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TTU

Texas Tech 38 at Houston 21

HOU
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · NRG Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:53 · Laine Wilkins punt for 54 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense−5.0Score differential−1.7Pregame prior+1.0Garbage-time factor−4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:47: Tahj Brooks run for 41 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +8.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:23: Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 9 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +10.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:08: Tyler Shough run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +14.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:20: Clayton Tune pass intercepted for a TD Riko Jeffers return for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +18.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:05: Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +9.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:37HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:47HOU 4th & 1 at TTU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:19HOU 4th & 1 at TTU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%−1.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:57HOU 4th & 11 at HOU 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:02TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:17HOU 4th & 13 at HOU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:15TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:22TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:14HOU 4th & 25 at HOU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−3.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:25HOU 4th & 8 at HOU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−1.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:38TTU 4th & 11 at HOU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−2.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:36TTU 4th & 4 at HOU 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.5%−0.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−14.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:53HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:11TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:57HOU 4th & 5 at HOU 18, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:37HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:13HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:47TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:08TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:20TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:05TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:00TTU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 8:0856% → 61%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.0%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
56.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
56.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for 3 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
56.1%
Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
56.2%
Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
56.5%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+32
56.4%
Clayton Tune run for 32 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
56.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
56.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 6 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+3
56.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 3 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
56.7%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
57.3%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (7 Yards) to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
57.2%
Clayton Tune run for no gain to the TexTc 7Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
57.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 6 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.5%
Clayton Tune run for no gain to the TexTc 1Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.5%
Clayton Tune 1 Yd Run (Dalton Witherspoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:4561% → 68%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
60.6%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 6
50
0
61.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 6
50
+5
60.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 5 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+1
60.8%
Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
62.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 8 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
62.3%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-5
62.0%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Keenan Murphy) to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+17
61.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 17 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
68.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 23 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3FUMBLE
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:1433% → 33%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
66.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 7 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
66.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
66.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 16 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
66.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
66.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+4
66.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-9
66.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 1 yd to the Houst 36 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mason Tharp) to the Houst 46Similar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 19
OPP 46
+5
67.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 5 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+39
68.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 39 yds to the Houst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
66.8%
Xavier White run for no gain to the Houst 2 Xavier White fumbled, forced by D'Anthony Jones, recovered by Houst Donavan MutinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1370% → 70%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
70.2%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Houst 4Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 4
-3
70.4%
Clayton Tune sacked by Riko Jeffers for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 1Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
70.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+1
69.8%
Laine Wilkins punt for 41 yds , Eric Monroe returns for 1 yd to the Houst 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
61.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 41 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.8%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted Reggie Pearson Jr. return for no gain to the TexTc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:2737% → 34%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
63.3%
Shough, Tyler pass complete to Geiger, Kaylon for 7 yards to the TEXASTECH38, PENALTY TEXASTECH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASTECH26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+1
64.0%
Kaylon Geiger run for 1 yd to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+6
64.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 6 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-7
65.3%
Tyler Shough sacked by D'Anthony Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 15
OWN 26
0
66.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2866% → 66%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
65.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 34Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
65.1%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 34Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 12
OWN 34
-1
66.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
66.4%
Laine Wilkins punt for 41 yds, downed at the TexTc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5632% → 30%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
67.8%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
68.3%
Shough, Tyler pass incomplete to Rigdon, Dalton, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference (Rogers, Jayce) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
67.0%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
67.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 4 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-9
66.6%
Tyler Shough sacked by Sedrick Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
70.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:4269% → 83%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.7%
Nathaniel Dell run for 5 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
69.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Mulbah Car for 5 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
69.5%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Houst 36Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-3
70.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+24
68.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 24 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
71.8%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+17
71.4%
Clayton Tune run for 17 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
72.4%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-2
72.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+17
71.4%
