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TCU

TCU 17 at Oklahoma State 63

OKST
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:47 · J.Sandy punts 43 yards to OKS 31, Center-TCU. Fair catch by J.Nixon.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense+36.1Pregame prior+3.0Score differential+30.4Blowout margin+16.5Garbage-time factor+10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:04: J.Warren rushed to TCU End Zone for 1 yards. J.Warren for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — OKST win probability +2.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 2:08: G.Kell 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TCU, Holder-TCU. — TCU win probability +1.3 pts (now 26%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 15:00: J.Warren rushed to TCU End Zone for 6 yards. J.Warren for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — OKST win probability +4.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:04: J.Warren rushed to TCU End Zone for 2 yards. J.Warren for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on TCU-O.Mathis, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. — OKST win probability +5.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:50: S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 46. Catch made by B.Green at TCU 46. Gain of 46 yards. B.Green for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — OKST win probability +6.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TCU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 8:24TCU 4th & 3 at OKST 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:08TCU 4th & 18 at OKST 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00OKST 4th & 1 at TCU 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:13TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:07OKST 4th & 7 at TCU 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:47TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:47OKST 4th & 1 at TCU 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−1.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:12TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:18TCU 4th & 16 at TCU 19, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:10TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 33, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:18TCU 4th & 16 at TCU 25, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:47TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 26, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:28TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 45, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:04OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 15:00OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:04OKST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:50OKST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:13OKST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:22OKST Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:30OKST Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:44TCU Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:15OKST Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:4076% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.7%
S.Sanders pass complete to OKS 25. Catch made by T.Martin at OKS 25. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by N.Bradford at OKS 30.Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
75.6%
J.Warren rushed to OKS 32 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Winters at OKS 32.Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
75.5%
S.Sanders pass complete to OKS 32. Catch made by B.Presley at OKS 32. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by T.Carter at OKS 39.Similar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
75.5%
J.Warren rushed to OKS 42 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Bethley at OKS 42.Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+24
75.5%
S.Sanders pass complete to OKS 42. Catch made by B.Presley at OKS 42. Gain of 24 yards. B.Presley FUMBLES, forced by T.Hodges-Tomlinson. Fumble RECOVERED by TCU-L.Van Zandt at TCU 34. Tackled by OKS at TCU 34.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:4425% → 26%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
75.3%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 34. Catch made by E.Demercado at TCU 34. Gain of 8 yards. E.Demercado ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
75.1%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 42. Catch made by T.Barber at TCU 42. Gain of yards. Tackled by OKS at OKS 31. PENALTY on TCU-T.Barber, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
75.1%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 43 for 6 yards. Tackled by B.Martin at TCU 43.Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+8
74.9%
Q.Johnston rushed to OKS 49 for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Bernard-Converse at OKS 49.Similar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
74.6%
E.Demercado rushed to OKS 41 for 8 yards. Tackled by D.Harper at OKS 41.Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
74.4%
E.Demercado rushed to OKS 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.McCalister, B.Martin at OKS 40.Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
74.3%
B.Matiscik rushed to OKS 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Martin, J.Bernard-Converse at OKS 38.Similar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
74.2%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris sacked at OKS 43 for -5 yards (C.Oliver)Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+14
74.3%
D.Davis rushed to OKS 29 for 14 yards. Tackled by M.Rodriguez at OKS 29.Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 1
OPP 29
-2
73.9%
C.Morris rushed to OKS 31 for -2 yards. Tackled by M.Rodriguez at OKS 31.Similar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 3
OPP 31
-1
73.9%
C.Morris pass complete to OKS 31. Catch made by Q.Johnston at OKS 31. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by J.Bernard-Converse, J.Taylor at OKS 32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:1374% → 77%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
74.2%
S.Sanders rushed to OKS 35 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Horton at OKS 35.Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
74.1%
J.Warren rushed to OKS 41 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Winters at OKS 41.Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
74.2%
J.Warren rushed to OKS 45 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Horton, T.Carter at OKS 45.Similar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
74.3%
S.Sanders rushed to OKS 49 for 4 yards. Tackled by TCU at OKS 49.Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+7
74.4%
S.Sanders pass complete to OKS 49. Catch made by J.Warren at OKS 49. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by L.Van Zandt at TCU 44.Similar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
74.4%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for B.Presley.Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
74.3%
S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 44. Catch made by J.Richardson at TCU 44. Gain of 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by TCU at TCU 34.Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
74.5%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for T.Martin.Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+31
74.5%
S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 34. Catch made by B.Green at TCU 34. Gain of 31 yards. Pushed out of bounds by N.Bradford at TCU 3.Similar
Q1 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
