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UL

Louisiana 18 at Texas 38

TEX
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:14 · Rhys Byrns punt for 54 yds, downed at the Texas 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Home team on offense+0.9Pregame prior+17.9Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:00: Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +8.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Kenneth Almendares 48 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +5.2 pts (now 26%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:48: Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +6.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:50: Chris Smith run for 27 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares PAT BLOCKED) — UL win probability +5.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:43: Hudson Card run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +8.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:29UL 4th & 2 at UL 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:32TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:16UL 4th & 17 at TEX 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:30TEX 4th & 6 at UL 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:14UL 4th & 9 at UL 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:26TEX 4th & 11 at UL 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:45UL 4th & 3 at UL 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:31UL 4th & 1 at UL 34, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:10UL 4th & 1 at UL 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.6%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:10UL 4th & 14 at UL 21, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:24UL 4th & 1 at UL 34, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:16TEX 4th & 7 at UL 31, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:04TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 14, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 2:25TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:00TEX Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:48TEX Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:50UL Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:43TEX Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:24TEX Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:31UL Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1627% → 27%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.5%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
73.3%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
73.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
73.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 50 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 6 yds to the Texas 39 TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Texas 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5373% → 73%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
73.2%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-1
73.1%
Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 11
OWN 12
0
73.0%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
72.9%
Cameron Dicker punt for 50 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:4427% → 28%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
72.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 20 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
72.5%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+16
72.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 16 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
72.0%
Montrell Johnson run for 10 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
72.0%
Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-1
71.8%
Levi Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-8
71.7%
Levi Lewis sacked by DeMarvion Overshown and Luke Brockermeyer for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+37
71.9%
Kenneth Almendares 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:2071% → 73%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
71.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 9 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+17
71.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
71.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+3
71.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+6
70.7%
Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
71.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+6
71.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
71.4%
Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
71.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+18
72.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 18 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:1128% → 28%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
72.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Peter LeBlanc) to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
72.2%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+15
72.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 15 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
71.6%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
71.4%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
71.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
72.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 54 yds, downed at the Texas 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:3572% → 71%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
71.7%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 8Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+34
71.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 34 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
72.5%
Hudson Card sacked by Andre Riley for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+6
71.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Joshua Moore for 6 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+28
72.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 28 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
73.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-5
73.2%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Junior Angilau) to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 11
OPP 27
0
73.2%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
72.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+45
71.1%
Cameron Dicker 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3029% → 29%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
71.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
70.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Neal JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-5
71.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+5
71.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+18
71.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 46 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for 18 yds to the Texas 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
17 plays · 62 yds · 7:4572% → 83%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
72.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+4
71.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Joshua Moore for 4 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+4
71.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+15
70.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 15 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
73.5%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 5
OPP 44
-8
73.6%
Hudson Card sacked by AJ Washington for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 48Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+13
72.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
73.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
73.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+14
73.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 14 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
74.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Jones) to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+7
73.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Joshua Moore for 7 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+4
73.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+11
73.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 11 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
74.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
74.1%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
82.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9END OF HALF
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:4519% → 26%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
80.1%
Emani Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
81.3%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
81.2%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
80.2%
Levi Lewis run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
79.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jacob BernardSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+48
73.8%
Kenneth Almendares 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5780% → 89%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
80.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
81.6%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
80.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
81.8%
Hudson Card sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+3
80.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+41
80.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 41 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
82.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
88.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:4513% → 20%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
86.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
86.9%
Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+2
86.5%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+2
87.0%
Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
86.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+21
86.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 21 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
85.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 5 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
85.7%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+7
86.5%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
85.5%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+3
86.1%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+27
80.3%
Chris Smith run for 27 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:4784% → 94%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
84.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
85.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+18
85.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 18 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
85.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
85.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.7%
Hudson Card run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:108% → 7%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.8%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
91.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
92.1%
Levi Lewis sacked by Ovie Oghoufo for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
92.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 62 yds, downed at the Texas 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:2694% → 99%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
94.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+8
94.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 8 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
94.3%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+5
94.4%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
94.4%
Keilan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
94.9%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Cade BrewerSimilar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+16
94.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 16 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
95.2%
Keilan Robinson run for 25 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
95.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
98.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:441% → 5%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.7%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
98.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 7 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
98.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 26 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Chris SmithSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
98.6%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Texas 28Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+5
98.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 5 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
95.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0197% → 99%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.9%
Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
96.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (AJ Washington) to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+10
97.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 3 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-1
97.4%
Keilan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+1
97.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
98.9%
Cameron Dicker 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:351% → 1%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Johnny LumpkinSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
99.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
99.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 14 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.3%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+17
99.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 17 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.2%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
99.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 4 yds Emani Bailey fumbled, forced by Darion Dunn, recovered by Texas Jerrin ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:1199% → 99%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.3%
Keilan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 19
-9
99.3%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Denzel Okafor) to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
99.3%
Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 13
OWN 10
+4
99.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
99.4%
Cameron Dicker punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19END OF GAME
12 plays · 42 yds · 1:381% → 0%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 6 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+8
99.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 8 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 6 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+4
99.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Montrell Johnson for 4 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 15 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 8 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
99.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for no gain to the Texas 20Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+4
99.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 4 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 6 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-9
99.8%
Levi Lewis sacked by Jett Bush for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:00
Hudson Card pass complete to Cade Brewer for 6 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q3 2:43
Hudson Card run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+8.1
TD · Q3 11:48
Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com