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KSU

Kansas State 20 at Oklahoma State 31

OKST
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+8OKST 93.3%Alex Hale 48 yd FG MISSEDAWAY 13 - HOME 34 · Q3 12:13
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Q3 12:13 · Alex Hale 48 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Home team on offense+22.1Score differential+15.3Pregame prior+6.1Garbage-time factor+7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:15: W. Howard run for 7 yds for a TD, (A. Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +3.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:51: Tay Martin 7 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick) — OKST win probability +9.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:21: Alex Hale 20 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +7.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Taiten Winkel 45 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 12:13: Alex Hale 48 yd FG MISSED — OKST win probability +8.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9KSU made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 14:54KSU 4th & 1 at OKST 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.9%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:51KSU 4th & 10 at OKST 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:33KSU 4th & 8 at OKST 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    28.3%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:33KSU 4th & 8 at OKST 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    28.3%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:48KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:48KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:21OKST 4th & 3 at KSU 3, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−6.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:38OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:13OKST 4th & 12 at KSU 31, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:13KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:56OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 14, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:44KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 42, down 21
    Close callPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:32OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 14, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:19KSU 4th & 3 at OKST 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:19KSU 4th & 3 at OKST 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:36OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:20OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:44KSU 4th & 15 at KSU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:03OKST 4th & 9 at KSU 35, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:40KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:58OKST 4th & 6 at KSU 32, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:45KSU 4th & 22 at KSU 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:32OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:18KSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:26OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:15OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:51OKST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 6:0336% → 37%
Q1 14:54
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+1
63.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
63.6%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
63.6%
Malik Knowles run for no gain to the OKSt 14Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
63.6%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
63.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+3
63.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+37
63.6%
Will Howard run for 37 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.6%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
63.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Landry Weber for 11 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
63.6%
Vaughn,Deuce rush for 2 yards loss to the OSU26 (Lacy,Tyler; Asi,Sione) PENALTY KSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from OSU24 to OSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
63.6%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Keenan GarberSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+5
63.6%
Joe Ervin run for 5 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+9
63.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 9 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
62.6%
Taiten Winkel 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1963% → 65%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+52
62.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 52 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
63.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
63.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
63.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (Cody Fletcher) to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
63.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
63.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the KanSt 2Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
64.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 2:4662% → 65%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
62.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
62.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+27
62.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 12 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Russ Yeast) to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
63.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 14 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
63.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
63.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+20
65.4%
Brennan Presley 20 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
68.4%
W. Howard run for 7 yds for a TD, (A. Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:4232% → 31%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
67.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+23
68.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 23 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
67.1%
Keenan Garber run for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
67.0%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
67.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
69.1%
Ty Zentner punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 10Similar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
69.1%
Ty Zentner punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:0970% → 80%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
69.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 19 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
69.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 23 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
70.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 9 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
70.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 2 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
70.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 8 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
70.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
70.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
70.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 17 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
70.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
70.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 7Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
79.9%
Tay Martin 7 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0321% → 20%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
78.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
78.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
80.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 9Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
80.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FG
11 plays · 88 yds · 4:2780% → 89%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
80.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 13 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
81.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
81.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+18
81.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
82.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 20 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
82.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
81.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 14 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
81.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 8Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
81.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
81.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
Q2 4:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
89.4%
Alex Hale 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9INT
12 plays · 53 yds · 2:5211% → 11%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.8%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
88.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
88.5%
Lewis,Jaren pass incomplete to Knowles,Malik PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (McCalister,Tanner) 15 yards from KSU30 to KSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.3%
Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Keenan GarberSimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
88.4%
Jaren Lewis run for 8 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
88.0%
Jaren Lewis run for 4 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
88.0%
Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+21
88.2%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Kade Warner for 21 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
87.2%
Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
89.1%
Jaren Lewis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5193% → 93%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
92.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
92.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+4
92.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
93.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11FG
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:389% → 13%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
90.7%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 9 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+7
90.0%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
90.0%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 17 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+45
86.9%
Taiten Winkel 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3986% → 93%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
86.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaylen WarrenSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
85.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+24
85.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 24 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
85.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cole Birmingham) to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 25
OPP 44
+5
85.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 20
OPP 39
+8
85.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 8 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 12
OPP 31
+48
93.3%
Alex Hale 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:008% → 7%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
92.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
92.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Nick LennersSimilar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
92.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Sammy WheelerSimilar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+14
93.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 14 , Brennan Presley returns for 14 yds to the OKSt 48 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Kanion Williams) to the OKSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1794% → 94%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
93.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-2
93.9%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 14Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
93.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
94.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 48 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KanSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:126% → 5%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
93.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
93.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+1
93.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
94.7%
Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1295% → 95%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
94.8%
Warren,Jaylen rush for 3 yards gain to the OSU11 (Trussell,Spencer; Fletcher,Cody) PENALTY OSU Holding (Springfield,Jake) 4 yards from OSU08 to OSU04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+6
94.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
94.8%
Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 10Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+4
94.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braden Cassity for 4 yds to the OKSt 14Similar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
95.3%
Tom Hutton punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:135% → 4%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
95.3%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
95.3%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+5
95.3%
Lewis,Jaren pass incomplete to Vaughn,Deuce QB hurried by Martin,Brock and Jernigan,Jayden PENALTY OSU Offside (Martin,Brock) 5 yards from KSU48 to OSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
95.3%
Phillip Brooks run for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-3
96.4%
Jaren Lewis sacked by Israel Antwine for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-3
96.4%
Jaren Lewis sacked by Israel Antwine for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:4397% → 97%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
50
+2
96.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
96.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Blaine GreenSimilar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
96.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dominic RichardsonSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 8
OPP 48
-5
96.5%
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from KSU48 to OSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
96.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 1:283% → 3%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
96.7%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 18 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
96.5%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Malik Knowles for 12 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
97.2%
Jaren Lewis pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 55 yds for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4898% → 98%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:362% → 2%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Jax DineenSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
98.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+1
98.1%
Ty Zentner punt for 45 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 1 yd to the OKSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:4198% → 98%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+33
97.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 33 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
98.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-15
98.1%
Sanders,Spencer pass complete to Martin,Tay for 26 yards to the KSU11, out of bounds PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Martin,Tay) 15 yards from KSU37 to OSU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 26
OWN 48
+17
97.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 17 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Tom Hutton punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:232% → 1%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
98.5%
Jaren Lewis run for 6 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 4
OWN 13
0
98.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 13Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
98.5%
Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
98.6%
Ty Zentner punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 32 , Tay Martin returns for no gain to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:4299% → 99%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 8 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+2
98.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+19
98.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 19 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.6%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
98.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 4 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-10
98.5%
Sanders,Spencer rush for 7 yards gain to the KSU25 (Henington,Ryan) PENALTY OSU Holding (Springfield,Jake) 10 yards from KSU32 to KSU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 16
OPP 42
+10
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braden Cassity for 10 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+49
98.9%
Alex Hale 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-12
99.2%
Jaren Lewis sacked by Tyler Lacy for a loss of 12 yards to the KanSt 20 Jaren Lewis fumbled, recovered by KanSt Christian Duffie , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 22
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Jaren Lewis pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 22
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 37 yds · 5:4599% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+9
99.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 9 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+14
99.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 14 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
99.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+1
99.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
99.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
99.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 14 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
99.8%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 32
-5
99.8%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:51
Tay Martin 7 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick)
+9.4
FG · Q3 12:13
Alex Hale 48 yd FG MISSED
+8
FG · Q2 4:21
Alex Hale 20 Yd Field Goal
+7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com