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SIU

Southern Illinois 23 at Kansas State 31

KSU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadSIU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreSIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:02 · Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior+35.5Home team on offense+2.6Score differential+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Garbage-time factor+0.4Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:14: Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nico Gualdoni KICK) — SIU win probability +6.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:16: PJ Jules 41 Yd Interception Return (Nico Gualdoni Kick) — SIU win probability +7.9 pts (now 23%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:06: Nico Gualdoni 47 yd FG MISSED — SIU win probability +16.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:14: Taiten Winkel 24 yd FG MISSED — KSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:57: Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — SIU win probability +5.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:10SIU 4th & 4 at SIU 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:02SIU 4th & 7 at KSU 45, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−0.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    12.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:02SIU 4th & 1 at KSU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−0.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:21SIU 4th & 5 at KSU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:19KSU 4th & 4 at SIU 45, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%−1.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:34SIU 4th & 7 at SIU 28, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:56KSU 4th & 11 at SIU 16, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−2.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−12.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:52KSU 4th & 19 at SIU 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−4.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−2.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:06SIU 4th & 5 at KSU 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−4.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:15KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 43, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:14KSU 4th & 6 at SIU 6, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−3.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−20.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:16SIU 4th & 6 at SIU 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:45KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:02KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:16KSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:09SIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:14SIU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:16SIU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1590% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
89.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+43
89.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 43 yds to the SoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
89.9%
Joe Ervin run for 9 yds to the SoIll 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
89.9%
Joe Ervin run for 2 yds to the SoIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
89.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the SoIll 4Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
89.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 2INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2711% → 11%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.4%
Justin Strong run for 5 yds to the SoIll 30Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
89.3%
Nic Baker pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
89.6%
Skylar Thompson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5811% → 11%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
89.3%
Nic Baker pass incomplete to Justin StrongSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
89.3%
Justin Strong run for 6 yds to the SoIll 39Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
89.3%
Nic Baker pass incomplete to Landon LenoirSimilar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
89.2%
Jack Colquhoun punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:0889% → 91%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
89.3%
Joe Ervin run for 10 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
89.3%
Jax Dineen run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
89.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jax Dineen for 3 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+50
89.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 50 yds to the SoIll 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
89.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the SoIll 4Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+2
89.5%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the SoIll 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
89.5%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the SoIll 1Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
Will Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 6FG
20 plays · 61 yds · 6:4110% → 12%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.0%
Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante CoxSimilar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.0%
Izaiah Hartrup run for 9 yds to the SoIll 34Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
89.9%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
89.9%
Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 5 yds to the SoIll 47Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
89.8%
Nic Baker run for 5 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
89.8%
Williams Jr.,Javon rush for 2 yards gain to the KSU46 (Fletcher,Cody) PENALTY SIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from KSU48 to SIU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+2
89.9%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoIll 49Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+6
89.9%
Nic Baker run for 6 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
89.7%
Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante CoxSimilar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 7
OPP 45
+15
89.9%
Nic Baker pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 15 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
89.6%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+4
89.5%
Nic Baker run for 4 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
89.6%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
89.7%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
89.6%
Nic Baker run for 5 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
89.5%
Landon Lenoir run for 2 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-2
89.8%
Nic Baker sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 14Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
88.5%
Nico Gualdoni 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:5789% → 93%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
89.2%
Vaughn,Deuce rush for 3 yards gain to the KSU48 (Brown,Qua) PENALTY KSU Holding (Leveston,KT) 10 yards from KSU45 to KSU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+5
88.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Keenan Garber for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
89.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+21
88.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Landry Weber for 21 yds to the SoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
89.3%
Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the SoIll 32Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+3
89.3%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the SoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
89.3%
Will Howard run for 5 yds to the SoIll 24Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
89.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the SoIll 20Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+6
89.1%
Will Howard run for 6 yds to the SoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
89.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 13 yds to the SoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:078% → 11%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
92.3%
Nic Baker pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 14 yds to the SoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.0%
Romeir Elliott run for 4 yds to the SoIll 43Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+21
91.8%
Nic Baker pass complete to Tyce Daniel for 21 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
91.7%
Romeir Elliott run for 2 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+19
91.4%
Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 19 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
91.3%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
91.3%
Nic Baker pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 5 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
91.6%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.9%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:4611% → 17%
Q2 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
88.9%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.7%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nico Gualdoni KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11INT TD
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5285% → 77%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
84.9%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 13
OWN 19
0
84.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 13
OWN 19
-41
76.8%
PJ Jules 41 Yd Interception Return (Nico Gualdoni Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12FUMBLE
11 plays · 24 yds · 2:1778% → 79%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.8%
Jacardia Wright run for 8 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
