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KU

Kansas 7 at Iowa State 59

ISU
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:02 · Reis Vernon punt for 39 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 9 yds to the IowSt 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+35.1Home team on offense+25.7Score differential+21.7Blowout margin+9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Garbage-time factor+5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:33: Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 36 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK) — KU win probability +0.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:51: Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 6:10: Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK) — ISU win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:01: Breece Hall run for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK) — ISU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Connor Assalley 26 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:40KU 4th & 5 at KU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:17KU 4th & 1 at KU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:16KU 4th & 7 at ISU 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:22KU 4th & 4 at ISU 47, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:31ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 22, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:02KU 4th & 3 at KU 37, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00ISU 4th & 9 at KU 9, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:20ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 30, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:27ISU 4th & 1 at KU 1, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:00KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:44KU 4th & 11 at ISU 48, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:04ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 30, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:39KU 4th & 10 at ISU 42, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:33ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:51ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:10ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:48ISU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:01ISU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:17KU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:27ISU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:27ISU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:13ISU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:202% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.9%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
97.9%
Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:0798% → 98%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
97.7%
Breece Hall run for 17 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
97.7%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 7
50
+3
97.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+9
97.7%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
97.7%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+36
97.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 36 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:343% → 3%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
97.4%
Jason Bean run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 21 fumbled, recovered by Kans Jason BeanSimilar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
97.4%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Kans 24 fumbled, recovered by IowSt Zach PetersenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:0898% → 98%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
97.5%
Brock Purdy run for 15 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
97.5%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:342% → 3%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for 11 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
97.5%
Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
97.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
97.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-1
97.3%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
98.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:542% → 2%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.9%
Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
97.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 19 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
97.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 14 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
97.8%
Devin Neal run for 21 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
97.7%
Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
97.7%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+2
97.7%
Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 7
OPP 17
0
97.8%
Jacob Borcila 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by , Greg Eisworth II return for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:2898% → 98%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
98.3%
Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
98.3%
Breece Hall run for 15 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.2%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 7 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:261% → 1%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.8%
Devin Neal run for 12 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
98.8%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.7%
Torry Locklin run for 5 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
98.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Torry Locklin for 1 yd to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
98.8%
Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5199% → 99%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
98.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 3 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
98.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
98.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
98.8%
Cameron Shook punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11INT
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:371% → 1%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
98.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-1
98.9%
Torry Locklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+26
98.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 26 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
98.8%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
98.8%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+13
98.8%
Jason Bean run for 13 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
98.7%
Torry Locklin run for 4 yds to the IowSt 12Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
99.1%
Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
99.2%
Jason Bean pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:5399% → 100%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
99.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 23 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.2%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+4
99.2%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+15
99.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 15 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
99.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 20 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
99.2%
Brock Purdy run for 10 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
Torry Locklin run for 5 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+9
99.6%
Reis Vernon punt for 39 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 9 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
99.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 14 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.5%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+8
99.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 8 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
99.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 16 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.6%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+15
99.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 15 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.6%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.5%
Brock Purdy sacked for 0 yards to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
99.6%
Connor Assalley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-10
99.7%
HALL, Breece rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the ISU37 (JOHNSON, Kyron;POTTER, Gavin). PENALTY ISU Holding on FOSTER, Sean enforced 10 yards from the ISU34 to the ISU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
99.7%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Cameron Shook punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:030% → 0%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
99.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 10 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 7 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+4
99.6%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
99.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 22 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.6%
Torry Locklin run for 3 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
99.6%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
99.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.6%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.6%
Torry Locklin run for 12 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17DOWNS TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:45100% → 100%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+37
99.7%
Breece Hall run for 37 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
99.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Brock Purdy for 20 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.8%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.8%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Torry Locklin run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.8%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+8
99.8%
Reis Vernon punt for 35 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 8 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 11 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+41
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers run for 41 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.9%
Devin Neal run for 17 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for 6 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, downed at the IowSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers run for 6 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+24
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 24 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+17
99.9%
Deon Silas run for 27 yds to the IOWAST 42 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jarrod Hufford) to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 17
OWN 24
+11
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Tarique Milton for 11 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 6
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Myles Purchase) to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+24
99.9%
Cameron Shook punt for 49 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 24 yds to the IOWAST 46 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamahl Horne) to the Kans 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 23 yds · 5:250% → 0%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 7
50
+6
99.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Trevor Kardell) to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 7 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-3
99.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-2
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 42Similar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
100.0%
Deon Silas run for 11 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
100.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 18 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
100.0%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
100.0%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
100.0%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the Kans 16Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
100.0%
Deon Silas run for 16 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 13 yds · 3:130% → 0%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-1
100.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 6:10
Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 3:01
Breece Hall run for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 10:33
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 36 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)
-0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com