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WVU

West Virginia 17 at Kansas State 34

KSU
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:44 · Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 35 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Home team on offense+14.9Pregame prior+2.9Score differential+2.8Garbage-time factor+9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:57: Chris Tennant 32 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:17: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +10.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:02: Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 13 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +9.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:50: Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +9.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:22: Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +11.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 8:30WVU 4th & 9 at KSU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:27KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:46WVU 4th & 16 at WVU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:17WVU 4th & 6 at KSU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:39KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:27WVU 4th & 3 at KSU 30, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.4%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:03KSU 4th & 17 at WVU 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    78.6%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:02WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−2.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:57KSU 4th & 4 at WVU 14, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−5.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:38WVU 4th & 5 at KSU 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−5.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:10WVU 4th & 6 at KSU 20, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−3.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:25KSU 4th & 4 at WVU 8, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−6.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.6%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:50WVU 4th & 3 at KSU 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−7.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:44KSU 4th & 8 at WVU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    84.4%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:59KSU 4th & 5 at WVU 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:50KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:46KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:17KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:02WVU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:50WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:22KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:4035% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.0%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
65.0%
Jarret Doege pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 3:3065% → 67%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
65.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 15 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
65.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
65.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 4 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+7
65.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+22
65.1%
Joe Ervin run for 22 yds to the WVirg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.7%
Joe Ervin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:2034% → 33%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
66.1%
Leddie Brown run for 23 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
65.7%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
65.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 7 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
65.7%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
65.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
66.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0367% → 67%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
66.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 10Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+4
66.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+15
66.8%
Thompson,Skylar pass intercepted by Loe,Exree at KSU26 Loe,Exree return 10 yards to the KSU16 (Vaughn,Deuce) PENALTY WVU Targeting (Cowan,VanDarius) 15 yards from KSU14 to KSU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
67.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
67.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
67.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
67.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Graeson Malashevich at the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT TD
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4133% → 28%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-9
67.5%
Brown,Leddie rush for 9 yards gain to the WVU31 (Mason,Cincere) PENALTY WVU Chop Block (Frazier,Zach) 11 yard from WVU22 to WVU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 21
OWN 11
+2
67.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 2 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 23
OWN 9
0
67.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 23
OWN 9
+7
68.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 7 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 16
OWN 16
+7
71.6%
Marvin Martin 7 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:2929% → 27%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.2%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+22
71.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to for 7 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
71.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 15 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
70.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 16 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
70.1%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
70.1%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+1
70.3%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 6
OPP 29
-9
72.7%
Jarret Doege sacked by Eli Huggins for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2175% → 75%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
75.3%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
75.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-10
74.9%
Thompson,Skylar rush for 10 yards gain to the WVU49, End Of Play PENALTY KSU Holding (Long,Logan) 10 yards from KSU41 to KSU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+7
74.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
74.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:1226% → 25%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.0%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
73.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 12 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
73.6%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
73.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+14
74.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
73.1%
Leddie Brown run for 11 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
73.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
73.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 7 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
72.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+47
74.9%
Casey Legg 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:2477% → 78%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
77.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+10
77.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 10 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
78.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
78.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 46Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+23
77.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 23 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
78.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Joe ErvinSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
78.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+7
77.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 17
OPP 38
0
77.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0122% → 21%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
78.5%
Jarret Doege sacked by Daniel Green for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 3Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 12
OWN 3
0
78.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 12
OWN 3
0
78.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 12
OWN 3
+8
79.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 37 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 8 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:0580% → 86%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
80.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 12 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
80.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
80.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+7
79.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 7 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
86.3%
Chris Tennant 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:1416% → 19%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.9%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
83.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 5 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+17
83.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 17 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
82.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 7 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+17
82.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 17 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
81.5%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
81.7%
Jarret Doege run for 5 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
82.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
81.3%
Casey Legg 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
84.9%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:3184% → 95%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
84.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+10
84.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 10 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
84.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 4 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
84.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+8
83.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
84.1%
Malik Knowles run for 2 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
84.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the WVirg 4Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:086% → 17%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
93.6%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+9
94.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+20
93.6%
Leddie Brown run for 20 yds to the KanSt 40 Leddie Brown fumbled, forced by Russ Yeast, recovered by WVirg Kaden Prather for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
93.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 16 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
92.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
93.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 4 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
93.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+8
93.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
92.8%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the KanSt 13Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
83.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 13 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16MISSED FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:3789% → 92%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+38
88.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 38 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
89.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 13 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
89.4%
Joe Ervin run for 5 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+2
89.4%
Joe Ervin run for 2 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
89.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the WVirg 8Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
91.6%
Chris Tennant 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:3511% → 21%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
88.8%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
88.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
88.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 4 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
87.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
88.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+9
89.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 9 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
89.9%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+20
89.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 20 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+32
89.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kaden Prather for 32 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
88.0%
Winston Wright Jr. run for 1 yd to the KanSt 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
88.8%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:2286% → 96%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
85.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+19
85.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 19 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
87.3%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Taijh Alston for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+3
87.1%
RJ Garcia II run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+6
85.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 6 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+35
85.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 35 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:586% → 6%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
93.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 6 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.6%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 35 Leddie Brown fumbled, forced by Felix Anudike-Uzomah, recovered by KanSt Reggie StubblefieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 28 yds · 4:2597% → 99%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
96.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+5
96.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
96.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the WVirg 24Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+6
97.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 6 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+6
97.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
98.1%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+1
98.1%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+7
98.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
99.0%
Chris Tennant 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21INT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
99.2%
Jarret Doege sacked by Nate Matlack for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 30 Jarret Doege fumbled, recovered by WVirg Wyatt Milum , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 16
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Jarret Doege pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.2%
Joe Ervin run for no gain to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.2%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the WVirg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:22
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q3 10:17
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q4 11:50
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com