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SFA

Stephen F. Austin 22 at Texas Tech 28

TTU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadSFA aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreSFA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:16 · T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for SAU.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:58: T.Brooks rushed to SAU End Zone for 67 yards. T.Brooks for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TTU win probability +7.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:28: T.Brooks rushed to SAU End Zone for 1 yards. T.Brooks for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TTU win probability +5.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:56: T.Self pass complete to TT 4. Catch made by J.Young at TT 4. Gain of 4 yards. J.Young for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — SFA win probability +15.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: SFA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:38: X.White rushed to SAU End Zone for 3 yards. X.White for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TTU win probability +15.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:19: C.Campos 36 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-SAU, Holder-C.Ruiz. — SFA win probability +9.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: SFA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SFA made the numbers' call on 13 of 15
  1. Q1 11:10SFA 4th & 1 at TTU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:28SFA 4th & 4 at TTU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:14SFA 4th & 4 at TTU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:51TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:52SFA 4th & 3 at SFA 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:23TTU 4th & 25 at TTU 41, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:14SFA 4th & 5 at SFA 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:20SFA 4th & 6 at TTU 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:54TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:25SFA 4th & 4 at TTU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:28SFA 4th & 10 at TTU 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−3.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:12SFA 4th & 6 at SFA 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:00SFA 4th & 7 at SFA 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:05SFA 4th & 4 at SFA 42, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:10SFA 4th & 3 at TTU 35, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−1.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−2.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:19SFA 4th & 8 at TTU 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−4.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:57TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−3.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:32SFA 4th & 1 at TTU 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−7.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:16SFA 4th & 7 at TTU 7, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−9.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−14.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:59TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:58TTU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:28TTU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:38TTU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:5598% → 98%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
97.6%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 23. Catch made by E.Ezukanma at TT 23. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by J.Evans at TT 28.Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-3
97.6%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 28. Catch made by E.Ezukanma at TT 28. Gain of -3 yards. Tackled by B.Thompson at TT 25.Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+75
97.5%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 25. Catch made by E.Ezukanma at TT 25. Gain of 75 yards. E.Ezukanma for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 2DOWNS
20 plays · 65 yds · 7:313% → 3%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
97.5%
M.Reed rushed to SAU 27 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Schooler at SAU 27.Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+6
97.4%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 27. Catch made by M.Reed at SAU 27. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by B.Bouyer-Randle; R.Williams at SAU 33.Similar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
97.4%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 33. Catch made by J.Miller at SAU 33. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by A.Frye at SAU 44.Similar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
97.4%
M.Reed rushed to SAU 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by N.Mbanasor; T.Bradford at SAU 46.Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
97.3%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for M.Reed.Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+7
97.3%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 46. Catch made by J.Miller at SAU 46. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by R.Jeffers at TT 47.Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+1
97.2%
M.Reed rushed to TT 46 for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Waters at TT 46.Similar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
97.1%
T.Self pass complete to TT 46. Catch made by M.Reed at TT 46. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by B.Bouyer-Randle at TT 44.Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+4
97.1%
T.Self pass complete to TT 44. Catch made by D.Simmons at TT 44. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by A.Frye; R.Jeffers at TT 40.Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
97.0%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for X.Gipson.Similar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+10
97.0%
T.Self pass complete to TT 40. Catch made by X.Gipson at TT 40. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by M.Waters at TT 30.Similar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
96.9%
M.Reed rushed to TT 29 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Hutchings at TT 29.Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
96.8%
T.Self pass complete to TT 21. Catch made by X.Gipson at TT 21. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by R.Williams at TT 21.Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+3
96.8%
T.Self pass complete to TT 21. Catch made by J.Thompson at TT 21. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by A.Frye; R.Pearson at TT 18.Similar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
96.6%
M.Reed rushed to TT 14 for 4 yards. Tackled by E.Monroe at TT 14.Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
96.5%
M.Reed rushed to TT 12 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Drew at TT 12.Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