74.4%
J.Warren rushed to TCU 1 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Hodge at TCU 1.Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.1%
J.Warren rushed to TCU End Zone for 1 yards. J.Warren for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:5324% → 26%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.2%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 35 for 10 yards. Tackled by C.Holmes at TCU 35.Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+46
76.0%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 35. Catch made by D.DiNunzio at TCU 35. Gain of 46 yards. Tackled by C.Holmes at OKS 19.Similar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
74.9%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris sacked at OKS 20 for -1 yards (I.Antwine)Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-1
75.0%
C.Morris pass complete to OKS 20. Catch made by D.Davis at OKS 20. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by T.Harper, B.Evers at OKS 21.Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 12
OPP 21
-6
75.6%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris sacked at OKS 27 for -6 yards (K.Harvell-Peel)Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 18
OPP 27
0
74.3%
G.Kell 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TCU, Holder-TCU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 1:5674% → 78%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
74.0%
S.Sanders pass complete to OKS 31. Catch made by B.Presley at OKS 31. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by C.Ceasar at OKS 30.Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+12
73.7%
S.Sanders scrambles to OKS 42 for 12 yards. Tackled by T.Cooper, N.Bradford at OKS 42.Similar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+43
74.4%
J.Warren rushed to TCU 15 for 43 yards. Tackled by N.Bradford at TCU 15.Similar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
75.0%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for J.Bray.Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
75.0%
S.Sanders scrambles to TCU 15 for 0 yards. Tackled by O.Mathis at TCU 15.Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+9
74.5%
S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 15. Catch made by B.Presley at TCU 15. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by T.Carter at TCU 6.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
77.9%
J.Warren rushed to TCU End Zone for 6 yards. J.Warren for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4222% → 22%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.7%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Walterscheid, T.McCalister at TCU 29.Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
77.5%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris pass incomplete intended for Q.Brown.Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
78.0%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris pass incomplete intended for D.Davis.Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+48
78.5%
J.Sandy punts 48 yards to OKS 23, Center-TCU. B.Presley returned punt from the OKS 23. Tackled by D.Davis at OKS 29.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:5578% → 79%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
78.1%
S.Sanders pass complete to OKS 29. Catch made by B.Green at OKS 29. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by N.Bradford at TCU 50.Similar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
78.9%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for OKS.Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 0
+3
79.9%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 47 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Winters, O.Mathis at TCU 47.Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
79.5%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for T.Martin.Similar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+38
78.8%
T.Hutton punts 38 yards to TCU 9, Center-OKS. Fair catch by D.Davis.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:1222% → 21%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
78.4%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 22 for 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Holmes at TCU 22.Similar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
78.2%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 28 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Harper, M.Rodriguez at TCU 28.Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+9
77.9%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 37 for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Rodriguez at TCU 37.Similar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
77.9%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 42 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Harper at TCU 42.Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
77.7%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris pass incomplete intended for Q.Johnston.Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
78.1%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris pass incomplete intended for B.Nowell.Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+42
78.9%
J.Sandy punts 42 yards to OKS 16, Center-TCU. Fair catch by B.Presley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
16 plays · 99 yds · 5:3680% → 87%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
79.6%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for T.Martin.Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+7
79.8%
J.Warren rushed to OKS 23 for 7 yards. Tackled by TCU at OKS 23.Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+9
79.6%
S.Sanders pass complete to OKS 23. Catch made by T.Martin at OKS 23. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by T.Hodges-Tomlinson at OKS 32.Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+24
80.1%
J.Warren rushed to TCU 44 for 24 yards. Tackled by T.Carter; J.Foster at TCU 44.Similar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
81.2%
J.Warren rushed to TCU 43 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Horton at TCU 43.Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+16
81.3%
S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 43. Catch made by B.Presley at TCU 43. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 27.Similar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
80.8%
S.Sanders scrambles to TCU 22 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Winters at TCU 22.Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+7
81.3%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 15 for 7 yards. Tackled by N.Bradford, E.Barquet at TCU 15.Similar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
81.5%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 12 for 3 yards. Tackled by O.Mathis at TCU 12.Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+5
81.6%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 7 for 5 yards. Tackled by O.Mathis at TCU 7.Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+2
81.3%
J.Warren rushed to TCU 5 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Foster at TCU 5. The Replay Official reviewed the first down and the play was overturned. J.Warren rushed to TCU 6 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Foster at TCU 6.Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+1
80.7%
J.Warren rushed to TCU 5 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Hodge, T.Cooper at TCU 5.Similar
Q2 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
81.9%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for B.Presley. PENALTY on TCU-C.Ceasar, Defensive Pass Interference, 3 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.3%
