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ME

Maine 35 at Massachusetts 10

MASS
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadME aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreME score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:19 · David Gelb punt for 34 yds , Eric Collins returns for no gain to the UMass 40 Eric Collins fumbled, recovered by UMass Eric Collins
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−5.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:31: Freddie Brock 18 Yd Run (Jonny Messina Kick) — ME win probability +4.8 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 70%).
  2. TD · Q2 3:21: Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonny Messina KICK) — ME win probability +11.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:21: MAINE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Devin Young) to the Maine 20 — MASS win probability +2.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:05: Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonny Messina KICK) — ME win probability +11.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:03: Elijah Barnwell 2 Yd Run (Jonny Messina Kick), (Jonny Messina KICK) — ME win probability +10.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 11ME made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 11:19ME 4th & 2 at ME 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:11MASS 4th & 16 at ME 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11ME 4th & 4 at ME 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:30MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:31MASS 4th & 20 at MASS 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:49MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:16ME 4th & 3 at ME 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:08MASS 4th & 1 at ME 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    40.0%−2.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:05MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:07ME 4th & 1 at MASS 48, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:05MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 20, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:37ME 4th & 8 at MASS 36, up 11
    Close callPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    76.1%−0.3
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:51MASS 4th & 2 at ME 18, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.7%−1.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−8.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:51ME 4th & 5 at ME 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:20MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:03MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 37, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:36MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 18, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ME made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:40MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:31ME Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:21ME Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:05ME Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:03ME Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:36ME Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2044% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
43.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+42
43.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 42 yds to the Maine 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
43.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 4 yds to the Maine 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+12
43.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 12 yds to the Maine 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
45.5%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 8 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2155% → 54%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.2%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the Maine 26Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
45.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 2 yds to the Maine 28Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
46.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 5 yds to the Maine 33Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
46.1%
David Gelb punt for 34 yds , Eric Collins returns for no gain to the UMass 40 Eric Collins fumbled, recovered by UMass Eric CollinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 6:0847% → 51%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
46.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
46.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
46.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 5 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+7
46.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 7 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
46.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
46.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the Maine 47Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+9
46.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds to the Maine 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
46.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
46.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 20 yds to the Maine 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
46.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the Maine 15Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
46.7%
Garrett Dzuro run for 6 yds to the Maine 9Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-15
51.3%
Dzuro,Garrett pass complete to Ross,Isaac for 9 yards to the MAINE0, clock 05:20, PENALTY UMASS personal foul (Ross,Isaac) 15 yards to the MAINE24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 16
OPP 24
0
50.8%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+42
50.8%
Cameron Carson 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
51.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 6 yds to the Maine 31Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
51.1%
Freddie Brock run for 6 yds to the Maine 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
51.2%
Elijah Barnwell run for 1 yd to the Maine 38Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
51.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Jacob HennieSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-5
51.4%
MAINE Penalty, false start (Devin Young) to the Maine 33Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+10
51.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 10 yds to the Maine 43Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
51.5%
David Gelb punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
53.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
53.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 5 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
52.9%
Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Pallotta,Jaret, PENALTY MAINE pass interference (Miller, Ray) 5 yards to the UMASS33, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
53.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
53.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 3 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
53.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+1
52.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 51 yds , Jacob Hennie returns for 1 yd to the Maine 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 6TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:5645% → 51%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
54.9%
Elijah Barnwell run for 2 yds to the Maine 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
55.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Zavier ScottSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+19
57.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 19 yds to the Maine 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
56.3%
Fagnano, Joe pass complete to Bowman, Shawn for 5 yards to the MAINE40, out-of-bounds (Wooden,Billy;Peah,Avien), PENALTY MAINE holding (Gerace, Michael) 9 yards to the MAINE26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 19
OWN 26
+7
56.7%
Elijah Barnwell run for 7 yds to the Maine 33Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+58
56.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 58 yds to the UMass 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-9
54.2%
Jacob Hennie run for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 0
OPP 18
+18
49.4%
Freddie Brock 18 Yd Run (Jonny Messina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
51.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
51.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
51.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+10
50.6%
Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Fitzgerald,Mich, PENALTY MAINE holding (Brown, Kahzir) 10 yards to the UMASS45, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
52.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+1
52.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 5
50
0
52.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 5
50
-15
51.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Ethan Mottinger) to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
50.2%
George Georgopoulos punt for 17 yds, downed at the Maine 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 8TD
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:5248% → 56%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
51.6%
Elijah Barnwell run for 9 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
51.0%
Elijah Barnwell run for no gain to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
51.2%
Elijah Barnwell run for 2 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
51.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Freddie Brock for 8 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+5
50.1%
Freddie Brock run for 5 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
50.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Jacob HennieSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+21
50.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jacob Hennie for 21 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
50.1%
Elijah Barnwell run for no gain to the UMass 7Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 0
OPP 7
+4
52.4%
Fagnano, Joe pass complete to Brock, Freddie for 4 yards to the UMASS3 (Johnson,Gerrell), PENALTY UMASS holding (Davis,Tanner) 4 yards to the UMASS3, 1ST DOWN MAINE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