96.5%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for J.Miller.Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 4
OPP 12
0
96.6%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for J.Miller.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1897% → 96%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
96.6%
T.Brooks rushed to TT 15 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Morris at TT 15.Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
96.6%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 15. Catch made by E.Ezukanma at TT 15. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by B.Morris at TT 15.Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
96.4%
T.Shough steps back to pass. T.Shough pass incomplete intended for E.Ezukanma.Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 7
OWN 15
+47
96.4%
A.McNamara punts 47 yards to SAU 38, Center-TT. Fair catch by SAU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:514% → 4%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.4%
X.Gipson rushed to SAU 38 for 0 yards. Tackled by R.Pearson at SAU 38.Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
96.3%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 38. Catch made by X.Gipson at SAU 38. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by C.Schooler at SAU 44.Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+3
96.2%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 44. Catch made by D.Simmons at SAU 44. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by D.Fields at SAU 47.Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+45
96.1%
M.Quick punts 45 yards to TT 8, Center-SAU. Downed by SAU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3496% → 95%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
96.1%
T.Brooks rushed to TT 11 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Fox at TT 11.Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 7
OWN 11
-18
95.4%
T.Shough pass INTERCEPTED at TT 18. Intercepted by W.Roberts at TT 18. W.Roberts for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 13 yds · 2:2895% → 95%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
95.4%
X.White rushed to TT 29 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Hill; B.Morris at TT 29.Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
95.2%
PENALTY on TT-J.Sparkman, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+8
95.1%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 24. Catch made by X.White at TT 24. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by B.Randle at TT 32.Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+8
95.1%
T.Shough scrambles to TT 40 for 8 yards. Tackled by SAU at TT 40.Similar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.2%
X.White rushed to TT 42 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Davis; R.Nichols at TT 42.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+14
95.1%
T.Shough rushed to SAU 44 for 14 yards. Tackled by T.Lloyd at SAU 44.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.2%
T.Shough steps back to pass. T.Shough pass incomplete intended for E.Ezukanma.Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
95.1%
T.Shough steps back to pass. T.Shough pass incomplete intended for K.Geiger.Similar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
94.9%
T.Shough steps back to pass. T.Shough pass incomplete intended for TT.Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 10
OPP 44
+15
94.7%
PENALTY on TT-TT, Personal Foul / Offense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 14:23
4TH & 25
OWN 41
+47
94.5%
A.McNamara punts 47 yards to SAU 12, Center-TT. X.Gipson returned punt from the SAU 12. Tackled by S.Collins at SAU 8.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:595% → 5%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
94.8%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 8. Catch made by J.Miller at SAU 8. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by A.Frye at SAU 21.Similar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
94.6%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 21. Catch made by K.Williams at SAU 21. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by K.Merriweather; C.Schooler at SAU 26.Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
94.4%
X.Gipson steps back to pass. X.Gipson pass incomplete intended for J.Miller.Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
94.5%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for Q.Borders.Similar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+43
94.7%
M.Quick punts 43 yards to TT 31, Center-SAU. M.Mannix MUFFS catch. Fumble RECOVERED by SAU-K.Thompson at TT 31. Tackled by TT at SAU 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 8FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:426% → 8%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
93.8%
M.Reed rushed to TT 24 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Wilson at TT 24.Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+9
93.7%
T.Self pass complete to TT 24. Catch made by X.Gipson at TT 24. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by C.Schooler at TT 15.Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+7
93.6%
T.Self pass complete to TT 15. Catch made by X.Gipson at TT 15. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by M.Waters; D.Fields at TT 8.Similar
Q2 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
93.3%
T.Self rushed to TT 11 for -3 yards. Tackled by T.Bradford at TT 11.Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
93.1%
T.Self pass complete to TT 11. Catch made by C.Aune at TT 11. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by C.Schooler; J.Pierre at TT 6.Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
93.0%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for X.Gipson.Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
92.1%
C.Campos 23 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-SAU, Holder-C.Ruiz.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2192% → 90%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.4%
T.Brooks rushed to TT 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Davis; C.Fox at TT 29.Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
92.1%
T.Shough rushed to TT 42 for 13 yards. Tackled by Z.Gulley at TT 42.Similar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-9
92.4%
M.Price rushed to TT 33 for -9 yards. Tackled by C.Hill at TT 33.Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 19
OWN 33
+7
91.5%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 33. Catch made by T.Brooks at TT 33. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by J.Davis; D.Osagiede at TT 40.Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
90.7%
T.Shough steps back to pass. T.Shough pass incomplete intended for E.Ezukanma.Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 12
OWN 40
+43
90.4%
A.McNamara punts 43 yards to SAU 17, Center-TT. Fair catch by X.Gipson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 10FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 6:1710% → 18%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
90.5%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for X.Gipson.Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+27
