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WVU

West Virginia 20 at Baylor 45

BAY
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:40 · Tyler Sumpter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense+6.8Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor+0.7Blowout margin+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:24: Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +5.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:52: Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +12.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:17: Casey Legg 29 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +7.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:17: Casey Legg 27 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +5.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:43: Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 29 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +8.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WVU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:21BAY 4th & 1 at BAY 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:55WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:04BAY 4th & 11 at BAY 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:40WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:17WVU 4th & 7 at BAY 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−5.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:09BAY 4th & 6 at BAY 40, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:33WVU 4th & 14 at WVU 5, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−3.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21BAY 4th & 4 at WVU 45, up 18
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:17WVU 4th & 9 at BAY 10, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−8.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:25WVU 4th & 29 at WVU 31, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−2.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:14WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 40, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 28, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:52BAY 4th & 1 at BAY 37, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:12BAY 4th & 6 at WVU 26, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:57BAY 4th & 4 at BAY 28, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:25WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:25WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:21WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 30, down 25
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:19BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:41WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:22BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 5:24BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:52BAY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:43BAY Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:37BAY Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:18WVU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1950% → 50%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.0%
Josh Fleeks run for no gain to the Bayl 25Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
50.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 75 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:2250% → 50%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.4%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
50.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 3 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
50.8%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+53
51.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 53 yds to the Bayl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
50.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
50.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 12 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0451% → 54%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.5%
Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the Bayl 24Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
50.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
50.4%
(12:05) PENALTY WVU Offside (Alston,Taijh) 5 yards from BAY24 to BAY29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
50.5%
Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
50.6%
Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+44
51.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 44 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
51.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 3 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
51.8%
Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
53.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 10 yds for a TD WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Alonzo Addae) declined, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2547% → 46%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
53.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 8 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+4
53.0%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
53.6%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
53.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
53.9%
Jarret Doege pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:5755% → 61%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
55.2%
Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+17
55.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 17 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
56.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 22 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
56.3%
Gerry Bohanon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:1740% → 37%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Justin Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
60.3%
Winston Wright Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
60.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Justin Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+15
60.8%
(04:18) Sumpter,Tyler punt 52 yards to the BAY20 fair catch by Ebner,Trestan at BAY20 PENALTY BAY Roughing The Kicker (McCarty,AJ) 15 yards from WVU28 to WVU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
60.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
60.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-10
60.9%
Jarret Doege sacked by Terrel Bernard for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-4
62.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Garmon Randolph for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 1:55
4TH & 18
OWN 45
+8
62.9%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 42 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 8 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:4564% → 67%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
64.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Drake DabneySimilar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
64.3%
Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+9
64.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 9 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
65.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
66.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 5 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
67.2%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 46Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+3
67.4%
Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
67.8%
Gerry Bohanon run for 5 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
67.2%
Issac Power punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:0534% → 33%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
66.3%
Garrett Greene run for 18 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
66.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam James for 2 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
66.5%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+3
67.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
67.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 1:4369% → 83%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
69.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
69.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Gavin Yates for 11 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.8%
Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+58
70.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 58 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
83.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
82.5%
PENALTY WVU Roughing The Passer (Cowan,VanDarius) 15 yards from BAY35 to BAY50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:0919% → 25%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
80.9%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
80.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+24
81.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
50
+8
80.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 8 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+14
80.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
79.9%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+10
80.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 10 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
80.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds to the Bayl 12Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
81.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