53.0%
Elijah Barnwell run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
53.0%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Devin YoungSimilar
Q2 3:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
41.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonny Messina KICK)Similar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
44.3%
MAINE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Devin Young) to the Maine 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3247% → 44%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
46.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
48.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
45.7%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
44.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacob Hennie at the Maine 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2258% → 57%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
42.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Montigo Moss, broken up by Nahji LoganSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
42.9%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the Maine 19Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+5
43.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Daniel Rymer for 5 yds to the Maine 24Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
43.4%
David Gelb punt for 31 yds, downed at the UMass 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.7%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
41.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins, broken up by Shakur SmallsSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+9
40.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds to the Maine 46Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+16
42.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 16 yds to the Maine 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
46.1%
MAINE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Richard Carr) to the Maine 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
46.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
46.1%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-20
44.0%
Olson,Brady pass incomplete, PENALTY UMASS intentional grounding (Olson,Brady) 20 yards to the MAINE35, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 12TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:5560% → 71%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
39.7%
Zavier Scott run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+14
39.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jacob Hennie for 14 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
39.4%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
39.4%
Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
39.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 7 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
38.3%
Freddie Brock run for 11 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
27.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonny Messina KICK)Similar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
29.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
29.6%
Brady Olson run for no gain to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
29.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+4
28.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 4 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
28.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 24 yds, downed at the Maine 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
26.1%
Joe Fagnano run for 5 yds to the Maine 48Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
26.1%
Elijah Barnwell run for 4 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
26.4%
Zavier Scott run for no gain to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
27.3%
Brian Cooey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
25.9%
Garrett Dzuro run for 2 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+6
25.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
25.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
24.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 30 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
50
+12
23.3%
Freddie Brock run for 12 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
23.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Devin YoungSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-3
23.3%
Freddie Brock run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+5
23.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 5 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+4
25.2%
Brian Cooey punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 9 , Eric Collins returns for 4 yds to the UMass 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:2723% → 22%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
23.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke, broken up by Xavier NurseSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
22.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+33
22.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 33 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
25.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the Maine 48Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
26.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the Maine 48Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
26.0%
Onuma Dieke run for 7 yds to the Maine 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
23.7%
Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Pettway,Tray, PENALTY MAINE pass interference (Brown, Kahzir) 15 yards to the MAINE26, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
25.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the Maine 22Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
25.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the Maine 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
0
23.7%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+36
22.2%
Cameron Carson 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
19.2%
Joe Fagnano run for 3 yds to the Maine 23Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+16
19.2%
Elijah Barnwell run for 16 yds to the Maine 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
17.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Freddie BrockSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
17.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Montigo MossSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+5
18.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive offside (Viczaril Alobwede) to the Maine 44Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
17.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Zavier ScottSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
19.1%
David Gelb punt for 39 yds, downed at the UMass 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
17.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 12 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
18.6%
Brady Olson sacked by Xavier Nurse for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+7
17.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
17.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Isaac RossSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+2
16.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 51 yds , Jacob Hennie returns for 2 yds to the Maine 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 20TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 6:1286% → 98%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
14.4%
Elijah Barnwell run for 13 yds to the Maine 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
14.1%
Freddie Brock run for 8 yds to the Maine 42Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+1
13.2%
Elijah Barnwell run for 1 yd to the Maine 43Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
13.5%
Elijah Barnwell run for 4 yds to the Maine 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
13.0%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the Maine 48Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+19
13.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 4 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, roughing passer (Te'Rai Powell) to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
12.6%
Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
12.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Elijah BarnwellSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+23
12.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 23 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
12.2%
Elijah Barnwell run for 5 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.7%
Elijah Barnwell 2 Yd Run (Jonny Messina Kick), (Jonny Messina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
2.5%
Olson,Brady pass complete to Collins,Eric for 7 yards to the UMASS28 (Riobe, Robby), PENALTY UMASS illegal shift 5 yards to the UMASS16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+3
2.5%
Brady Olson run for 3 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+15
2.5%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 15 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
2.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
2.5%
Brady Olson run for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
2.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 7
OWN 37
-8
2.5%
Brady Olson sacked by Khairi Manns for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 22TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:4899% → 100%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
1.4%
Freddie Brock run for 6 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+23
0.2%
Elijah Barnwell run for 23 yds for a TD, (Jonny Messina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
0.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+3
0.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+2
0.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
0.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 24Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:21
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Devin Young for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonny Messina KICK)
-11.4
TD · Q3 12:05
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonny Messina KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q4 5:03
Elijah Barnwell 2 Yd Run (Jonny Messina Kick), (Jonny Messina KICK)
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com