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SDAK

South Dakota 14 at Kansas 17

KU
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2021 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadSDAK aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreSDAK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.2KU 78.9%Mason Lorber 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 3:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:15 · Mason Lorber 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+27.3Home team on offense−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 6:57: Jacob Borcila 30 yd FG GOOD — SDAK win probability +3.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:02: Travis Theis run for no gain to the Kans 46 — SDAK win probability +17.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: SDAK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:13: Travis Theis run for 25 yds for a TD (Mason Lorber KICK) — SDAK win probability +2.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SDAK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:10: Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 16 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — SDAK win probability +5.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 32 — KU win probability +16.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12SDAK made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:33KU 4th & 8 at KU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59SDAK 4th & 4 at KU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:59KU 4th & 15 at KU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:21SDAK 4th & 2 at SDAK 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:01KU 4th & 5 at KU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:15SDAK 4th & 14 at KU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:20KU 4th & 4 at KU 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:50SDAK 4th & 7 at SDAK 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:58KU 4th & 2 at KU 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:23SDAK 4th & 14 at SDAK 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−1.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:28KU 4th & 3 at KU 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:43SDAK 4th & 10 at SDAK 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:08SDAK 4th & 15 at SDAK 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:57KU 4th & 11 at SDAK 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−11.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:22KU 4th & 3 at SDAK 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−1.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−15.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:22KU 4th & 3 at SDAK 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−1.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−15.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:52SDAK 4th & 2 at SDAK 14, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:19KU 4th & 14 at KU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−5.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:13SDAK 4th & 1 at KU 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    54.9%−6.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−22.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:15KU 4th & 1 at KU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.0%−6.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:26KU 4th & 10 at SDAK 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.8%−2.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:27SDAK 4th & 3 at SDAK 30, up 3
    Numbers favored punt by 3.8 ptsWent for it · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.7%−3.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.5%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1783% → 83%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.9%
Velton Gardner run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
82.7%
Velton Gardner run for 5 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
82.5%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
82.5%
Reis Vernon punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:3318% → 18%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
82.5%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Jaevon McQuittySimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
82.5%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Brett SamsonSimilar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-5
82.5%
PENALTY SDU Delay Of Game (Camp,Carson) 5 yards from SDU40 to SDU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+21
82.5%
Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 21 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
82.2%
Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+6
81.9%
Carson Camp run for 6 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
81.7%
Carson Camp run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
81.7%
Carson Camp run for no gain to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:5482% → 81%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
82.0%
Jason Bean run for 8 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
82.1%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-5
81.9%
Gardner,Velton rush for 2 yards loss to the KAN45 (Webb,Brendan) PENALTY KAN False Start (Brown,Jordan) 5 yards from KAN47 to KAN42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-5
81.7%
PENALTY KAN False Start (Grunhard,Colin) 5 yards from KAN42 to KAN37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+4
81.4%
Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
81.1%
Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3219% → 19%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.9%
Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the SDako 30Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
80.7%
Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDako 32Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
80.7%
Johnathan Lewis run for 1 yd to the SDako 33Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
80.8%
Brady Schutt punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0181% → 80%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
80.7%
Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
80.7%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
80.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor WilsomSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
80.0%
Reis Vernon punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 6FG
11 plays · 29 yds · 2:3520% → 21%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
79.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the SDako 49Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
79.5%
Carson Camp pass complete to Carter Bell for 4 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
79.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
79.2%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Wesley EliodorSimilar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+5
79.3%
PENALTY KAN Offside (Bryant,Jacobee) 5 yards from KAN42 to KAN37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
79.2%
Carson Camp run for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+6
78.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
78.7%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Kody CaseSimilar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
78.6%
Carson Camp run for 4 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 14
OPP 30
0
79.1%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Carter KuchelSimilar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+46
78.9%
Mason Lorber 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4479% → 77%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
78.5%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+1
78.0%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+8
77.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilsom for 8 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
77.4%
Reis Vernon punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1123% → 23%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.4%
Carson Camp pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 2 yds to the SDako 27Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
77.3%
Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the SDako 33Similar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
77.0%
PENALTY SDU False Start (Rexroad-Potts,Kian) 5 yards from SDU33 to SDU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
76.9%
Carson Camp sacked by Kyron Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the SDako 28 Carson Camp fumbled, recovered by SDako Travis Theis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
77.2%
Brady Schutt punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:4577% → 77%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
76.9%
Jason Bean run for 7 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+8
77.5%
Jason Bean run for 8 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
77.0%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+5
76.6%
Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+5
76.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilsom for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
76.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:2524% → 25%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
75.8%
Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the SDako 18Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+3
75.3%
Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDako 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
75.3%
Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDako 22Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+15
75.0%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jaevon McQuitty for 15 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
74.0%
Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the SDako 43Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
72.9%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Travis TheisSimilar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-5
73.1%
PENALTY SDU False Start (Case,Kody) 5 yards from SDU43 to SDU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-5
73.4%
PENALTY SDU Delay Of Game (Camp,Carson) 5 yards from SDU38 to SDU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
74.5%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Travis TheisSimilar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
74.6%
Brady Schutt punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:4974% → 72%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
74.1%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
72.3%
Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+17
71.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 17 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
72.9%
