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TCU

TCU 12 at Kansas State 31

KSU
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-1.7KSU 68.3%Deuce Vaughn 42 Yd Run (Chris TennantKick)AWAY 5 - HOME 14 · Q2 9:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:22 · Deuce Vaughn 42 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Home team on offense+5.4Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Pregame prior+6.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:25: Skylar Thompson 4 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +11.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:08: Griffin Kell 24 Yd Field Goal — KSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. SAFETY · Q2 6:26: Dee Winters Safety — KSU win probability +10.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:56: Deuce Vaughn 1 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +14.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:49: Daniel Imatorbhebhe 73 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:17TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:24TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:08TCU 4th & 7 at KSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:22KSU 4th & 1 at TCU 42, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%−3.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:45TCU 4th & 1 at KSU 1, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−8.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:49TCU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:53KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 19, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:48TCU 4th & 11 at TCU 36, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:22KSU 4th & 14 at KSU 18, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00TCU 4th & 4 at KSU 42, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−1.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:00TCU 4th & 4 at KSU 4, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:45TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 42, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:00TCU 4th & 3 at KSU 34, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:36KSU 4th & 3 at TCU 24, up 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 0:56KSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:49KSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
17 plays · 11 yds · 12:1740% → 39%
Q1 12:17
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+4
60.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 46 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 4 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.9%
Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
60.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 5 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
60.4%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
59.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 2 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
59.9%
pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
-5
61.0%
TCU Penalty, false start (D'Arco Perkins-McAllister) to the TCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 8:2561% → 62%
Q1 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
60.9%
Skylar Thompson 4 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
59.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-6
60.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+17
59.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 17 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
60.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 13 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
61.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+41
61.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 41 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 6:2440% → 41%
Q1 6:24
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
60.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
58.5%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
58.3%
Derius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+2
59.3%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 3:5760% → 60%
Q1 3:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
59.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 1 yd to the KanSt 28Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
59.2%
Skylar Thompson pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
59.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
59.9%
Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+5
59.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.0%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 15:0042% → 40%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
57.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 16 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-8
57.1%
Max Duggan sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+10
58.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 10 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+23
57.7%
Kendre Miller run for 23 yds to the KanSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
56.9%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
56.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
61.2%
Griffin Kell 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
59.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
70.1%
Dee Winters SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 9:2268% → 74%
Q2 9:22
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+42
68.3%
Deuce Vaughn 42 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
73.2%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-10
72.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Cooper Beebe) to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+6
72.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 6 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+26
71.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 26 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
74.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 7 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+1
74.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+1
74.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the TCU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 62 yds · 6:4531% → 31%
Q2 6:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.0%
pass incomplete to Marcel BrooksSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+61
71.6%
Kendre Miller run for 61 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.0%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.9%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.1%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:4928% → 29%
Q2 3:49
4TH & 10
50
+38
71.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 38 yds KANSAS ST Penalty, roughing kicker (Seth Porter) to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
71.2%
Daimarqua Foster run for 5 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-3
70.2%
Daimarqua Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+9
71.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
0
70.0%
Emari Demercado run to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
50
0
70.5%
pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
50
0
71.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber, broken up by Russ YeastSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 0:5685% → 84%
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.4%
Deuce Vaughn 1 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
83.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+5
83.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn TCU Penalty, off-side (Ochaun Mathis) to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+15
83.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 15 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn, broken up by Ochaun MathisSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+27
83.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 12 yds to the TCU 47 TCU Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Josh Foster) to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+37
84.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 37 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:1921% → 19%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
79.3%
Max Duggan sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 13
OWN 44
-2
80.4%
Max Duggan sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 35Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.1%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
81.1%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
80.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 18 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 13:5382% → 93%
Q3 13:53
4TH & 8
OWN 19
+7
82.2%
Ty Zentner punt for 51 yds , Derius Davis returns for 7 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
93.3%
Ben Sinnott run for 2 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
93.2%
pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
93.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Landry Weber, broken up by Tre'Vius Hodges-TomlinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 11:4816% → 8%
Q3 11:48
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+42
83.7%
Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds , Malik Knowles returns for no gain to the KanSt 22 , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
90.6%
Max Duggan sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 30
-6
91.4%
Kendre Miller run for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 24Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 23
OWN 24
+12
91.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 12 yds to the TCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 10:2285% → 93%
Q3 10:22
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
85.1%
Ty Zentner punt for 30 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
93.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 17Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 17
0
93.1%
pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+1
92.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 7:2916% → 10%
Q3 7:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
84.2%
pass incomplete to Dominic DiNunzioSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
90.3%
TCU Penalty, false start (Coy McMillon) to the TCU 47Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
90.6%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston, broken up by Russ YeastSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+4
91.1%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+7
90.6%
Chandler Morris run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+21
90.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 21 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
88.8%
pass incomplete to Derius Davis KANSAS ST Penalty, roughing passer (Reggie Stubblefield) to the KanSt 10Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
88.8%
Kendre Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 12Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
89.4%
Chandler Morris run for 8 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
90.1%
Chandler Morris sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 6:0291% → 94%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+7
91.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
93.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 22 KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Josh Foster) to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
93.2%
pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+8
93.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 8 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
93.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete TCU Penalty, off-side (Ochaun Mathis) to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
93.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
93.8%
pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-8
93.5%
Skylar Thompson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:459% → 9%
Q3 0:45
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
91.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
90.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 9 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
90.6%
Daimarqua Foster run for 2 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.6%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston, broken up by Justin GardnerSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
90.7%
Daimarqua Foster run for 7 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-10
90.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Taye Barber TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (Andrew Coker) to the TCU 37Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+5
91.5%
Chandler Morris run for 5 yds to the TCU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:1193% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
93.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+73
98.0%
Daniel Imatorbhebhe 73 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19Uncategorized
15 plays · 46 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kendre MillerSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
99.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Taye Barber for 10 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.5%
pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dominic DiNunzio for 8 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
99.5%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.5%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
50
+7
99.5%
Daimarqua Foster run for 7 yds to the KanSt 43 Daimarqua Foster fumbled, recovered by TCU Steve AvilaSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
99.5%
Chandler Morris run for 2 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.5%
Kendre Miller run for 8 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
99.4%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston, broken up by Justin GardnerSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-1
99.5%
Emari Demercado run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+4
99.5%
Chandler Morris run for 4 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Emari Demercado for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-3
99.4%
Chandler Morris sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 2:27
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+4
99.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+42
99.5%
Chris Tennant 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 14 yds to the KanSt 40 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Eric Hommel) to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 6
OWN 30
+1
99.6%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn, broken up by Jamoi HodgeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+13
99.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 13 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.6%
Jacardia Wright run for 9 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
99.6%
Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+8
99.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+6
99.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.6%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+1
99.6%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:152% → 2%
Q4 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.8%
Emari Demercado 3 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 15 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+30
98.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 30 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
97.9%
Chandler Morris run for 5 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+17
97.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 17 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
97.8%
Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:56
Deuce Vaughn 1 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)
+14
TD · Q1 8:25
Skylar Thompson 4 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)
+11.3
SAFETY · Q2 6:26
Dee Winters Safety
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com