79.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 5 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
78.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 11 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
79.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
78.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+6
77.0%
Will Howard run for 6 yds to the SoIll 45Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+9
77.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Landry Weber for 9 yds to the SoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-15
78.6%
Will Howard sacked by Kevin Glajchen for a loss of 15 yards to the KanSt 49 Will Howard fumbled, recovered by SoIll Gianini Belizaire , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5927% → 30%
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
73.1%
Justin Strong run for 12 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
72.6%
Nic Baker pass incomplete to Landon LenoirSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
71.9%
Nic Baker run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
71.0%
Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante CoxSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-10
70.0%
Nic Baker sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 1:2627% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.1%
Nic Baker pass incomplete to Landon LenoirSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.3%
Justin Strong run for 3 yds to the SoIll 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
73.9%
Baker,Nic sacked for loss of 4 yards to the SIU24 (Huggins,Eli), fumble by Baker,Nic recovered by SIU Strong,Justin at SIU24, End Of Play PENALTY KSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from SIU28 to SIU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
72.7%
PENALTY SIU False Start (Furcron,Zeveyon) 5 yards from SIU33 to SIU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
73.9%
Nic Baker pass incomplete to Landon LenoirSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
74.2%
Jack Colquhoun punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 7:3875% → 78%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
74.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
75.0%
Will Howard run for 7 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
75.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
76.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
76.7%
Phillip Brooks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+9
76.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 9 yds to the SoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
77.5%
Malik Knowles run for 4 yds to the SoIll 44Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+13
77.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 13 yds to the SoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
78.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the SoIll 22Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+7
78.6%
Joe Ervin run for 7 yds to the SoIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
78.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the SoIll 15Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
78.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the SoIll 17Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+1
77.0%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the SoIll 16Similar
Q3 5:56
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
77.7%
Taiten Winkel 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:4024% → 27%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.9%
Justin Strong run for 4 yds to the SoIll 29Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
75.4%
Landon Lenoir run for 11 yds to the SoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
74.0%
Nic Baker run for no gain to the SoIll 40Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
74.6%
Nic Baker pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 7 yds to the SoIll 47Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
72.4%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoIll 49Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
73.2%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Illegal Shift Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 3:2479% → 74%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
79.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the SoIll 45Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+10
79.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the SoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
80.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the SoIll 40Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 15
OPP 40
0
78.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the SoIll 40Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+4
75.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 4 yds to the SoIll 44Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 19
OPP 44
0
74.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:4627% → 48%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
73.5%
Nic Baker pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 19 yds to the SoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
71.2%
Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 6 yds to the SoIll 45Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
69.8%
Romeir Elliott run for 3 yds to the SoIll 48Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+17
69.7%
Romeir Elliott run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jahron McPherson) to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
67.6%
Nic Baker sacked by Jahron McPherson for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+16
71.0%
Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 16 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
69.1%
Romeir Elliott run for 4 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
52.3%
Nico Gualdoni 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:5162% → 60%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
61.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
64.8%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
62.5%
Vaughn,Deuce rush for 8 yards gain to the KSU48 (Bush,Clayton) PENALTY KSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from KSU40 to KSU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+8
60.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
61.6%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
60.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3846% → 47%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
54.1%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoIll 17Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 2
OWN 17
0
52.3%
Javon Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Justin StrongSimilar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 2
OWN 17
-8
52.9%
Nic Baker sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 8 yards to the SoIll 9 Nic Baker fumbled, recovered by KanSt Daniel Green , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2369% → 74%
Q4 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
68.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the SoIll 7Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
68.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the SoIll 6Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
65.9%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q4 7:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
73.9%
Taiten Winkel 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5833% → 30%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
67.3%
Nic Baker run for 3 yds to the SoIll 17Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+5
68.0%
Justin Strong run for 5 yds to the SoIll 22Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+2
69.1%
Nic Baker run for 2 yds to the SoIll 24Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
70.2%
Jack Colquhoun punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:1974% → 81%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
73.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
72.2%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+21
70.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 21 yds to the SoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
75.6%
Joe Ervin run for 14 yds to the SoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
77.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 16 yds to the SoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
77.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the SoIll 4Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 24FUMBLE
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:3832% → 39%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
68.5%
Nic Baker pass complete to Tyce Daniel for 4 yds to the SoIll 34Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
67.0%
Nic Baker pass complete to Tyce Daniel for 8 yds to the SoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
65.2%
Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 5 yds to the SoIll 47Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
62.2%
Nic Baker run for no gain to the SoIll 47Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+6
63.9%
Nic Baker pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 6 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
60.1%
Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 14 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
57.8%
Nic Baker pass incomplete to Tyce DanielSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+12
57.8%
Nic Baker pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 12 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
60.6%
Nic Baker sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 25 Nic Baker fumbled, recovered by KanSt Timmy Horne , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 11:06
Nico Gualdoni 47 yd FG MISSED
-16.8
FG · Q4 7:14
Taiten Winkel 24 yd FG MISSED
+8
TD · Q2 3:16
PJ Jules 41 Yd Interception Return (Nico Gualdoni Kick)
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com