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OKST

Oklahoma State 24 at West Virginia 3

WVU
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:35 · Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds , Graeson Malashevich returns for no gain to the WVirg 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Home team on offense−8.3Score differential−2.8Garbage-time factor−3.2Pregame prior−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:32: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 6 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +7.2 pts (now 58%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:10: Tanner Brown 34 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +7.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:51: Jaylen Warren run for 8 yds to the WVirg 18 — OKST win probability +5.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:30: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 12 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +13.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:20: Jaylen Warren run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:41WVU 4th & 3 at OKST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21WVU 4th & 4 at OKST 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:40OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:19WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:51WVU 4th & 25 at WVU 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:41OKST 4th & 10 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:07WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:58WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:10OKST 4th & 11 at WVU 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−1.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−6.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:35OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:06WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:13OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:51WVU 4th & 24 at WVU 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−2.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:52OKST 4th & 8 at WVU 36, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−0.4
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:49WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:40OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 47, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:50WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:25OKST 4th & 4 at WVU 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:02WVU 4th & 1 at OKST 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 8:32OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:30OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:20OKST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:2444% → 47%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
44.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+32
44.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 32 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
44.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
44.6%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+7
44.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Banks for 7 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+4
45.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 4 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
45.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Devin Harper) to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+10
45.5%
Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
45.7%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the OKSt 18Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+2
45.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 2 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+5
46.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tyler Lacy) to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-2
46.1%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 13Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
46.6%
Casey Legg 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3554% → 53%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
46.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 6 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
46.3%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
46.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
47.3%
Tom Hutton punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:1147% → 47%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
46.8%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
47.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 6 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
47.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Devin Harper for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+5
47.3%
Jarret Doege run for 5 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
47.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
46.9%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 35 yds, downed at the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:1152% → 52%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
47.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
48.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 14 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
47.3%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
48.2%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Dante Stills return for no gain to the OKSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 2:0049% → 48%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
49.4%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-26
49.5%
Garrett Greene sacked by Jason Taylor II for a loss of 26 yards to the WVirg 37 Garrett Greene fumbled, forced by Jason Taylor II, recovered by WVirg Tony Mathis Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 33
OWN 37
+8
48.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 8 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 25
OWN 45
0
47.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 50 yds, downed at the OKSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:0051% → 49%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
49.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 8 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+8
49.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 8 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
49.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 18 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
48.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
48.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
48.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
50
-10
48.3%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+10
49.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 10
50
0
49.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 10
50
0
50.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Graeson Malashevich at the WVirg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2550% → 49%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
49.9%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
49.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+5
49.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Banks for 5 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
49.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 38 yds, downed at the OKSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:1951% → 55%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
49.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 9 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
48.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
49.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 18 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
48.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 2 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
48.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+13
49.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 6 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jared Bartlett) to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
42.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 6 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-5
44.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:3245% → 42%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
45.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Sione Asi) to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
45.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 7 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
46.0%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-10
45.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Tyler Lacy for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 27Similar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
42.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:4257% → 67%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
43.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Hunter Woodard) to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+7
43.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+11
43.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+13
42.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 13 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
41.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 8 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+2
39.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
39.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+18
38.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 18 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
38.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
37.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for no gain to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-1
38.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+34
32.8%
Tanner Brown 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:4336% → 36%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
36.3%
Leddie Brown run for 15 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
37.5%
Jarret Doege sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+2
35.8%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1866% → 66%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
33.6%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
33.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
32.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
34.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds , Graeson Malashevich returns for no gain to the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:1536% → 34%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
36.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for no gain to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
35.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+16
34.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 16 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
36.0%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+10
35.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 10 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
37.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-6
38.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Devin Harper for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+4
34.4%
Jarret Doege run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
34.1%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 54 yds, downed at the OKSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:4566% → 66%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
33.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+7
34.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 7 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
33.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jackie Matthews) to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
31.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
32.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
32.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for no gain to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 10
OWN 27
-3
34.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 44 yds , Graeson Malashevich returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 26 Graeson Malashevich fumbled, recovered by OKSt Korie BlackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:2172% → 86%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
28.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 8 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
28.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+5
28.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
14.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 12 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:1418% → 17%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
18.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Kody Walterscheid for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 17
OWN 17
0
17.3%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 17
OWN 17
-7
16.8%
Jarret Doege sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 24
OWN 10
0
16.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4686% → 86%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
50
+6
13.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
13.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 6 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
13.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
12.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-5
12.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Cole Birmingham) to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
12.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
13.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 33 yds, downed at the WVirg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4415% → 14%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
15.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 4Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+3
14.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+5
14.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 5 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q3 0:02
4TH & 1
OWN 12
-5
14.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 7
0
13.9%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:2989% → 97%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
11.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
11.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+28
9.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for 28 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
2.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:113% → 3%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
3.3%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-2
3.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for a loss of 2 yards Sam James fumbled, forced by Devin Harper, recovered by WVirg Reese SmithSimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
3.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
2.9%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4598% → 98%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
2.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
2.1%
Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
2.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
2.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Graeson Malashevich at the WVirg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22INT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:423% → 1%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
2.6%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 12Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+4
2.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 4 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+14
2.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 14 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
2.4%
Jarret Doege sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 24Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+11
1.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 11 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+3
2.0%
Jarret Doege run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 2
OWN 38
-2
1.3%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Christian Holmes return for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1399% → 99%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.0%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
0.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+2
0.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
0.6%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:121% → 1%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
1.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Justin Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+24
1.0%
Garrett Greene run for 9 yds to the WESTVIR 48 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Rucker) to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
1.2%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
1.0%
Garrett Greene run for 9 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
0.9%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
0.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the OKSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 21Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 13
OWN 21
-4
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:30
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 12 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
-13.9
FG · Q2 1:10
Tanner Brown 34 yd FG GOOD
-7.5
TD · Q2 8:32
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 6 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com