Try the model
TTU

Texas Tech 35 at Texas 70

TEX
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:38 · SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense+35.4Score differential+28.9Pregame prior+4.6Blowout margin+16.9Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:00: Tyler Shough run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +4.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:16: Casey Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +5.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:49: Tyler Shough pass intercepted for a TD Josh Thompson return for 27 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +8.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:05: Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 23 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +4.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:32: Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 40 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +5.9 pts (now 9%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:07TEX 4th & 3 at TTU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:37TTU 4th & 9 at TEX 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    25.7%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:53TTU 4th & 4 at TEX 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%−1.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:55TEX 4th & 2 at TTU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    74.1%−1.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:35TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 40, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:38TTU 4th & 28 at TTU 2, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−1.3
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:43TTU 4th & 2 at TEX 37, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:38TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:04TTU 4th & 14 at TEX 40, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:48TEX 4th & 9 at TTU 34, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 10 of 10TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:07TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:32TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:00TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:16TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:49TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:05TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:32TTU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:09TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:01TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 7:24TTU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 5:14TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 5:02TTU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q3 4:09TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 13:23TEX Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 6:40TTU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4873% → 74%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Joshua Moore for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
73.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
73.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 10 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
73.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
73.0%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+12
72.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 12 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
73.0%
Robinson, Bijan rush for 7 yards to the TEXASTECH38, PENALTY TEXAS holding (Okafor, Denzel) 10 yards to the TEXAS45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 20
OWN 45
0
72.8%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+15
72.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 15 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
72.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+38
73.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 38 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:2327% → 26%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
73.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
73.5%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+14
73.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 14 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
73.2%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-2
73.4%
Xavier White run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
73.5%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
73.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:5474% → 78%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
74.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 16 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
74.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
74.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
74.3%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
74.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 22 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
74.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+16
74.9%
Casey Thompson run for 16 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
74.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:1423% → 27%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+18
76.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 18 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
76.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 4 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
76.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-1
76.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 48Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 9
OPP 48
+5
77.9%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keilan Robinson) to the Texas 43Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+7
77.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 7 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
77.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+17
76.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 17 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
76.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Henry Teeter for 7 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+2
76.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+2
77.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 0
OPP 5
-5
76.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Ethan Carde) to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
76.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 2 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
77.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Texas 6Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.9%
Tyler Shough run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:3075% → 82%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
74.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 22 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
75.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
75.9%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+2
75.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+9
74.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
76.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 12 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
76.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
76.3%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+11
75.8%
Casey Thompson run for 11 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
76.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
76.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.1%
Casey Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2020% → 11%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-27
88.7%
Tyler Shough pass intercepted for a TD Josh Thompson return for 27 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:5811% → 11%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 11 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
88.6%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
88.7%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-2
88.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
89.1%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:2191% → 97%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
90.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 6 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
91.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
91.0%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-8
91.5%
Casey Thompson sacked by Tyree Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 18
OPP 36
+13
91.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Joshua Moore for 13 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+23
96.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 23 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:283% → 9%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
96.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 11 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
96.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 20 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
90.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 40 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 3:1793% → 98%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
92.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 12 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
92.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 2 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
93.0%
Thompson, Casey pass incomplete to Moore, Joshua, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding (Williams, Rayshad) 10 yards to the TEXAS40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
93.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+12
93.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 12 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
94.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
94.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+25
94.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 25 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
94.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
97.3%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:156% → 2%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 4 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-15
98.3%
Henry Colombi pass intercepted Luke Brockermeyer return for 15 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2899% → 99%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
98.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-10
98.6%
Thompson, Casey rush for 12 yards to the TEXASTECH11, PENALTY TEXAS holding (Jones, Christian) 10 yards to the TEXASTECH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+3
98.6%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 15
OPP 30
0
98.8%
Casey Thompson pass intercepted, touchback. Dadrion Taylor-Demerson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -18 yds · 2:131% → 1%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.8%
Henry Colombi run for 2 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
98.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 17Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+2
98.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 19 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Caleb Rogers) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-9
98.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (T.J. Storment) to the TexTc 10Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 20
OWN 10
-8
99.0%
Henry Colombi sacked by Alfred Collins for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 28
OWN 2
+43
99.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 48 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 43 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:2999% → 99%
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 4 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+69
99.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 69 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 1:5499% → 100%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.4%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 13Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+36
99.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 36 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+33
99.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 33 yds to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
99.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 11 yds to the TexTc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 75 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Cade Brewer for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
99.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Joshua Moore for 9 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
99.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 62 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 18 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 3
50
-15
99.6%
Colombi, Henry rush for 9 yards to the TEXAS41, PENALTY TEXASTECH face mask (Storment, T.J.) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 18
OWN 35
-5
99.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 23
OWN 30
+7
99.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 7 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+18
99.8%
Henry Colombi run for 18 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 6 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
99.7%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
99.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-3
99.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
99.7%
Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+30
99.7%
Keilan Robinson run for 30 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
99.8%
Keilan Robinson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+13
99.8%
Hudson Card run for 13 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Keilan Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:370% → 0%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Xavier WhiteSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 6 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
99.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 38 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 18
OWN 28
+12
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 12 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
99.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 11 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+9
99.9%
Myles Price run for 9 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-9
99.9%
Henry Colombi sacked by Chris Adimora and Ben Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 19
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Donovan Smith run for 5 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 14
OPP 40
+38
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 38 yds to the Texas 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
White, Xavier rush for no gain to the TEXAS2, PENALTY TEXAS unsportsmanlike conduct (Schooler, Brenden) 1 yards to the TEXAS1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q4 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Donovan Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:52100% → 100%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 20Similar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 15 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 6 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+14
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 14 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 36Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-1
100.0%
Gabriel Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Gabriel Watson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:380% → 0%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
100.0%
Chadarius Townsend run for 26 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Chadarius Townsend run for 4 yds to the Texas 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:49
Tyler Shough pass intercepted for a TD Josh Thompson return for 27 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q2 3:32
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 40 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)
-5.9
TD · Q2 10:16
Casey Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com