90.6%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 17. Catch made by X.Gipson at SAU 17. Gain of 27 yards. Tackled by E.Monroe at SAU 44.Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
89.6%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 44. Catch made by X.Gipson at SAU 44. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by R.Williams at SAU 47.Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
89.2%
J.Young rushed to SAU 50 for 3 yards. Tackled by P.Blidi at SAU 50.Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 4
OPP 0
+17
88.5%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 50. Catch made by J.Miller at SAU 50. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by E.Monroe at TT 33.Similar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
88.1%
R.McGrue rushed to TT 30 for 3 yards. Tackled by N.Mbanasor at TT 30.Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-2
87.5%
R.McGrue rushed to TT 32 for -2 yards. Tackled by R.Pearson at TT 32.Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+5
87.5%
T.Self pass complete to TT 32. Catch made by C.Aune at TT 32. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by M.Waters at TT 27.Similar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+9
87.8%
T.Self pass complete to TT 27. Catch made by X.Gipson at TT 27. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by R.Pearson at TT 18.Similar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
85.8%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for D.Simmons.Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
85.8%
T.Self rushed to TT 14 for 4 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 14.Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+5
85.3%
PENALTY on SAU-SAU, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+1
84.9%
T.Self pass complete to TT 19. Catch made by X.Gipson at TT 19. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by R.Jeffers at TT 18.Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 10
OPP 18
0
82.1%
C.Campos 35 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-SAU, Holder-C.Ruiz.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:2584% → 86%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.0%
X.White rushed to TT 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by C.Fox at TT 31.Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
84.5%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 31. Catch made by E.Ezukanma at TT 31. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by SAU at TT 43.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
84.8%
T.Shough rushed to TT 50 for 7 yards. Tackled by SAU at TT 50.Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 3
OPP 0
0
86.3%
T.Shough pass INTERCEPTED at SAU 11. Intercepted by J.Miller at SAU 11. Tackled by TT at SAU 11.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4119% → 19%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
80.9%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 23. Catch made by X.Gipson at SAU 23. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 27.Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
79.7%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for C.Aune.Similar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
80.5%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for K.Williams.Similar
Q3 14:12
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+73
81.4%
C.Ruiz punts 73 yards to TT End Zone, Center-SAU. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3881% → 89%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
81.3%
T.Brooks rushed to TT 33 for 13 yards. Tackled by R.Nichols; D.Babalola at TT 33.Similar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
89.0%
T.Brooks rushed to SAU End Zone for 67 yards. T.Brooks for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:4712% → 13%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.4%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 25. Catch made by R.McGrue at SAU 25. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by R.Jeffers at SAU 26.Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
88.0%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for X.Gipson.Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+19
88.4%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 26. Catch made by J.Miller at SAU 26. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by C.White at SAU 45.Similar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
86.2%
R.McGrue rushed to SAU 47 for 2 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 47.Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
85.7%
R.McGrue rushed to SAU 48 for 1 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 48.Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
85.7%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for D.Simmons.Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+49
86.9%
M.Quick punts 49 yards to TT 3, Center-SAU. Downed by SAU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 113 yds · 4:2187% → 93%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
86.8%
T.Brooks rushed to TT 9 for 6 yards. Tackled by SAU at TT 9.Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+3
86.5%
T.Brooks rushed to TT 12 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Randle at TT 12.Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+11
85.6%
T.Brooks rushed to TT 23 for 11 yards. Tackled by SAU at TT 23.Similar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
86.3%
T.Shough rushed to TT 42 for 19 yards. Tackled by SAU at TT 42.Similar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+52
87.1%
X.White rushed to SAU 6 for 52 yards. Tackled by B.Harmon at SAU 6.Similar
Q3 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
87.8%
T.Shough pass complete to SAU 6. Catch made by M.Price at SAU 6. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by M.Brooks at SAU 4.Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.3%
T.Brooks rushed to SAU 1 for 1 yards. Tackled by SAU at SAU 1.Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.2%
T.Brooks rushed to SAU End Zone for 1 yards. T.Brooks for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for C.Aune. PENALTY on SAU-SAU, Illegal Use of Hands / Offense, 13 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+19
91.5%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 12. Catch made by X.Gipson at SAU 12. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 31.Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
91.2%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 31. Catch made by M.Brooks at SAU 31. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 35.Similar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
91.7%
M.Reed rushed to SAU 37 for 2 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 37.Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
91.6%
M.Reed rushed to SAU 42 for 5 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 42.Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
91.1%
X.Gipson rushed to SAU 42 for 0 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 42.Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
