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WVU

West Virginia 29 at TCU 17

TCU
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:17: Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +9.3 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:51: Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +14.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:14: Griffin Kell 24 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +6.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. FG · Q3 3:56: Casey Legg 49 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +8.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:26: Leddie Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WVU win probability +14.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 10:57WVU 4th & 4 at TCU 11, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:54TCU 4th & 14 at WVU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54WVU 4th & 1 at TCU 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:27TCU 4th & 8 at WVU 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:07WVU 4th & 4 at TCU 21, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.7%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:17TCU 4th & 3 at WVU 5, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−7.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:14TCU 4th & 7 at WVU 7, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:49WVU 4th & 4 at TCU 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:56WVU 4th & 11 at TCU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:13TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:58WVU 4th & 17 at WVU 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−4.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:00TCU 4th & 2 at WVU 35, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−2.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:39WVU 4th & 2 at TCU 21, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%−0.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−5.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:17WVU 4th & 6 at TCU 17, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00TCU 4th & 7 at WVU 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:07WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:17TCU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:51WVU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:26WVU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 79 yds · 3:4439% → 39%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
61.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+4
61.1%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
61.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
61.0%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+44
61.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 44 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
61.0%
Doege,Jarret pass incomplete to Ryan,Sean PENALTY TCU Pass Interference (Ceasar,C.J.) 5 yards from TCU22 to TCU17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
61.0%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the TCU 17Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
61.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 6 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q1 14:41
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
61.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+27
61.2%
Casey Legg 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:0361% → 62%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
61.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 19 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
61.6%
Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 4
50
+8
61.7%
Zach Evans run for 8 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
61.8%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
61.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-7
61.7%
Max Duggan sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
61.5%
Jordy Sandy punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
17 plays · 94 yds · 7:4738% → 42%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+10
61.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
61.9%
Leddie Brown run for 14 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
61.8%
Doege,Jarret pass incomplete to Esdale,Isaiah PENALTY TCU Holding (Bethley,Corey) 10 yards from WVU30 to WVU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
61.5%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
61.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
61.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 10 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
61.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
61.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 7 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+5
60.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
60.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 6 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
60.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+3
61.2%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
61.5%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
60.9%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
60.9%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
57.6%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:3359% → 57%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
58.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 17 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
60.2%
Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+12
60.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 12 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
60.7%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+3
60.7%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+5
60.5%
Derius Davis run for 5 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
57.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:2042% → 49%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
57.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 11
-5
57.6%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Yates,Brandon) 5 yards from WVU11 to WVU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+67
57.8%
Garrett Greene run for 67 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
54.9%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
54.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+1
55.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 1 yd to the TCU 21Similar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
51.0%
Casey Legg 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:4852% → 64%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
52.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 22 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
54.2%
Duggan,Max pass incomplete to Barber,Taye PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (Woods,Charles) 15 yards from TCU48 to WVU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
54.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 14 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
55.7%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
55.7%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+6
54.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 6 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
55.7%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
55.7%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
54.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+5
63.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2639% → 57%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
61.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 2 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
61.2%
Jarret Doege run for 7 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
60.0%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+40
59.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 40 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
58.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.5%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8FG
16 plays · 73 yds · 2:3448% → 56%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
48.0%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+49
48.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 49 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
52.6%
PENALTY TCU False Start (Coker,Andrew) 5 yards from WVU27 to WVU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+3
51.8%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+5
52.1%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+17
51.8%
Max Duggan run for 17 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
53.7%
Evans,Zach rush for 4 yards gain to the WVU03 (Loe,Exree) PENALTY TCU Holding (Eze,Obinna) 10 yards from WVU07 to WVU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+1
53.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 1 yd to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
50.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+16
48.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 16 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
49.3%
PENALTY TCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WVU02 to WVU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
55.9%
Griffin Kell 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0053% → 54%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.5%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
54.1%
Kell,Griffin kickoff 65 yards to the WVU00 Wright,Winston return 21 yards to the WVU21 (Foster,Josh) PENALTY TCU Offside (Brooks,Marcel) 5 yards from TCU35 to TCU30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 2:5849% → 51%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
51.1%
Brown,Leddie rush for 6 yards gain to the WVU38, out of bounds PENALTY WVU Holding (Milum,Wyatt) 10 yards from WVU32 to WVU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+10
52.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 10 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
51.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 8 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+5
50.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 5 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
49.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
50.2%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
49.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q3 11:49
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
49.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11INT
10 plays · 57 yds · 5:0350% → 54%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
50.4%
Kendre Miller run for 9 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
52.9%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
51.0%
Kendre Miller run for 28 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
55.0%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+7
52.6%
Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+6
54.4%
Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
56.2%
PENALTY TCU False Start (Coleman,Brandon) 5 yards from WVU29 to WVU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+7
55.5%
Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+4
56.2%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
53.6%
Max Duggan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:5057% → 64%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
43.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 11 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
42.0%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+1
41.5%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-5
43.2%
PENALTY WVU False Start (O'Laughlin,Mike) 5 yards from TCU26 to TCU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+1
43.9%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+49
36.0%
Casey Legg 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3740% → 38%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
40.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
39.9%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+1
39.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 1 yd to the TCU 36Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
37.6%
Jordy Sandy punt for 49 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for no gain to the WVirg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:1564% → 66%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
36.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 2 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
36.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+27
37.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 27 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
32.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
30.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 11 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
29.3%
Jarret Doege sacked by Corey Bethley for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 48
0
31.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 48
0
33.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
34.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
37.0%
Max Duggan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 1:1973% → 88%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
26.6%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+11
26.6%
Leddie Brown run for 11 yds to the TCU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.8%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:2619% → 17%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
19.4%
Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+10
19.8%
Zach Evans run for 10 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
20.3%
Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 4
50
+3
21.1%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+4
21.5%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
21.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Zach EvansSimilar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
20.9%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+5
21.1%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+5
16.8%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 3:2191% → 95%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
9.1%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+27
9.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 27 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
8.6%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+3
8.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 3 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+10
9.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 10 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
4.7%
Casey Legg 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:245% → 5%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
5.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 14 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+29
5.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 29 yds Quentin Johnston fumbled, forced by Sean Mahone, recovered by WVirg Charles WoodsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 3:5896% → 98%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
4.2%
Leddie Brown run for 24 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
4.0%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
4.0%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+4
4.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
4.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+7
4.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 17 yds to the TCU 2 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reese Smith) to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+2
4.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+6
1.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 6
OPP 17
0
1.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the TCU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
0.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 23 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Marcel BrooksSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
0.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 12 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quincy BrownSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
0.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Marcel Brooks for 6 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-3
1.1%
Max Duggan sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
0.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:26
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-14.8
TD · Q2 2:51
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q2 5:17
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com