PENALTY KAN False Start (Wilsom,Trevor) 5 yards from KAN39 to KAN34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
71.7%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+10
71.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for 10 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+2
72.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Velton Gardner for 2 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
71.6%
Reis Vernon punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDako 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2929% → 28%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
71.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the SDako 5Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
71.5%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Caleb Vander EschSimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 8
OWN 5
-2
72.0%
PENALTY SDU False Start 2 yards from SDU05 to SDU03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
72.0%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Carter BellSimilar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 10
OWN 3
0
72.5%
Brady Schutt punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the SDako 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:0873% → 71%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
72.9%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the SDako 35Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
73.4%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the SDako 35Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+5
71.9%
Bean,Jason rush for 0 yards to the SDU35 (Roane,Micah) PENALTY SDU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from SDU35 to SDU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+9
71.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 9 yds to the SDako 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
72.6%
Jason Bean run for 14 yds to the SDako 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
72.6%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
72.5%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the SDako 8Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
70.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
66.1%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3635% → 33%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.4%
Carson Camp pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 3 yds to the SDako 22Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
65.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the SDako 17Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+3
66.2%
Carson Camp pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 3 yds to the SDako 20Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
66.7%
Brady Schutt punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 6:0367% → 61%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
66.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 18 yds to the SDako 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
68.5%
Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the SDako 42Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
68.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilsom for 9 yds to the SDako 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
69.1%
Velton Gardner run for 6 yds to the SDako 27Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
68.8%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the SDako 24Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
65.7%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the SDako 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
67.0%
Torry Locklin run for 3 yds to the SDako 19Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+6
66.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 6 yds to the SDako 13Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
64.7%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the SDako 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
66.0%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the SDako 10Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
65.7%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the SDako 12Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
64.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
60.9%
Jacob Borcila 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1942% → 51%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
58.5%
Travis Theis run for 12 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
56.7%
Carson Camp run for 5 yds to the SDako 42Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
55.1%
Travis Theis run for no gain to the SDako 42Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+10
55.4%
Travis Theis run for 10 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
53.6%
Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
52.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+16
52.7%
Carson Camp pass complete to Kody Case for 16 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
49.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+29
48.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 29 yds for a TD (Mason Lorber KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:3863% → 57%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
63.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for 2 yds to the SDako 15Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+3
62.7%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the SDako 12Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+6
60.1%
Velton Gardner run for 6 yds to the SDako 6Similar
Q3 1:22
4TH & 3
OPP 6
0
56.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor KardellSimilar
Q3 1:22
4TH & 3
OPP 6
0
56.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor KardellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1348% → 46%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
52.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the SDako 8Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 8
OWN 8
-2
52.4%
Camp,Carson pass incomplete to Lawrence,Shomari broken up by Gilliom,Jason PENALTY SDU Illegal Forward Pass (Camp,Carson) 2 yards from SDU08 to SDU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+8
53.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the SDako 14Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
54.2%
Brady Schutt punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2454% → 49%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
54.3%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
54.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Velton GardnerSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-5
52.4%
Jason Bean sacked by Jake Matthew for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
48.6%
Reis Vernon punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:5453% → 62%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
47.1%
Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDako 36Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
45.8%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Wesley EliodorSimilar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+15
45.2%
KANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kenean Caldwell) to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
40.7%
Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+12
40.2%
Carson Camp pass complete to Carter Bell for 12 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
37.9%
Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+4
35.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+4
35.3%
Johnathan Lewis run for 4 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
38.4%
Travis Theis run for no gain to the Kans 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:5147% → 44%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
46.7%
Torry Locklin run for 4 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+11
46.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilsom for 11 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.4%
Torry Locklin run for no gain to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
46.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 6 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
46.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 3 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
44.2%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 23TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:4973% → 75%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
27.2%
Travis Theis run for no gain to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+21
27.3%
Carson Camp pass complete to Kody Case for 21 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
25.1%
Travis Theis run for 25 yds for a TD (Mason Lorber KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 3:4842% → 33%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
41.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilsom for 17 yds to the SDako 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
52.9%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the SDako 47Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
51.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
48.5%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor WilsomSimilar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 10
OPP 47
+20
45.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 20 yds to the SDako 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
51.9%
Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the SDako 26Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
51.7%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+5
48.2%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Targeting (5 Yards) to the SDako 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
50.8%
Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the SDako 5 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mason Fairchild) to the SDako 16Similar
Q4 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
0
38.1%
Torry Locklin run for no gain to the SDako 16Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
32.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 16 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2192% → 93%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
7.8%
Carson Camp pass complete to Caleb Vander Esch for 7 yds to the SDako 30Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
7.0%
Carson Camp run for no gain to the SDako 30Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
6.7%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Wesley EliodorSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
7.0%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Brett SamsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
23.7%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+76.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:02
Travis Theis run for no gain to the Kans 46
-17
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 32
+16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com