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2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadLIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreLIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · run for no gain to the WVirg 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:18: Leddie Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: LONG ISLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Victor Nelson) to the LongIsl 39 for a 1ST down — WVU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:58: Garrett Greene run for 3 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — LIU win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:07: Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 18 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5LIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 11:25LIU 4th & 5 at LIU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25WVU 4th & 9 at LIU 44, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:25LIU 4th & 3 at LIU 20, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:10LIU 4th & 15 at LIU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:10WVU 4th & 7 at LIU 41, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:53LIU 4th & 8 at LIU 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:53WVU 4th & 13 at LIU 42, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:53WVU 4th & 2 at LIU 12, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:32LIU 4th & 5 at WVU 8, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:52LIU 4th & 12 at LIU 33, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:04LIU 4th & 12 at LIU 23, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:33LIU 4th & 5 at LIU 30, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:40LIU 4th & 12 at LIU 13, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:46WVU 4th & 1 at LIU 2, up 66
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:43LIU 4th & 11 at LIU 1, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:43LIU 4th & 11 at LIU 19, down 73
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 6:16WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:18WVU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:58WVU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:07WVU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:34WVU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:16WVU Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:59WVU Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:25WVU Touchdown, up 72 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 3:211% → 1%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.5%
Jonathan DeBique run for 2 yds to the LongIsl 16Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+15
99.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LongIsl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.5%
Jonathan DeBique run for 4 yds to the LongIsl 42Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-4
99.5%
Camden Orth pass complete to Derick Eugene for a loss of 4 yards to the LongIsl 38Similar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.5%
Camden Orth pass complete to Steven Chambers for 5 yds to the LongIsl 43Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Justin Hertlein punt for 37 yds, downed at the WVirg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:09100% → 99%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.5%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+18
99.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 18 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.5%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+6
99.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the LongIsl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the LongIsl 45Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.5%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 44Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 9
OPP 44
+21
99.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 21 yds to the LongIsl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.5%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the LongIsl 28Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 15
OPP 28
0
99.5%
Jarret Doege sacked by Matthew Molina for 0 yards to the LongIsl 32Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 19
OPP 32
+29
99.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 29 yds to the LongIsl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.5%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.5%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the LongIsl 1Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.4%
Shemar Paul run for 5 yds to the LongIsl 18Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+2
99.4%
Jonathan DeBique run for 2 yds to the LongIsl 20Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Justin Hertlein punt for 19 yds, downed at the LongIsl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 4:2599% → 100%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
99.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 27 yds to the LongIsl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
99.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 7 yds to the LongIsl 5Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
99.4%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the LongIsl 3Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+1
99.4%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.6%
LONG ISLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Victor Nelson) to the LongIsl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Kevin Wilson run for no gain to the LongIsl 25Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Camden Orth pass complete to Owen Glascoe for 9 yds to the LongIsl 34Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.6%
Camden Orth run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Camden Orth pass complete to Derick Eugene for no gain to the LongIsl 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.6%
ORTH, Camden pass to the right complete for 8 yards to CHAMBERS, Steven caught at the LIU43 and advanced to the LIU43, out of bounds. PENALTY LIU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on AMATO, Greg enforced 5 yards from the LIU35 to the LIU30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Justin Hertlein punt for 39 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for no gain to the WVirg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:12100% → 100%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.6%
Garrett Greene run for 4 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+10
99.6%
Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Sam James run for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+11
99.6%
Garrett Greene run for 11 yds to the LongIsl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
99.6%
JOHNSON JR., Justin rush up the middle for a gain of 13 yards to the LIU31 (SNEAD, Tariq;ELDER, Larry). PENALTY WVU Holding on YATES, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the LIU44 to the WVU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+10
99.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the LongIsl 44Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the LongIsl 41Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
99.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+28
99.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 28 yds to the LongIsl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.6%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the LongIsl 7Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+4
99.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the LongIsl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.7%
ORTH, Camden pass to the left complete for 5 yards to CHAMBERS, Steven caught at the LIU29 and advanced to the LIU30 (WOODS, Charles). PENALTY LIU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on OYEKANMI, Tosin enforced 5 yards from the LIU25 to the LIU20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
99.7%
Jonathan DeBique run for 2 yds to the LongIsl 22Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
99.7%
Jonathan DeBique run for 5 yds to the LongIsl 27Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Justin Hertlein punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 56 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
99.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 17 yds to the LongIsl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 13
OPP 42
+22
99.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 22 yds to the LongIsl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 7 yds to the LongIsl 13Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+1
99.7%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 12Similar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+5
99.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the LongIsl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.7%
Jarret Doege sacked by Anthony Lavio for 0 yards to the LongIsl 18Similar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-6
99.7%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the LongIsl 45Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+3
