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TCU

TCU 52 at Texas Tech 31

TTU
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:55 · Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense−37.8Score differential−22.3Garbage-time factor−13.1Pregame prior−1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:46: Henry Colombi pass intercepted for a TD Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson return for 29 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +5.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:35: Zach Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +10.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:31: SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +11.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:18: Kendre Miller run for 75 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +7.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:58: Xavier White run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +6.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:35TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:20TTU 4th & 3 at TCU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:12TTU 4th & 6 at TCU 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:35TCU 4th & 1 at TTU 7, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−2.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    71.6%−8.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:39TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:06TTU 4th & 3 at TCU 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−1.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    -3.4%−8.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:05TCU 4th & 5 at TTU 31, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:07TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:55TTU 4th & 11 at TCU 14, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−2.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:46TCU 4th & 11 at TCU 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:00TTU 4th & 5 at TCU 24, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:00TTU 4th & 1 at TCU 6, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:02TTU 4th & 2 at TCU 27, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:38TCU 4th & 21 at TCU 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:46TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:29TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:26TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:55TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:46TCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:35TCU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:31TTU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:18TCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:58TTU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:00TTU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:51TCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1459% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
41.0%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+25
41.1%
Zach Evans run for 25 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+35
41.2%
Zach Evans run for 35 yds to the TexTc 20 Zach Evans fumbled, recovered by TCUSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
41.2%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+14
41.3%
Kendre Miller run for 14 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
41.4%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
41.5%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 4Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
40.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 4 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1041% → 41%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.9%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
40.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 4 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+8
40.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 55 yds , Derius Davis returns for 8 yds to the TCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:0159% → 64%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
40.7%
Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+26
40.4%
Zach Evans run for 26 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
40.2%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
39.8%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+5
39.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 5 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
39.5%
Emari Demercado run for 8 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-6
39.3%
Emari Demercado run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 33Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+33
36.2%
Kendre Miller run for 33 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5937% → 41%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
37.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 12 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
37.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+14
37.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 14 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
37.3%
Xavier White run for 7 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
37.2%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
37.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 9 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+22
36.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 22 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
41.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2561% → 68%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
39.0%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
38.4%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
38.3%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
38.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 16 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+42
37.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 42 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
32.1%
Zach Evans run for 7 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-29
26.9%
Henry Colombi pass intercepted for a TD Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson return for 29 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7FG
18 plays · 55 yds · 6:2827% → 27%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
26.9%
Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
26.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
26.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 6 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
26.3%
Xavier White run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-5
25.9%
Colombi, Henry pass complete to Tharp, Mason for 42 yards to the TCU16, PENALTY TEXASTECH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASTECH37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
24.6%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Loic FouonjiSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+14
24.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 14 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
25.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 11 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
25.2%
Xavier White run for 6 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
25.4%
Xavier White run for no gain to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
24.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+8
23.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Mason Tharp for 8 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
23.7%
Henry Colombi run for 4 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
23.4%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
23.0%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
27.4%
Jonathan Garibay 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:3577% → 93%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
23.2%
Zach Evans run for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
22.6%
Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
21.9%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+32
20.7%
Max Duggan run for 32 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
19.3%
Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+2
18.6%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+5
18.2%
Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
17.6%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
17.0%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+7
16.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 7 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+4
17.7%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TexTc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
14.7%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.7%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.5%
Zach Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-15
6.6%
TCU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:545% → 3%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.6%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
3.1%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
2.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
5.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:495% → 5%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
5.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
5.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+24
5.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 24 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
5.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
5.1%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Travis KoontzSimilar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+2
4.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 3
OPP 29
-7
4.6%
Henry Colombi sacked by Khari Coleman for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:1096% → 97%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
4.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for no gain to the TCU 36Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
4.2%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+25
4.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 25 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
3.4%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
3.4%
Max Duggan run for 8 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+48
4.2%
Griffin Kell 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-3
3.1%
Emari Demercado run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:293% → 15%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
3.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 17 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+55
3.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 55 yds to the TCU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
3.7%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TCU 1Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
2.0%
Kendre Miller run for 75 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:143% → 10%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
2.8%
White, Xavier rush for 6 yards to the TEXASTECH31, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding 10 yards to the TEXASTECH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+75
2.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 75 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
3.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TCU 4Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
9.9%
Xavier White run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4896% → 97%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
3.9%
Emari Demercado run for 18 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
3.6%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-2
3.5%
Emari Demercado run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+5
3.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Dominic DiNunzio for 5 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
3.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:126% → 4%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
5.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+15
5.6%
Colombi, Henry pass incomplete to Rigdon, Dalton, PENALTY TCU pass interference 15 yards to the TEXASTECH30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
5.6%
Xavier White run for 9 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+16
5.6%
Xavier White run for 16 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
5.8%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+14
5.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 14 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
5.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+1
5.4%
Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+16
4.9%
Erik Ezukanma run for 16 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
5.2%
Henry Colombi run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+1
4.3%
Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
3.7%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 11
OPP 14
0
3.5%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:5498% → 99%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
2.1%
Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+1
1.9%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+5
1.8%
Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
1.6%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-5
1.5%
Kendre Miller run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+3
1.4%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
1.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 3:452% → 7%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
2.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for no gain to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
2.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+8
2.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
2.4%
Henry Colombi run for 7 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+15
2.2%
Myles Price run for 15 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
2.3%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
2.2%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+5
1.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 5 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+9
1.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
1.7%
Dalton Rigdon run for 9 yds to the TCU 6Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 6
0
2.1%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Mason TharpSimilar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
1.8%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
6.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
0.6%
Kendre Miller run for 45 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 1:431% → 1%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
1.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 5 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+14
1.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 14 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+27
1.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 27 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
1.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-5
1.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 36Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+9
1.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 9 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 2
OPP 27
0
1.3%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 2
OPP 27
0
1.3%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:2299% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
0.6%
Daimarqua Foster run for 4 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-1
0.6%
Daimarqua Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-15
0.5%
Foster, Daimarqua rush for 6 yards to the TCU36, PENALTY TCU illegal block 15 yards to the TCU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 22
OWN 15
+1
0.6%
Daimarqua Foster run for 1 yd to the TCU 16Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 21
OWN 16
0
0.5%
Jordy Sandy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the TexTc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
0.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 11 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
0.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Mason Tharp for 14 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
1.0%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
1.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:31
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q2 1:35
Zach Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)
-10.4
TD · Q3 7:18
Kendre Miller run for 75 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com