J.Warren rushed to TCU End Zone for 2 yards. J.Warren for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on TCU-O.Mathis, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1114% → 13%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.5%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 25. Catch made by T.Barber at TCU 25. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by J.Bernard-Converse at TCU 27.Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
86.6%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 27. Catch made by A.Watkins at TCU 27. Gain of 27 yards. Tackled by J.Jernigan at OKS 46.Similar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
85.6%
A.Watkins rushed to OKS 46 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Harper at OKS 46.Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
86.3%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris pass incomplete intended for Q.Johnston.Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-4
86.7%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris sacked at OKS 50 for -4 yards (M.Rodriguez) C.Morris FUMBLES, forced by M.Rodriguez. Fumble RECOVERED by TCU-TCU at OKS 50. TCU FUMBLES, out of bounds.Similar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 14
OPP 0
+39
87.4%
J.Sandy punts 39 yards to OKS 11, Center-TCU. Fair catch by B.Presley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 0:5588% → 95%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
87.7%
J.Warren rushed to OKS 14 for yards. Tackled by TCU at OKS 14. PENALTY on TCU-P.Jenkins, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 5
OWN 16
+17
88.0%
S.Sanders pass complete to OKS 16. Catch made by T.Martin at OKS 16. Gain of 17 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Carter at OKS 33. PENALTY on TCU-T.Carter, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
88.4%
S.Sanders pass complete to OKS 48. Catch made by B.Presley at OKS 48. Gain of 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Foster at TCU 46.Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
88.5%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for B.Green.Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+46
95.0%
S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 46. Catch made by B.Green at TCU 46. Gain of 46 yards. B.Green for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:3610% → 5%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.0%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris pass incomplete intended for T.Barber.Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.1%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by K.Harvell-Peel at TCU 31.Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
89.6%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by I.Antwine at TCU 33.Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
93.6%
PENALTY on TCU-D.Winters, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
93.8%
J.Sandy punts yards to OKS 7, Center-TCU. Downed by TCU. PENALTY on OKS-L.Bishop, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
94.9%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 43. Catch made by A.Watkins at TCU 43. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by D.Harper at TCU 48.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:425% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.3%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 25. Catch made by Q.Johnston at TCU 25. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by M.Rodriguez at TCU 23.Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-6
95.6%
D.Davis rushed to TCU 17 for -6 yards. Tackled by D.Harper at TCU 17.Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+2
95.2%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 17. Catch made by B.Nowell at TCU 17. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by J.Jernigan at TCU 19.Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+44
94.8%
J.Sandy punts 44 yards to OKS 37, Center-TCU. Downed by D.Perkins-McAllister.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:5097% → 99%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.0%
J.Warren rushed to OKS 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Hodge at OKS 40.Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
97.2%
J.Warren rushed to OKS 44 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Foster at OKS 44.Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+3
97.4%
J.Warren rushed to OKS 47 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Bethley at OKS 47.Similar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
97.4%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 49 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Hodge at TCU 49.Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
97.6%
S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 49. Catch made by B.Green at TCU 49. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by T.Carter at TCU 46.Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+12
97.7%
S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 46. Catch made by T.Martin at TCU 46. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 34.Similar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
97.8%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 30 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Coleman, T.Carter at TCU 30.Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+9
98.0%
S.Sanders scrambles to TCU 21 for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Foster at TCU 21.Similar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
98.0%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 10 for 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Stewart at TCU 10.Similar
Q3 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.1%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for OKS. PENALTY on TCU-T.Hodges-Tomlinson, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU End Zone for 5 yards. D.Jackson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.9%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris pass incomplete intended for B.Conwright.Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.0%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 31. Catch made by M.Brooks at TCU 31. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by M.Rodriguez, J.Muhammad at TCU 38.Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
98.8%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris pass incomplete intended for E.Demercado.Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
99.0%
PENALTY on TCU-J.Sandy, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+45
99.1%
J.Sandy punts 45 yards to OKS 22, Center-TCU. Fair catch by B.Presley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:4199% → 100%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.3%
S.Sanders scrambles to OKS 28 for 6 yards. Tackled by TCU at OKS 28.Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
99.3%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for OKS.Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+5
99.3%
S.Sanders scrambles to OKS 33 for 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by TCU at OKS 33.Similar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.4%
S.Sanders scrambles to OKS 39 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Horton at OKS 39.Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+28
99.4%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU 33 for 28 yards. Tackled by S.Banks at TCU 33.Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.5%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU 25 for 8 yards. Tackled by T.Carter at TCU 25.Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+18
