Try the model
TTU

Texas Tech 21 at Oklahoma 52

OU
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:00 · Donovan Smith pass intercepted
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+17.1Home team on offense+24.7Score differential+16.3Garbage-time factor+5.0Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:31: Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 17 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +2.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:07: Marvin Mims 67 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +1.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:11: Caleb Williams pass complete to Brayden Willis for 8 yds for a TD — OU win probability +3.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:26: Drake Stoops 12 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +4.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:52: Marvin Mims 43 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:25TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25OU 4th & 6 at OU 37, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:40TTU 4th & 5 at OU 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:07TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:41TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 48, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:44OU 4th & 15 at TTU 36, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:00TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:44TTU 4th & 3 at OU 17, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:51TTU 4th & 2 at OU 48, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TTU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 1:07OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:26OU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:52OU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:10OU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:29TTU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 7 yds · 1:3510% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.3%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Kaylon GeigerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
90.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
89.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0090% → 89%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.8%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-6
89.8%
Caleb Williams sacked by Tyree Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+19
89.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 19 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
89.9%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
89.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
89.8%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Trevon WestSimilar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
89.2%
Michael Turk punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4511% → 11%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
89.4%
Erik Ezukanma run for 9 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+7
89.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
89.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
89.2%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
89.3%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
88.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 95 yds · 3:0889% → 89%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
88.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 3 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+31
88.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 31 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
88.9%
Caleb Williams run for 6 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
89.0%
Williams,Caleb pass incomplete to West,Trevon PENALTY TTU Offside declined TTU Pass Interference (Dunlap,Malik) 15 yards from OKL45 to TTU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
89.0%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Trevon WestSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+17
89.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 17 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
89.1%
Caleb Williams run for 1 yd to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+22
88.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 22 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:5412% → 15%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
88.0%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
88.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 4 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
88.0%
Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
88.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 13 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
87.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 16 yds to the OKLAHOMA 42 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Delarrin Turner-Yell) to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
87.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+5
87.4%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
85.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 17 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:1786% → 88%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
86.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 10 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
86.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+67
88.2%
Marvin Mims 67 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0012% → 12%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
88.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 15 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
87.4%
Erik Ezukanma run for 1 yd to the TexTc 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+2
87.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
87.7%
Donovan Smith pass incomplete to J.J. SparkmanSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
87.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:5688% → 92%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
87.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brayden Willis for 16 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
87.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 14 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
88.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
88.3%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+13
87.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 13 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
88.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 36 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
88.7%
Caleb Williams run for 2 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
92.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brayden Willis for 8 yds for a TDSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
91.9%
Brayden Willis 8 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:499% → 9%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
90.7%
Colombi,Henry rush for 0 yards to the TTU27 (Broiles,Justin; Downs,Ethan) PENALTY TTU Holding (Storment,T.J.) 10 yards from TTU27 to TTU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+14
90.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 14 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
90.8%
Henry Colombi pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:5692% → 96%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
92.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
96.0%
Drake Stoops 12 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11END OF HALF
18 plays · 67 yds · 7:265% → 4%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.1%
Henry Colombi run for no gain to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Reggie Grimes) to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
94.8%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Storment,T.J.) 5 yards from TTU40 to TTU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+2
95.1%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+10
95.1%
Donovan Smith run for 10 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+1
94.8%
Donovan Smith run for 1 yd to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+15
95.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 15 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
95.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 14 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
94.7%
Xavier White run for 9 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+7
94.7%
Xavier White run for 7 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
94.7%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Rogers,Caleb) 5 yards from OKL07 to OKL12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
94.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 3 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+4
95.3%
Kaylon Geiger run for 4 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+11
95.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 11 yds to the Okla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12FG
13 plays · 39 yds · 5:1697% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Caleb Williams run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 15 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
96.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 4 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+12
96.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 12 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.8%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+7
96.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 7 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
96.8%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the TexTc 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
96.7%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brian DarbySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-5
96.7%
PENALTY OKL False Start (Murray,Chris) 5 yards from TTU31 to TTU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 36
0
96.6%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 15
OPP 36
+53
97.0%
Gabe Brkic 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:373% → 2%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
97.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 5 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+1
97.3%
Xavier White run for 1 yd to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+12
97.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 12 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
97.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 42Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+1
97.3%
Xavier White run for 1 yd to the TexTc 43Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
97.7%
Donovan Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.7%
Marvin Mims 43 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:081% → 0%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Xavier White run for 1 yd to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+17
99.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 17 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
98.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 23 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
98.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+3
98.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+8
98.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mason Tharp for 8 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
98.7%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Storment,T.J.) 5 yards from OKL24 to OKL29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+5
98.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 5 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
98.8%
Donovan Smith run for 7 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
98.6%
Donovan Smith pass incomplete to J.J. SparkmanSimilar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+17
99.7%
J.J. Sparkman 17 Yd pass from Donovan Smith (Jonathan Garibay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:04100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
99.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 9 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+26
99.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 26 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+6
99.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 6 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 3 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Stogner for 9 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17FUMBLE
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:100% → 0%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Donovan Smith pass incomplete to Kaylon GeigerSimilar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Donovan Smith pass incomplete to Mason TharpSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+15
99.9%
Smith,Donovan pass incomplete to Geiger,Kaylon broken up by Graham,D.J. PENALTY OKL Pass Interference (Graham,D.J.) 15 yards from TTU29 to TTU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-10
99.9%
White,Xavier rush for 16 yards gain to the OKL37 (Turner-Yell,Delarrin) PENALTY TTU Holding (Deaton,Dawson) 10 yards from TTU47 to TTU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 5 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+10
99.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Travis Koontz for 10 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Donovan Smith run for 5 yds to the TexTc 49 Donovan Smith fumbled, forced by Isaiah Thomas, recovered by Okla Isaiah ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.9%
Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brian Darby for 7 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
99.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 16
OPP 42
+42
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brian Darby for 42 yds for a TD TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Krishon Merriweather) declined, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
99.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 18 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
99.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mason Tharp for 23 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 5 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+12
99.9%
Xavier White run for 12 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Xavier White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20END OF GAME
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Marcus Major run for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jackson Sumlin for 6 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Damon Smith for no gain to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marcus Major for 12 yds Marcus Major fumbled, forced by Cam White, recovered by Okla for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
100.0%
Marcus Major run for 7 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:26
Drake Stoops 12 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Gabe Brkic Kick)
+4.7
TD · Q2 10:11
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brayden Willis for 8 yds for a TD
+3.5
TD · Q1 2:31
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 17 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com