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:2695% → 97%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
5.2%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
3.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+1
3.2%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+25
3.5%
Reis Vernon punt for 38 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 25 yds to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:2215% → 65%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
14.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 9 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
17.4%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+25
64.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
50.6%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 8
OPP 9
+8
82.3%
Marcus Washington 8 Yd pass from Casey Thompson (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-82.3
TD · Q4 0:22
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+47.2
TD · OT 0:00
Marcus Washington 8 Yd pass from Casey Thompson (Cameron Dicker Kick)
+31.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com