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STAN

Stanford 7 at Kansas State 24

KSU
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Ryan Sanborn punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense+19.4Pregame prior+3.1Score differential+6.6Garbage-time factor+5.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:06: Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds for a TD — KSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:17: Deuce Vaughn run for 59 yds for a TD — KSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:07: Timeout STANFORD, clock 03:07 — KSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:00: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the KanSt 37 — KSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:17: Thompson, Skyla rush for 3 yards to the KSU12 ( Herron, Stephe), PENALTY KSU holding ( Duffie, Christ) 5 yards to the KSU4, NO PLAY. — KSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:08STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:12STAN 4th & 23 at KSU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:03KSU 4th & 14 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:21STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 17, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:14STAN 4th & 27 at KSU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:17KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:08KSU 4th & 10 at STAN 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−4.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:37STAN 4th & 1 at KSU 16, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:32KSU 4th & 2 at STAN 39, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:06KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:17KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:10KSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:16STAN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.9%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
62.9%
Jack West pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 12 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
62.9%
Jack West pass complete to E.J. Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-5
62.9%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (Walter Rouse) to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 33
-5
62.9%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (Myles Hinton) to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 28
+5
62.9%
Jones, Austin rush for 2 yards to the SU30 (Huggins, Eli), PENALTY KSU offside defense (Horne, Timmy) 5 yards to the SU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+5
62.9%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+6
62.9%
Jack West pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+2
62.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 2 yds to the KanSt 46 KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (5 Yards) to the KanSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2INT
8 plays · 72 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+17
62.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 17 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
62.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+22
62.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 22 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
63.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 16 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
63.3%
Joe Ervin run for 6 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+5
63.4%
Malik Knowles run for 5 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
63.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
63.4%
Skylar Thompson pass intercepted, touchback. Kyu Blu Kelly return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
62.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
62.6%
Jack West run for 4 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-1
62.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
62.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:5663% → 68%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+56
62.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 56 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
67.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
15 plays · 32 yds · 4:5434% → 32%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.3%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
66.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+20
66.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 20 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
65.2%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+1
65.1%
Tanner McKee run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+12
65.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 12 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
64.7%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-10
64.7%
Peat, Nathaniel rush for no gain to the KSU30 ( Brents, Julius; Elder, Ross), PENALTY SU holding ( Rouse, Walter) 10 yards to the KSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+2
66.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 2 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 18
OPP 38
0
67.8%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 18
OPP 38
-5
68.3%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (Stephen Herron) to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 23
OPP 43
0
68.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
67.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+30
67.8%
Malik Knowles run for 30 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
69.1%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Tucker Fisk for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+3
68.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 14
50
0
67.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 14
50
0
66.9%
Ty Zentner punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
68.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Stanf 10Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-4
68.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 6Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+11
69.7%
Tanner McKee run for 11 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+7
69.8%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 29 , Phillip Brooks returns for 7 yds to the KanSt 24 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:3970% → 77%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
70.2%
Thompson, Skyla pass incomplete to Garber, Keenan, PENALTY SU pass interference ( Bonner, Ethan) 15 yards to the KSU44, 1ST DOWN KSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
71.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+1
70.5%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+59
77.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 59 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:0523% → 21%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
77.5%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+27
77.4%
Jack West pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 27 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
76.2%
Jack West pass incomplete to Brycen TremayneSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
76.9%
Jack West pass complete to Austin Jones for 15 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
75.1%
Jack West sacked by Cody Fletcher for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+2
78.9%
Jack West pass intercepted Russ Yeast return for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10END OF HALF
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
81.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
81.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
81.9%
Thompson, Skyla pass complete to Howell, Tyrone for 6 yards to the KSU49, out-of-bounds ( Reid, Gabe), PENALTY KSU personal foul ( Johnson, Noah) 15 yards to the KSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+6
81.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 19
OWN 34
+2
81.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
82.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-6
82.7%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Stephen Herron for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
81.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12PUNT
16 plays · 32 yds · 3:2818% → 15%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
82.0%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-5
82.2%
STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (Jack West) to the Stanf 23Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+29
82.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 29 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
82.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 2 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-10
82.6%
Jones, Austin rush for 11 yards to the KSU35 ( Brents, Julius), PENALTY SU holding ( Rouse, Walter) 10 yards to the SU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+5
84.5%
McKee, Tanner pass complete to Tremayne, Bryc for 10 yards to the KSU46, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KSU offside defense (Horne, Timmy) 5 yards to the SU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+12
84.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 12 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+5
83.4%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
82.6%
McKee, Tanner pass intercepted by Yeast, Russ at the KSU17, Yeast, Russ return to the KSU18, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KSU holding ( McPherson, Jah) 10 yards to the KSU24, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
82.5%
Tanner McKee sacked by Eli Huggins for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 16
OPP 30
+1
83.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 15
OPP 29
-7
84.8%
Tanner McKee sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 22
OPP 36
-5
85.5%
STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (Jack West) to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 27
OPP 41
0
85.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
89.2%
Thompson, Skyla rush for 3 yards to the KSU12 ( Herron, Stephe), PENALTY KSU holding ( Duffie, Christ) 5 yards to the KSU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 15
OWN 4
+4
89.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+7
89.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+10
89.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
89.4%
Joe Ervin run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-8
89.3%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Dalyn Wade-Perry for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 14Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+13
88.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 13 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
88.7%
Ty Zentner punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3010% → 8%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
89.7%
Jack West pass complete to Casey Filkins for 6 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-1
89.4%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 36 Austin Jones fumbled, forced by Jahron McPherson, recovered by Stanf Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
90.1%
Jack West pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins, broken up by Reggie StubblefieldSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
92.3%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:4394% → 97%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
94.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 10 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Daniel ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
94.2%
Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
94.1%
Thompson, Skyla pass complete to Brooks, Phillip for 4 yards to the SU45 ( Kelly, Kyu Blu), PENALTY SU offside defense ( Bonner, Ethan) 5 yards to the SU44, 1ST DOWN KSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
94.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+22
94.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 22 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
94.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-3
94.5%
Joe Ervin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 24 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+3
94.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 3 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+40
96.7%
Taiten Winkel 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16INT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.4%
Jack West pass complete to E.J. Smith for 9 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
96.1%
Jack West pass complete to E.J. Smith for 3 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.1%
E.J. Smith run for no gain to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-3
96.2%
Jack West sacked by Spencer Trussell for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-39
96.5%
Jack West pass intercepted TJ Smith return for 39 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:4698% → 99%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
97.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+13
99.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 13 yds for a TD (Taiten Winkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:541% → 1%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 4 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 8 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.4%
E.J. Smith run for 15 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
99.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, targeting (Daniel Green) to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 5 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+4
99.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 4 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
99.7%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 14 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19END OF GAME
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4499% → 99%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
98.7%
Vaughn, Deuce rush for 42 yards to the SU5 ( Williamson, Ke), PENALTY KSU holding ( Adler, Ben) 10 yards to the KSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+1
98.6%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 19
OWN 44
+7
98.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+10
98.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+4
99.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:17
Deuce Vaughn run for 59 yds for a TD
+6.9
TD · Q1 3:06
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds for a TD
+5
KEY PLAY · Q2 3:07
Timeout STANFORD, clock 03:07
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com