99.7%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the LongIsl 42Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.7%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the LongIsl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.7%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the LongIsl 42Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 18 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Camden Orth pass complete to Jonathan DeBique for 5 yds to the LongIsl 32Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+8
99.8%
Jonathan DeBique run for 8 yds to the LongIsl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
Camden Orth pass complete to Derick Eugene for 5 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+9
99.8%
Camden Orth pass complete to Davon Wells for 9 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.8%
Kevin Wilson run for 5 yds to the LongIsl 45Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+15
99.8%
ORTH, Camden sacked for a loss of 0 yards at the LIU45 (ALSTON, Taijh). PENALTY WVU Face mask on ALSTON, Taijh enforced 15 yards from the LIU45 to the WVU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
99.8%
Camden Orth pass complete to Steven Chambers for 13 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.8%
Jonathan DeBique run for 2 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Camden Orth sacked by Akheem Mesidor for 0 yards to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 18
OPP 21
+13
99.8%
Camden Orth pass complete to Derick Eugene for 13 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+18
99.7%
Paul Inzerillo 18 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 12 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+29
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 29 yds to the LongIsl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+12
99.8%
Jarret Doege run for 12 yds to the LongIsl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+44
99.9%
Casey Legg 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.8%
Jonathan DeBique run for a loss of 2 yards to the LongIsl 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:52
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Justin Hertlein punt for 16 yds, downed at the LongIsl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the LongIsl 44Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the LongIsl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 39 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:190% → 0%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Kevin Wilson run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 26Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
Shemar Paul run for a loss of 5 yards to the LongIsl 21 fumbled, recovered by WVirg Sean MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:44100% → 100%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the LongIsl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the LongIsl 15Similar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 15 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Shemar Paul run for a loss of 2 yards to the LongIsl 23Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Kevin Wilson run for 2 yds to the LongIsl 25Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Camden Orth pass complete to Kevin Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the LongIsl 23Similar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Paul Inzerillo punt for 23 yds , Graeson Malashevich returns for no gain to the LongIsl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+23
99.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kaden Prather for 23 yds to the LongIsl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam Brown for no gain to the LongIsl 32Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+16
99.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam Brown for 16 yds to the LongIsl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
99.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the LongIsl 19Similar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 45Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+6
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the LongIsl 13Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 13 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Shemar Paul run for 4 yds to the LongIsl 29Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Shemar Paul run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 30Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Paul Inzerillo punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Graeson Malashevich at the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 49 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+25
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 25 yds to the LongIsl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the LongIsl 25Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 8 yds to the LongIsl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the LongIsl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 6Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-9
99.9%
run for a loss of 9 yards to the LongIsl 15 fumbled, recovered by LongIsl Qualil LumpkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
100.0%
Domonhic Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the LongIsl 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-1
100.0%
Domonhic Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the LongIsl 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
100.0%
Camden Orth sacked by Darel Middleton for 0 yards to the LongIsl 13Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
100.0%
Paul Inzerillo punt for 21 yds, downed at the LongIsl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:54100% → 100%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
100.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the LongIsl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
100.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the LongIsl 21Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
100.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the LongIsl 21Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+10
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the LongIsl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
100.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the LongIsl 6Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
100.0%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the LongIsl 3Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
100.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 2Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the LongIsl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
100.0%
Kevin Melore run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 3Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+1
100.0%
Ricky Conway run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 4Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 8
OWN 4
-3
100.0%
Kevin Melore run for a loss of 3 yards to the LongIsl 1Similar
Q4 6:43
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+10
100.0%
Paul Inzerillo punt for 38 yds , Graeson Malashevich returns for 10 yds to the LongIsl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
100.0%
Will Crowder pass complete to Preston Fox for 8 yds to the LongIsl 21Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+20
100.0%
Will Crowder pass complete to Kaden Prather for 20 yds to the LongIsl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
A'varius Sparrow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Ricky Conway run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 21Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Kevin Melore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-2
100.0%
Kevin Melore run for a loss of 2 yards to the LongIsl 19Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Paul Inzerillo punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Graeson Malashevich at the LongIsl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Markquan Rucker run for 5 yds to the LongIsl 42Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
A'varius Sparrow run for 3 yds to the LongIsl 39Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
100.0%
Markquan Rucker run for 1 yd to the LongIsl 38Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
100.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Formation on CROWDER, Will ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Domonhic Jennings run for 4 yds to the LongIsl 42Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+15
100.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Targeting on COLEMAN, Caleb enforced (Caleb Coleman) to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
100.0%
run for 11 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Saint McLeod) to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
100.0%
run for no gain to the WVirg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:18
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 0:00
LONG ISLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Victor Nelson) to the LongIsl 39 for a 1ST down
+0.1
TD · Q2 8:58
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com