92.0%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for C.Aune.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 17TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:0411% → 27%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
88.7%
T.Self pass complete to TT 26. Catch made by L.Rikel at TT 26. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 15.Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
88.6%
T.Self pass complete to TT 15. Catch made by X.Gipson at TT 15. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 4.Similar
Q4 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.7%
T.Self pass complete to TT 4. Catch made by J.Young at TT 4. Gain of 4 yards. J.Young for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:1080% → 92%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
79.7%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 35. Catch made by E.Monroe at TT 35. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by SAU at TT 37.Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
79.8%
T.Shough steps back to pass. T.Shough pass incomplete intended for E.Ezukanma.Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+55
78.6%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 37. Catch made by E.Ezukanma at TT 37. Gain of 55 yards. Tackled by SAU at SAU 8.Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 38
OWN 7
+4
77.1%
PENALTY on SAU-SAU, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, 4 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.4%
X.White rushed to SAU End Zone for 3 yards. X.White for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 19FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:118% → 19%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
PENALTY on SAU-SAU, Unnecessary Roughness / Offense, 12 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
92.0%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 13. Catch made by R.McGrue at SAU 13. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 14.Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+44
92.1%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 14. Catch made by X.Gipson at SAU 14. Gain of 44 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 42.Similar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.8%
PENALTY on SAU-SAU, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+1
90.3%
T.Self pass complete to TT 47. Catch made by J.Thompson at TT 47. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 46.Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+9
90.7%
T.Self pass complete to TT 46. Catch made by J.Young at TT 46. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 37.Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+2
89.8%
T.Self pass complete to TT 37. Catch made by L.Rikel at TT 37. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 35.Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+4
90.4%
J.Young rushed to TT 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 31.Similar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
88.2%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for J.Young.Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
88.3%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self sacked at TT 36 for -5 yards (K.Merriweather)Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+7
91.1%
T.Self pass complete to TT 36. Catch made by L.Rikel at TT 36. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 29.Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 8
OPP 29
0
81.5%
C.Campos 36 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-SAU, Holder-C.Ruiz.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1690% → 89%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.0%
PENALTY on TT-TT, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
89.8%
T.Shough pass complete to TT 20. Catch made by X.White at TT 20. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by J.Evans at TT 20.Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
89.5%
X.White rushed to TT 26 for 6 yards. Tackled by B.Randle at TT 26.Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
89.7%
T.Shough steps back to pass. T.Shough pass incomplete intended for TT.Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+44
88.8%
A.McNamara punts 44 yards to SAU 30, Center-TT. Fair catch by SAU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 21DOWNS
22 plays · 63 yds · 4:2618% → 21%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
81.9%
J.Young rushed to SAU 32 for 2 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 32. PENALTY on TT-TT, Illegal Use of Hands / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
79.6%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for X.Gipson. The Replay Official reviewed the pass interception and the play was upheld.Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
80.5%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 47. Catch made by W.Taylor at SAU 47. Gain of yards. Tackled by TT at TT 40. PENALTY on SAU-W.Taylor, Offensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 25
OWN 32
0
83.7%
PENALTY on SAU-SAU, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 30
OWN 27
+15
83.8%
PENALTY on TT-TT, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
80.4%
J.Young rushed to SAU 40 for -2 yards. Tackled by TT at SAU 40.Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
82.0%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for R.McGrue.Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+11
83.7%
T.Self pass complete to SAU 40. Catch made by J.Miller at SAU 40. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 49.Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+5
80.0%
T.Self scrambles to TT 44 for 5 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 44.Similar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
77.8%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for R.McGrue.Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+19
78.2%
T.Self pass complete to TT 44. Catch made by M.Brooks at TT 44. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 25.Similar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
74.8%
T.Hooker rushed to TT 23 for 2 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 23.Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+15
72.7%
T.Self pass complete to TT 23. Catch made by K.Williams at TT 23. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 8.Similar
Q4 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
72.5%
J.Young rushed to TT 8 for 0 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 8.Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-9
72.4%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self sacked at TT 17 for -9 yards (J.Hutchings)Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+10
79.6%
T.Self scrambles to TT 7 for 10 yards. Tackled by TT at TT 7.Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.0%
T.Self steps back to pass. T.Self pass incomplete intended for SAU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+21
TD · Q4 13:56
T.Self pass complete to TT 4. Catch made by J.Young at TT 4. Gain of 4 yards. J.Young for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-15.9
TD · Q4 12:38
X.White rushed to SAU End Zone for 3 yards. X.White for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com