Try the model
BAY

Baylor 45 at Kansas 7

KU
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:19 · Reis Vernon punt for 37 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Home team on offense−14.7Pregame prior−19.6Score differential−7.5Garbage-time factor−4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:42: Gavin Yates run for 2 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +3.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:58: Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 5 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +10.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:44: Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 69 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +7.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:06: Abram Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +6.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:38: Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9BAY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00BAY 4th & 3 at BAY 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:15KU 4th & 2 at KU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:22BAY 4th & 5 at KU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:18KU 4th & 26 at KU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:19KU 4th & 14 at KU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:21BAY 4th & 11 at KU 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:21BAY 4th & 11 at KU 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:29BAY 4th & 6 at BAY 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:00KU 4th & 8 at KU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:19KU 4th & 10 at KU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:20KU 4th & 8 at KU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:00KU 4th & 8 at BAY 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:06KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:34BAY 4th & 2 at KU 29, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:33KU 4th & 3 at KU 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BAY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:29BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:42BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:58KU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:44BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:06BAY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:38BAY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:08BAY Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3185% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
14.7%
Abram Smith run for 14 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
14.7%
Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+2
14.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 2 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+6
14.7%
Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 46
+11
14.7%
Trestan Ebner run for 11 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
14.7%
Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+19
14.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 19 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
14.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 6 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
15.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 14 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0116% → 16%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
16.0%
Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
16.2%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
16.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 7 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+86
16.4%
Reis Vernon punt for 53 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 86 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3FUMBLE
11 plays · 54 yds · 6:0484% → 83%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
16.5%
Abram Smith run for 19 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
16.4%
Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-10
16.3%
(07:15) Bohanon,Gerry rush for 2 yards loss to the BAY38 (Dotson,Ra'Mello) PENALTY BAY Holding (Kimble,Jackson) 10 yards from BAY40 to BAY30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+9
16.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 9 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+17
16.7%
Trestan Ebner run for 17 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
16.6%
R.J. Sneed run for no gain to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
16.8%
Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+1
16.9%
Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+6
17.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 6 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
17.1%
Abram Smith run for no gain to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
17.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 1 yd to the Kans 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -16 yds · 1:4519% → 18%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
18.7%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+23
18.5%
run for 23 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 33
OWN 23
+7
17.9%
Jason Bean run for 7 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 0:18
4TH & 26
OWN 30
+50
17.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 39 , Trestan Ebner returns for 50 yds to the Kans 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:1883% → 86%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
17.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 20 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
17.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 10 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
17.5%
Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
14.3%
Gavin Yates run for 2 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0615% → 15%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.4%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+25
15.5%
Jason Bean run for 25 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
16.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 6 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
15.9%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the Bayl 41Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-10
15.8%
(11:03) Neal,Devin rush for 3 yards gain to the BAY38 (Bernard,Terrel) PENALTY Kan Holding (Bostick Jr.,Earl) 10 yards from BAY41 to Kan49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 14
OWN 49
0
15.2%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
15.2%
Reis Vernon punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:4586% → 86%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
14.5%
Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Bayl 20Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
14.4%
Trestan Ebner run for 10 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
14.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
13.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 12 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
13.7%
Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+6
13.8%
Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
13.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 6
OPP 43
-5
14.3%
(06:40) Power,Issac punt 39 yards to the Kan04 PENALTY BAY Illegal Formation 5 yards from Kan43 to Kan48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
14.5%
Issac Power punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 24Similar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
14.5%
Issac Power punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:0915% → 26%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
14.5%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
14.4%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+19
14.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 19 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
15.5%
Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+14
15.6%
Trevor Wilson run for 14 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
15.7%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Bayl 38Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
15.6%
(02:54) Bean,Jason pass incomplete to McBride,Steven PENALTY BAY Pass Interference (Morgan,Christian) 15 yards from BAY38 to BAY23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
16.0%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Bayl 19Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+3
15.8%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Bayl 16Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 3
OPP 16
-1
15.5%
Jason Bean run for 9 yds to the Bayl 7 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Luke Grimm) to the Bayl 20Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+15
15.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 15 yds to the Bayl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
25.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 5 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:2780% → 79%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 4 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
19.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Ben SimsSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
20.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Trestan EbnerSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
21.5%
Issac Power punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
21.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3721% → 20%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
21.7%
Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
21.3%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
20.4%
Reis Vernon punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12TD
1 play · 69 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
12.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 69 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1914% → 13%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.7%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
13.5%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
13.2%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor WilsonSimilar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.1%
Reis Vernon punt for 37 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:0688% → 96%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
12.1%
Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Bayl 41Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
12.0%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ben Sims for 7 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+12
11.8%
Abram Smith run for 12 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
11.4%
Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+21
10.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 21 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
10.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 8 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+5
10.3%
Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
4.1%
Abram Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:396% → 5%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.4%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
6.6%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
6.4%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
6.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 1 yd to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
6.1%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
4.6%
Reis Vernon punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16Uncategorized
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:0297% → 97%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
3.1%
Gerry Bohanon run for 10 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
3.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 19 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
2.9%
Monaray Baldwin run for 2 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
2.8%
Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+6
2.8%
Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:314% → 3%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
3.9%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
3.9%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+15
3.8%
Jason Bean run for 15 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
4.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
3.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Torry LocklinSimilar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+2
3.7%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
3.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:1398% → 100%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
2.1%
Abram Smith run for 11 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
2.0%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Ben SimsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+28
2.0%
Abram Smith run for 28 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
1.9%
Trestan Ebner run for 7 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+2
1.8%
Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
0.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:201% → 0%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.5%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
0.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Reis Vernon punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:45100% → 100%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
0.4%
Taye McWilliams run for 2 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+6
0.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+10
0.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 10 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
0.3%
Taye McWilliams run for 3 yds to the Bayl 36Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
0.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drake Dabney for 5 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+11
0.3%
Taye McWilliams run for 11 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
0.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 10 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
0.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Gavin Yates for 18 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
0.2%
Taye McWilliams run for 20 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21Uncategorized
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
0.1%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 7 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
0.1%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
0.2%
Craig Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Hal PresleySimilar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+5
0.1%
Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+48
0.2%
Isaiah Hankins 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.1%
Miles Kendrick run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Torry Locklin run for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Torry Locklin run for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Reis Vernon punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
0.1%
Monaray Baldwin run for 14 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
0.1%
Taye McWilliams run for 17 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
0.1%
Taye McWilliams run for 5 yds to the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:58
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 5 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q3 12:44
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 69 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q3 9:06
Abram Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com