Mulbah Car run for 17 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.9%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.5%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
83.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 9 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:1119% → 21%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
81.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-5
79.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:2821% → 19%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-15
78.8%
Shough, Tyler pass complete to Ezukanma, Erik for 33 yards to the HOUSTON37, PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference (Ezukanma, Erik) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
80.2%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Kaylon GeigerSimilar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
80.6%
Tyler Shough run for 5 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+9
81.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 54 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 9 yds to the Houst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:5082% → 82%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
82.0%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-10
82.7%
Tune, Clayton pass incomplete to Dell, Nathaniel, PENALTY HOUSTON holding (Murphy, Keenan) 10 yards to the HOUSTON28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 17
OWN 28
-11
82.1%
Clayton Tune sacked by Jaylon Hutchings for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 17Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 28
OWN 17
+3
81.9%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 25
OWN 20
+15
81.5%
Laine Wilkins punt for 55 yds , Eric Monroe returns for 15 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:4719% → 35%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
80.7%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+8
80.7%
Myles Price run for 8 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
80.3%
Myles Price run for no gain to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+32
81.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 32 yds to the Houst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
79.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 9 yds to the Houst 8Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
65.4%
Tyler Shough run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15INT TD
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:2575% → 57%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-7
75.0%
Clayton Tune sacked by Tony Bradford Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 7Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 17
OWN 7
-13
56.9%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted for a TD Riko Jeffers return for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:3558% → 56%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 15 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
60.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tony Bradford Jr.) to the Houst 45Similar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 5
OWN 45
0
61.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian TrahanSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-3
61.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 42Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
57.8%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
56.4%
Laine Wilkins punt for 54 yds, downed at the TexTc 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:2246% → 45%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
54.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+30
54.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 30 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
52.3%
Shough, Tyler pass incomplete to Price, Myles, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference (Rogers, Jayce) 15 yards to the HOUSTON48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
49.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-7
48.6%
Tyler Shough sacked by Derek Parish for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
51.6%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Tahj BrooksSimilar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
54.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:2857% → 57%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.2%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the Houst 20Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
57.0%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted Eric Monroe return for no gain to the Houst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5453% → 57%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
46.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the Houst 17Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+1
46.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the Houst 16Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
48.6%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Kaylon GeigerSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
43.0%
Jonathan Garibay 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 5:1747% → 41%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
47.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 6 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
47.7%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
47.4%
Clayton Tune run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 29Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+2
46.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Mulbah Car for 2 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+11
43.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 11 yds Nathaniel Dell fumbled, forced by Reggie Pearson Jr., recovered by Houst Kody Russey for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
48.8%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
49.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 5 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
48.7%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the TexTc 49Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-5
43.9%
HOUSTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Houst 46Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
41.1%
Laine Wilkins punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3364% → 66%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.2%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
36.6%
Tyler Shough run for 8 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
36.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 5 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
33.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+1
31.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
32.0%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Mason TharpSimilar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+4
34.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 52 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 4 yds to the Houst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5939% → 33%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
39.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 9 yds to the Houst 22Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
40.2%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Houst 22Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 22
-4
37.0%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 18Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
33.2%
Laine Wilkins punt for 53 yds, downed at the TexTc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:3072% → 94%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
27.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 5 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+50
26.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 50 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
20.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the Houst 14Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
19.0%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+9
20.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 9 yds to the Houst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
16.9%
Xavier White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 6Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:306% → 5%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
5.8%
Clayton Tune sacked by TEAM for a loss of 10 yards to the Houst 23 HOUSTON Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Clayton Tune) to the Houst 23Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+13
4.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 13 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
5.2%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted Adrian Frye return for no gain to the Houst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+44
1.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 44 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 3 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
2.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Ke'Andre StreetSimilar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
2.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 4 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+6
2.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 6 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:20
Clayton Tune pass intercepted for a TD Riko Jeffers return for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)
-18.1
TD · Q3 8:08
Tyler Shough run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)
-14.3
TD · Q2 0:23
Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 9 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com