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KU

Kansas 3 at Oklahoma State 55

OKST
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:08 · Tom Hutton punt for 55 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Pregame prior+35.6Home team on offense+14.7Score differential+10.2Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+5.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:49: Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +0.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:27: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +1.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:42: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 36 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:58: Brennan Presley run for 14 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:23: Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:49KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:57OKST 4th & 1 at KU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:19KU 4th & 5 at KU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:43OKST 4th & 5 at KU 32, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:35KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:59KU 4th & 6 at KU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:08OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 45, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:58KU 4th & 7 at KU 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:36KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:10KU 4th & 3 at KU 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:00KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:50KU 4th & 7 at OKST 27, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:54OKST 4th & 6 at KU 9, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:55KU 4th & 9 at KU 34, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:23OKST 4th & 1 at KU 49, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:03OKST 4th & 4 at KU 37, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:23KU 4th & 1 at KU 46, down 52
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 5:49OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:27OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:42OKST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:58OKST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:23OKST Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:15OKST Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:28OKST Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:015% → 5%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.5%
Jason Bean run for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
95.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.1%
Reis Vernon punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:4395% → 95%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
95.1%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
95.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 10 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
95.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 8 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+9
94.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 9 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
94.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 11 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
94.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
94.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaylen WarrenSimilar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
94.6%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
94.6%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:236% → 6%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
94.4%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+4
94.3%
Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
94.2%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
94.2%
Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:2094% → 95%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
94.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
50
+1
94.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+19
93.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 19 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
94.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 12 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
93.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
93.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+5
93.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Jason Bean pass intercepted Jason Taylor II return for no gain to the Kans 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4794% → 94%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
94.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
94.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-1
94.3%
Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
94.2%
Tanner Brown 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:236% → 6%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
93.9%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-3
93.7%
Jason Bean run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-20
93.9%
Jason Bean pass intercepted Kolby Harvell-Peel return for 20 yds to the Kans 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:1994% → 96%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
94.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+4
94.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
94.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:405% → 5%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.5%
Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
95.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
95.3%
Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.4%
Reis Vernon punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:1896% → 97%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
95.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braden Cassity for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
50
+9
95.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 9 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
96.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
97.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 36 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:293% → 3%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
96.9%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.9%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Reis Vernon punt for 49 yds , Brennan Presley returns for no gain to the OKSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:4297% → 97%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
97.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 23 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
97.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:043% → 3%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.0%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
97.0%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
97.0%
Reis Vernon punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:4697% → 99%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
97.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 15 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
97.4%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
97.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+9
97.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for 9 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
97.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 12 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.9%
Brennan Presley run for 14 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 6 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:5299% → 99%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
99.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 15 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
99.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+5
99.2%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:001% → 1%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.4%
Jason Bean run for 8 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
99.4%
Jason Bean run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Reis Vernon punt for 42 yds, downed at the OKSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:4899% → 100%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
99.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 11 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.3%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-2
99.5%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Ronald McGee for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.5%
Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
99.5%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 6 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.5%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 6 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.6%
Shane Illingworth run for 8 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+16
99.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 16 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
99.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 14 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
99.7%
Dominic Richardson run for 15 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.7%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Bryson Green for 12 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 7:100% → 0%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
99.7%
KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 16Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+2
99.8%
Miles Kendrick run for 2 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+10
99.8%
Miles Kendrick run for 10 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+11
99.8%
Miles Kendrick run for 11 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.8%
Miles Kendrick run for 8 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
99.8%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.8%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 5 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-1
99.8%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+15
99.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tanner McCalister) to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
99.8%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+6
99.8%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 5
OPP 25
-2
99.8%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Devin Neal for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
99.8%
Jacob Borcila 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:53100% → 100%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.8%
Zach Middleton run for 3 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
99.8%
Zach Middleton run for 2 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+40
99.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Blaine Green for 40 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
99.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+18
99.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 18 yds to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 2 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22INT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 7 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-27
99.9%
Miles Kendrick pass intercepted Nick Session return for 27 yds to the Kans 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Zach Middleton run for 3 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+1
99.9%
Zach Middleton run for 1 yd to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
99.9%
Alex Hale 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:440% → 0%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 10 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Miles Kendrick run for 3 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-5
100.0%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+6
100.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 6 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-3
100.0%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Reis Vernon punt for 48 yds , Jaden Nixon returns for 2 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 5:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the OKSt 21Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
99.9%
Ethan Bullock run for 8 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+13
99.9%
Ethan Bullock pass complete to Clayton Barbour for 13 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+3
100.0%
Ethan Bullock pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+6
100.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 6 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+2
100.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+1
100.0%
Ethan Bullock run for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Ethan Bullock pass incomplete to CJ TateSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+14
100.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 14 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:27
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 5:58
Brennan Presley run for 14 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 11:42
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 36 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com