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OKST

Oklahoma State 21 at Boise State 20

BOIS
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:52 · Spencer Sanders pass complete to Cale Cabbiness for 24 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:26: Joel Velazquez kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — BOIS win probability +1.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:10: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 28 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 4:59: Jaylen Warren run for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +3.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q2 10:07: Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +5.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 6:26: Jonah Dalmas 36 Yd Field Goal — BOIS win probability +6.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 11OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 10:41BOIS 4th & 2 at OKST 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:43OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:45BOIS 4th & 13 at BOIS 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:45BOIS 4th & 13 at BOIS 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:25OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:25OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:52BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 42, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:52BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 42, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 13:29OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 13:29OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 13:29BOIS 4th & 2 at OKST 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%−0.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 8:58OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  14. Q2 8:58OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  15. Q2 6:26BOIS 4th & 8 at OKST 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−5.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:13OKST 4th & 26 at BOIS 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:59BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−1.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:08OKST 4th & 3 at BOIS 24, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%−0.8
    68% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−6.7
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:40BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:34OKST 4th & 6 at BOIS 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:11BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:20OKST 4th & 3 at BOIS 47, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−1.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:05BOIS 4th & 9 at OKST 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:10BOIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:59OKST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:07BOIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1FG
18 plays · 52 yds · 4:1961% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
61.3%
George Holani run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
61.3%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
61.3%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+16
61.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 16 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
61.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
61.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+11
61.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell Caples for 11 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
61.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+4
61.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+5
61.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 5 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
61.8%
Jonah Dalmas 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5238% → 38%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
61.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
61.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-10
61.8%
SANDERS, Spencer scrambles to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the OSU35 (ROBINSON, Rodney), out of bounds. PENALTY OSU Holding on SILLS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the OSU24 to the OSU14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+7
61.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to LD Brown for 7 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
62.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
62.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:3362% → 66%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
61.7%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
61.8%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+7
61.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 7 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
62.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 9 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
62.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
62.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 12 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
62.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+28
65.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 28 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
62.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:1462% → 61%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
62.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 13 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
62.4%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
62.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
62.2%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Brock Martin for 0 yards to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
61.2%
Joel Velazquez punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
61.2%
Joel Velazquez punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2038% → 37%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
62.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-1
62.3%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
62.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
63.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 20Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
63.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3362% → 62%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
61.9%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
61.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 13 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
62.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
62.8%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
62.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
61.5%
Joel Velazquez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
61.5%
Joel Velazquez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2338% → 37%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
62.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
63.2%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
62.6%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
63.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 32 yds, fair catch by CT Thomas at the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
63.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 32 yds, fair catch by CT Thomas at the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:2264% → 69%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.6%
George Holani run for no gain to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
63.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 7 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+1
63.2%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+3
62.3%
Hank Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
63.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 14 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
63.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for 8 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+5
63.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
63.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0932% → 29%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
68.3%
LD Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
68.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
69.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 7 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
70.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 29 ydsSimilar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
70.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:3269% → 76%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
69.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 20 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
69.6%
Davis Koetter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
69.5%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass to the right complete for 18 yards to SHAKIR, Khalil caught at the OSU16 and advanced to the OSU16 (MUHAMMAD, Jabbar), out of bounds. PENALTY BSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on STETZ, Jake enforced 5 yards from the OSU34 to the OSU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+12
68.9%
Hank Bachmeier run for 12 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+6
68.9%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 6 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
69.6%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
69.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
68.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
75.8%
Jonah Dalmas 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1625% → 26%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
74.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 27 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
73.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
72.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+10
73.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
72.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+3
72.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
73.1%
LD Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+10
73.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 14
OPP 17
-4
74.1%
Brennan Presley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 18
OPP 21
+15
74.9%
SANDERS, Spencer pass to the right incomplete intended for PRESLEY, Brennan thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Rodney enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the BSU6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
74.4%
Jaylen Warren 6 Yd Run (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
80.5%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
80.5%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5226% → 23%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
73.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+14
73.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.5%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
73.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Danny Godlevske) to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
75.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.0%
Spencer Sanders 1 Yd Run (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
17 plays · 41 yds · 7:4719% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
80.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
80.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 16 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
79.8%
LD Brown run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+4
78.8%
LD Brown run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
79.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
78.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
78.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
78.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Dominic Richardson) to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
79.1%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 34
0
79.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+16
80.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 16 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
78.0%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-5
78.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 25
-1
79.1%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 26
0
80.3%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Scott Matlock for 0 yards to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 26
OPP 34
0
85.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 26 yds, downed at the BoiSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1487% → 87%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
87.3%
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 4
OWN 14
-2
87.5%
George Holani run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
86.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
86.9%
Joel Velazquez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18MISSED FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:5116% → 13%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
83.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-1
83.6%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+18
83.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
82.6%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+3
83.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+6
83.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
86.7%
Alex Hale 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2892% → 92%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
91.6%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
91.7%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Jayden Jernigan for 0 yards to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
91.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
91.6%
Joel Velazquez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:2610% → 10%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
89.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+14
89.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 14 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.0%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Shane Irwin for 0 yards to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 47
0
89.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+6
89.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
89.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Khalil Shakir at the BoiSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:2393% → 95%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
93.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 1 yd to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+8
93.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 8 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+7
93.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for 7 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
93.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
93.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+2
93.3%
Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
93.5%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
93.1%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Lamont Bishop for 0 yards to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 19
OWN 28
+16
92.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 16 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
95.1%
Joel Velazquez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:518% → 6%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
92.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+9
91.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 9 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
91.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
91.4%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
91.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
91.5%
Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
90.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
91.4%
Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
93.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 41 yds, downed at the BoiSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23INT
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:2996% → 97%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+21
96.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 21 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
96.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted return for no gain to the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:296% → 5%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
94.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
93.9%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+2
95.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25MISSED FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
97.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 13 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
97.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MARTIN, Brock enforced (Brock Martin) to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
97.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
97.8%
Khalil Shakir run for 1 yd to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
97.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
97.5%
Jonah Dalmas 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:084% → 4%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 21Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
95.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+24
95.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Cale Cabbiness for 24 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-95.6
FG · Q2 6:26
Jonah Dalmas 36 Yd Field Goal
+6.9
TD · Q2 10:07
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com