99.5%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU 7 for 18 yards. Tackled by T.Hodges-Tomlinson at TCU 7.Similar
Q3 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.5%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU 5 for 2 yards. Tackled by L.Van Zandt at TCU 5.Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.6%
S.Sanders rushed to TCU 2 for 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by N.Bradford at TCU 2.Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU End Zone for 2 yards. S.Sanders for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
99.7%
C.Morris pass complete to TCU 21. Catch made by T.Barber at TCU 21. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by K.Harvell-Peel at TCU 31.Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.7%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 32 for 1 yards. Tackled by B.Martin, D.Harper at TCU 32.Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-7
99.7%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris sacked at TCU 25 for -7 yards (T.Lacy) PENALTY on TCU-C.Morris, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 16
OWN 25
0
99.8%
C.Morris steps back to pass. C.Morris pass incomplete intended for T.Barber.Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+30
99.8%
J.Sandy punts 30 yards to OKS 45, Center-TCU. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.7%
D.Jackson rushed to OKS 47 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Horton at OKS 47.Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+8
99.7%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 45 for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Foster at TCU 45.Similar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.7%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 39 for 6 yards. Tackled by N.Bradford at TCU 39.Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
99.8%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for J.Bray. PENALTY on TCU-K.Coleman, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, declined. PENALTY on TCU-T.Hodges-Tomlinson, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
99.8%
S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 24. Catch made by J.Richardson at TCU 24. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by J.Hodge at TCU 11.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
99.8%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 13 for -2 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 13.Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+11
99.8%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 2 for 11 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 2.Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
99.8%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU 2 for 0 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 2.Similar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
PENALTY on TCU-E.Barquet, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 1 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
D.Jackson rushed to TCU End Zone for 1 yards. D.Jackson for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+62
99.9%
S.Jackson pass complete to TCU 25. Catch made by T.Barber at TCU 25. Gain of 62 yards. Tackled by OKS at OKS 13.Similar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
E.Demercado rushed to OKS End Zone for 13 yards. E.Demercado for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
D.Richardson rushed to OKS 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by TCU at OKS 31.Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
E.Bullock rushed to OKS 28 for -3 yards. E.Bullock FUMBLES, forced by TCU. Fumble RECOVERED by TCU-C.Ellison at OKS 28. C.Ellison for yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 96 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
D.Richardson rushed to OKS 34 for 9 yards. Tackled by P.Jenkins at OKS 34.Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+27
99.8%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU 39 for 27 yards. Tackled by N.Bradford at TCU 39.Similar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
E.Bullock steps back to pass. E.Bullock pass incomplete intended for OKS. PENALTY on TCU-S.Misi, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+8
99.9%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU 26 for 8 yards. Tackled by S.Misi at TCU 26.Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.9%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU 20 for 6 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 20.Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
99.9%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU 20 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Winters at TCU 20.Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
D.Richardson rushed to TCU End Zone for 20 yards. D.Richardson for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
E.Demercado rushed to TCU 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by P.Robertson at TCU 31.Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
S.Jackson steps back to pass. S.Jackson sacked at TCU 29 for -2 yards (K.Farrar; P.Robertson)Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
99.9%
S.Jackson steps back to pass. S.Jackson sacked at TCU 26 for -3 yards (K.Farrar)Similar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+43
99.9%
J.Sandy punts 43 yards to OKS 31, Center-TCU. Fair catch by J.Nixon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
J.Nixon rushed to OKS 32 for 1 yards. Tackled by TCU at OKS 32.Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
J.Nixon rushed to OKS 37 for 5 yards. Tackled by TCU at OKS 37.Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+63
99.9%
J.Nixon rushed to TCU End Zone for 63 yards. J.Nixon for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
100.0%
S.Jackson rushed to TCU 17 for 2 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Rucker at TCU 17.Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+25
100.0%
A.Watkins rushed to TCU 42 for 25 yards. Tackled by OKS at TCU 42.Similar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
100.0%
S.Jackson rushed to TCU 49 for 7 yards. S.Jackson ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
100.0%
A.Watkins rushed to TCU 49 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Cobb at TCU 49.Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-4
100.0%
A.Watkins rushed to TCU 45 for -4 yards. Tackled by OKS at TCU 45.Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+47
100.0%
J.Sandy punts 47 yards to OKS 8, Center-TCU. Fair catch by J.Nixon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
100.0%
Z.Middleton rushed to OKS 12 for 4 yards. Tackled by W.Harris at OKS 12.Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+1
100.0%
G.Gundy rushed to OKS 13 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Ellison at OKS 13.Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+7
100.0%
A.Washington rushed to OKS 20 for 7 yards. Tackled by TCU at OKS 20.Similar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
A.Washington rushed to OKS 21 for 1 yards. Tackled by TCU at OKS 21.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:50
S.Sanders pass complete to TCU 46. Catch made by B.Green at TCU 46. Gain of 46 yards. B.Green for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+6.5
TD · Q2 5:04
J.Warren rushed to TCU End Zone for 2 yards. J.Warren for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on TCU-O.Mathis, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.
+5.4
TD · Q2 15:00
J.Warren rushed to TCU End Zone for 6 yards. J.Warren for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com