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KSU

Kansas State 25 at Texas Tech 24

TTU
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:19 · Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+17.0+8.50−8.5−17.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense+8.7Pregame prior−2.6Score differential+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Garbage-time factor+1.0Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:55: Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK) — KSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:20: SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +12.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:08: Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK) — KSU win probability +13.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:09: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 22 yds for a TD — KSU win probability +24.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:09: THOMPSON, SaRodorick rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the TTU38 (FLETCHER, Cody). PENALTY TTU Holding on KOONTZ, Travis enforced 10 yards from the TTU25 to the TTU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). — TTU win probability +14.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:31TTU 4th & 1 at KSU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    50.7%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12KSU 4th & 15 at KSU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:59TTU 4th & 16 at TTU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:29KSU 4th & 4 at TTU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    40.0%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−3.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:55TTU 4th & 1 at KSU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−1.0
    85% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:19KSU 4th & 6 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:40KSU 4th & 6 at TTU 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00TTU 4th & 9 at KSU 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:47KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:08KSU 4th & 1 at TTU 2, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−10.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:50TTU 4th & 15 at midfield, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:43TTU 4th & 6 at KSU 34, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−1.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:09TTU 4th & 2 at KSU 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.2%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:13TTU 4th & 16 at TTU 48, down 1
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:30TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:31TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:55KSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:20TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:08KSU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
46.1%
Erik Ezukanma run for 45 yds for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3446% → 49%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
46.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+5
46.4%
Henry Colombi run for 5 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jahron McPherson) to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
46.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
47.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 3 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
47.8%
Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
Q1 11:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1952% → 49%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
47.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
47.8%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 15
OWN 21
0
47.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 15
OWN 21
+27
51.4%
Ty Zentner punt for 54 yds , Myles Price returns for 27 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1351% → 52%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
51.0%
Henry Colombi run for no gain to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
51.0%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
50.7%
Henry Colombi sacked by Nate Matlack for 0 yards to the TexTc 46Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 16
OWN 46
0
52.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
19 plays · 78 yds · 10:0448% → 46%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
51.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 23Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-5
51.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+14
51.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 14 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
51.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+30
51.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 30 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
51.1%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-10
51.1%
ERVIN, Joe rush to the right for no gain to the TTU34 (SCHOOLER, Colin). PENALTY KSU Holding on RIVAS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the TTU34 to the TTU44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 19
OPP 44
+12
51.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 12 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+3
57.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 3 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+7
57.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
56.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+5
57.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
56.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+11
57.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 11 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
58.5%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
58.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.2%
QB Keeper THOMPSON, Skylar rush up the middle for no gain to the TTU1 (HUTCHINGS, Jaylon). PENALTY TTU Offsides on WILSON, Tyree enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the TTU1 to the TTU0 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3556% → 69%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
55.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
56.2%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
55.6%
Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
55.7%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+40
56.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 40 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
57.1%
Donovan Smith run for 6 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+3
57.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
56.5%
Donovan Smith run for no gain to the KanSt 13Similar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+9
55.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
68.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:3133% → 31%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 14 yds to the KanSt 39 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+4
67.8%
Malik Knowles run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-1
67.9%
Joe Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+26
68.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 26 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
66.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 6
50
0
65.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 6
50
0
66.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 6
50
0
69.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4971% → 72%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.1%
Erik Ezukanma run for no gain to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
71.6%
Henry Colombi pass intercepted return for no gain to the TexTc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:5033% → 30%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
67.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+22
66.9%
Malik Knowles run for 22 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
66.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
66.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
67.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
69.7%
Taiten Winkel 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:4071% → 77%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
71.0%
Henry Colombi run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 24Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
70.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+48
70.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 48 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
73.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
73.6%
Henry Colombi sacked by Tyrone Taleni for 0 yards to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+12
72.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HENTZ II, Robert enforced half the distance from the goal (12 Yards) to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.7%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.7%
Henry Colombi run for no gain to the KanSt 9Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.7%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
76.5%
Jonathan Garibay 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1324% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
75.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
76.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
77.4%
Ty Zentner punt for 63 yds, downed at the TexTc 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-4
76.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 3:2527% → 42%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+32
73.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 32 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+26
72.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 26 yds to the TexTc 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
70.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the TexTc 11Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
70.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jax Dineen for 9 yds to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
71.6%
Joe Ervin run for no gain to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
58.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:1863% → 64%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
63.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+21
63.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 21 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
65.6%
Xavier White run for 4 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
66.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Offsides (Eli Huggins) to the KanSt 47Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
66.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
66.6%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
66.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 15
50
0
64.3%
Kaylon Geiger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 15
50
0
63.0%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 15
50
0
63.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 61 yds · 5:1938% → 41%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
62.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
60.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
62.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
61.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
50
+9
57.9%
Joe Ervin run for 9 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+10
57.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 10 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
56.6%
THOMPSON, Skylar pass to the left incomplete dropped by WEBER, Landry thrown to the TTU0. PENALTY KSU Holding on SINNOTT, Ben enforced 10 yards from the TTU31 to the TTU41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+14
59.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 14 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+1
56.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+7
59.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 7 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:1768% → 74%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
68.0%
Donovan Smith run for 5 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+6
69.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
69.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 23 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
71.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-10
72.5%
COLOMBI, Henry pass up the middle complete for 3 yards to KOONTZ, Travis caught at the KSU37 and advanced to the KSU32 (MCPHERSON, Jahron). PENALTY TTU Holding on STORMENT, T.J. enforced 10 yards from the KSU35 to the KSU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 45
0
69.5%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+11
67.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 11 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
74.0%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 5:3435% → 53%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
64.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 12 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
61.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Jax Dineen) to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
65.0%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Tyree Wilson for 0 yards to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 19
OWN 37
-5
66.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Christian Duffie) to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 24
OWN 32
0
66.4%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Tyree Wilson for 0 yards to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 34
OWN 22
+15
68.2%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Drew) to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
60.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
60.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+9
60.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 9 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
58.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 7 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+22
33.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 22 yds for a TDSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
47.3%
THOMPSON, SaRodorick rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the TTU38 (FLETCHER, Cody). PENALTY TTU Holding on KOONTZ, Travis enforced 10 yards from the TTU25 to the TTU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:5647% → 42%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+28
46.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 28 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
52.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
52.6%
Myles Price run for 4 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+2
51.7%
Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+3
49.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 3 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
54.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-2
54.1%
Myles Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
52.3%
Henry Colombi sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for 0 yards to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 16
OWN 48
0
42.2%
Henry Colombi run for no gain to the TexTc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
24.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+5
23.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:09
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 22 yds for a TD
-24.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23.9
TD · Q4 6:09
THOMPSON, SaRodorick rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the TTU38 (FLETCHER, Cody). PENALTY TTU Holding on KOONTZ, Travis enforced 10 yards from the TTU25 to the TTU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
+14
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com