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ISU

Iowa State 33 at Kansas State 20

KSU
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:27 · Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense−7.9Pregame prior−10.6Score differential−4.0Garbage-time factor−1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:02: Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +9.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Andrew Mevis 41 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +7.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:55: Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) — ISU win probability +7.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:21: Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taiten Winkel PAT MISSED) — KSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:05: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 9 yds for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK) — KSU win probability +6.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 13:08KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:36ISU 4th & 6 at KSU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 30, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:10KSU 4th & 3 at ISU 15, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.6%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:27KSU 4th & 20 at KSU 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−2.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00ISU 4th & 1 at KSU 24, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%−1.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−5.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:57KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:09ISU 4th & 1 at KSU 23, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%−1.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:05KSU 4th & 8 at ISU 9, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:23ISU 4th & 14 at KSU 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:48ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:58KSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:02ISU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:55ISU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:21KSU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    10.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:05KSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
31.3%
Breece Hall run for 75 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2231% → 31%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
31.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
31.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
31.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
31.4%
Ty Zentner punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5969% → 68%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
31.5%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
31.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 5 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
31.5%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
31.7%
Cameron Shook punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4INT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:4132% → 32%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
31.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-18
32.2%
Skylar Thompson pass intercepted Greg Eisworth II return for 18 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:0369% → 69%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
31.3%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+17
31.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 17 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
31.0%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
31.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+4
31.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 1
OPP 22
-5
31.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
31.0%
Andrew Mevis 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:1732% → 36%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
31.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
32.1%
Joe Ervin run for 5 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
32.1%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-13
32.4%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike for a loss of 13 yards to the KanSt 34 KANSAS ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the KanSt 34Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 23
OWN 34
+10
31.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+16
31.7%
Joe Ervin run for 16 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
36.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 40 yds for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1065% → 64%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
35.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 6 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
35.1%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
35.2%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
36.1%
Cameron Shook punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:1637% → 39%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
36.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 5 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+2
37.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+7
37.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
38.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+17
38.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 17 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
39.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-5
39.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 15
OPP 27
0
38.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+12
38.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 12 yds to the IowSt 15Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+43
38.7%
Taiten Winkel 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:5863% → 74%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
37.2%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
37.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+17
37.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 17 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
36.1%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
36.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 5 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
36.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
50
+21
35.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 21 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
35.3%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-10
34.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+25
35.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 25 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
34.6%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the KanSt 7Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+3
34.7%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+3
35.3%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.1%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 2:3529% → 27%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
28.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
28.7%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
28.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-9
27.9%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 15 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanStSimilar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
27.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:1974% → 84%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
26.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
25.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 4 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+16
25.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 16 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
24.3%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 4
OPP 27
-3
24.1%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+6
24.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+41
15.9%
Andrew Mevis 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4624% → 23%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
24.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 17 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
24.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
25.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
24.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
23.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13TD
19 plays · 93 yds · 9:3579% → 96%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
20.6%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+12
20.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 12 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.0%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
18.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 24Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
19.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
19.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 7 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
18.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
18.4%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
17.3%
Brock Purdy run for 7 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
16.8%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
16.1%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+5
15.8%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
13.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
13.5%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+1
13.3%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+6
13.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
12.6%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the KanSt 12Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+1
11.6%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the KanSt 11Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
3.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:285% → 15%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
5.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
5.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 10 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
5.2%
Joe Ervin run for 13 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
5.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 11 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
5.4%
Joe Ervin run for 9 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+7
5.1%
Joe Ervin run for 7 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
5.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the IowSt 6Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
5.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the IowSt 5Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
4.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
5.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taiten Winkel PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:4592% → 95%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
8.5%
Breece Hall run for 43 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
7.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for no gain to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
6.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-5
6.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+9
6.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 9 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+41
5.5%
Andrew Mevis 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:565% → 11%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
5.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
5.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
5.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+20
5.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 20 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
5.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 11 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
6.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
5.9%
Joe Ervin run for 4 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+15
5.7%
Thompson, Skylar pass incomplete to Howell, Tyrone, PENALTY IOWAST pass interference 15 yards to the IOWAST11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.Similar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
5.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
5.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+2
4.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the IowSt 9Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+9
11.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 9 yds for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17FG
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:2792% → 98%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
8.5%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
8.4%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+8
8.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
6.6%
Breece Hall run for 13 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
5.4%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-4
4.2%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 11
OPP 20
-3
4.5%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+40
2.5%
Andrew Mevis 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18Uncategorized
8 plays · 66 yds · 1:092% → 3%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
1.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
1.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+7
1.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
1.9%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 35 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanStSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+20
1.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 20 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
2.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 15 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
2.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 19 yds to the IowSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:21
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taiten Winkel PAT MISSED)
+9.8
TD · Q2 5:02
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)
-9.2
TD · Q3 2:55
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK)
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com