81.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
74.6%
Casey Legg 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5178% → 79%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
78.1%
Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Bayl 26Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+10
78.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 10 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
79.0%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Drew EstradaSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
79.2%
Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
79.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Drew EstradaSimilar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
78.8%
Issac Power punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Graeson Malashevich at the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2722% → 20%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
78.5%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 12
-8
78.6%
Jarret Doege sacked by Siaki Ika for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 15
OWN 4
+1
80.6%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 5Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 14
OWN 5
+2
80.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 48 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4281% → 81%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
80.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for no gain to the Bayl 49Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
81.4%
Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+4
81.2%
Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
81.2%
Issac Power punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
80.8%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
15 plays · 78 yds · 3:2716% → 19%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
83.6%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+8
84.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 8 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
84.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-5
84.1%
(11:27) Brown,Leddie rush for 4 yards gain to the WVU34 (Bernard,Terrel) PENALTY WVU Illegal Formation 5 yards from WVU30 to WVU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+15
85.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 15 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
83.9%
(10:56) Doege,Jarret rush for 7 yards gain to the WVU47, End Of Play PENALTY WVU Holding (Frazier,Zach) 10 yards from WVU40 to WVU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+25
85.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 25 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
86.2%
Jarret Doege run for 11 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
85.7%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+10
85.3%
(09:36) Doege,Jarret pass complete to Ford-Wheaton,Bryce for 9 yards to the BAY22 (Bernard,Terrel; Texada,Raleigh) PENALTY BAY Holding (Texada,Raleigh) 10 yards from BAY31 to BAY21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
85.4%
Leddie Brown run for 10 yds to the Bayl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
85.4%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Bayl 10Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
85.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
86.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
81.1%
Casey Legg 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:2786% → 95%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
86.0%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
85.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 8 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+10
85.6%
(08:55) Bohanon,Gerry pass incomplete to Estrada,Drew PENALTY WVU Holding (Fortune,Nicktroy) 10 yards from WVU39 to WVU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
94.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 29 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:106% → 5%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
93.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
50
-5
93.6%
Jarret Doege sacked by Siaki Ika for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 15
OWN 45
-5
94.1%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Moorer,Parker) 5 yards from WVU45 to WVU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 20
OWN 40
0
94.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 20
OWN 40
-9
94.3%
Jarret Doege sacked by TJ Franklin for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 29
OWN 31
0
95.1%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:3495% → 99%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
94.9%
Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Bayl 30Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+12
94.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 12 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
95.4%
Abram Smith run for 20 yds to the BAYLOR 38 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Bryce Ford-Wheaton) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Abram SmithSimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
95.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 7 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+31
99.4%
Abram Smith run for 31 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
Q3 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.4%
PENALTY BAY False Start (Shupp,Jackson) 5 yards from WVU03 to WVU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:051% → 0%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
99.5%
Garrett Greene run for 13 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.5%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
99.5%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 2
50
+5
99.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 7
OWN 45
-5
99.7%
PENALTY WVU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WVU45 to WVU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 8 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for no gain to the Bayl 28Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Issac Power punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.7%
Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
99.7%
R.J. Sneed run for no gain to the Bayl 37Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Ben SimsSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+3
99.7%
Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+30
99.8%
Trestan Ebner run for 30 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.8%
Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+45
99.8%
Isaiah Hankins 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
16 plays · 85 yds · 5:280% → 1%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 2
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
(08:53) Sumpter,Tyler punt 51 yards to the BAY26 Estrada,Drew return 0 yards to the BAY26 (James,Sam) PENALTY BAY Offside (Hanspard Jr.,Byron) 5 yards from WVU23 to WVU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 5 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
99.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 25 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Bayl 32Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+10
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 15
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Bayl 27Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+14
99.9%
(04:26) Greene,Garrett sacked for loss of 7 yards to the BAY34 (Walcott,Al) PENALTY BAY Face Mask (Walcott,Al) 14 yards from BAY27 to BAY13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.1%
Garrett Greene run for 13 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:04100% → 100%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.7%
Taye McWilliams run for 2 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
99.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jaylen Ellis for 3 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+1
99.8%
Taye McWilliams run for 1 yd to the Bayl 28Similar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Issac Power punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-10
99.8%
Garrett Greene sacked by Victor Obi for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 18
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 72 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 18
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 72 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
99.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 15 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Taye McWilliams run for no gain to the Bayl 25Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.9%
Taye McWilliams run for 14 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Taye McWilliams run for 8 yds to the Bayl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
98.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 3 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+4
98.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+11
98.9%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 28 , Trestan Ebner returns for 11 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:52
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
+12.4
TD · Q3 8:43
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 29 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
+8.9
FG · Q2 6:17
Casey Legg 29 yd FG GOOD
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com