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URI

Rhode Island 35 at Massachusetts 22

MASS
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadURI aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreURI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:35 · Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:45: Kasim Hill pass complete to Joey Kenny for 3 yds for a TD, (C.J. Carrick KICK) — URI win probability +11.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: URI has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:12: Tyler Lytle pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +11.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:50: Kasim Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (C.J. Carrick KICK) — URI win probability +15.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: URI has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:13: Jaylen Smith 72 Yd Run (C.J. Carrick Kick), (C.J. Carrick KICK) — URI win probability +14.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: URI has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:50: Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MASS win probability +12.0 pts (now 20%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6URI made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:06URI 4th & 27 at URI 20, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:49MASS 4th & 7 at URI 21, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:33MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 37, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−2.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00URI 4th & 8 at URI 27, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−1.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:08MASS 4th & 16 at URI 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    44.5%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:50MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 7, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−2.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:54MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 31, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:54URI 4th & 16 at URI 26, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−2.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:26URI 4th & 13 at MASS 48, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3URI made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:58URI Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:06MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:33URI Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:45URI Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:12MASS Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:50URI Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:13URI Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:50MASS Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    9.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
63.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+1
63.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
63.1%
Tyler Lytle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+56
63.1%
George Georgopoulos punt for 38 yds , Coby Tippett returns for 56 yds to the UMass 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 2TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1737% → 39%
Q1 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
62.8%
Jaylen Smith run for 5 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
62.8%
Jaylen Smith run for 1 yd to the UMass 2Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.6%
Kasim Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (C.J. Carrick KICK)Similar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
61.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 5:5262% → 63%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+30
61.9%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Melvin Hill for 30 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
62.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
62.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 13 yds to the MASS 41 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Josiah Johnson) to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+14
62.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 14 yds to the RIsld 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
62.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the RIsld 36Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+12
62.2%
Tyler Lytle run for 12 yds to the RIsld 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
62.3%
Tyler Lytle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
62.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the RIsld 18Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+17
62.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 17 yds to the RIsld 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
62.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 2 yards to the RIsld 3Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.1%
Tyler Lytle run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · -5 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.2%
Kasim Hill run for 5 yds to the RIsld 30Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
62.0%
Jay. Smith rush for 4 yards to the URI34, out-of-bounds, PENALTY URI holding (Kenny) 10 yards to the URI20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
62.3%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Matt Pires for 17 yds to the RIsld 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
61.9%
Jaylen Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the RIsld 34Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
62.2%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Paul WoodsSimilar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-9
62.6%
Kasim Hill sacked by Tanner Davis and Viczaril Alobwede for a loss of 9 yards to the RIsld 25Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 22
OWN 25
-5
62.9%
RHODE ISLAND Penalty, false start (A.J. Rogers) to the RIsld 20Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 27
OWN 20
0
62.9%
Davey Schaum-Bartocci punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:4663% → 64%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
62.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the RIsld 44Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+7
62.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the RIsld 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
62.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds to the RIsld 28Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+4
63.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the RIsld 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
63.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the RIsld 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
63.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the RIsld 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 18
-3
62.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 3 yards to the RIsld 21Similar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
63.8%
Cameron Carson 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 6TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:1637% → 46%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
62.9%
Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 36Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+10
62.7%
Kasim Hill run for 10 yds to the RIsld 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+34
61.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Joey Kenny for 34 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
60.7%
Jaylen Smith run for 1 yd to the UMass 19Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
60.7%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Paul WoodsSimilar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+9
61.6%
K. Hill pass incomplete to P. Woods, PENALTY UMASS roughing passer (Davis,Tanner) 9 yards to the UMASS10, 1ST DOWN URI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
60.7%
Jaylen Smith run for 5 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
53.6%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Ed Lee for 5 yds for a TD, (C.J. Carrick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.7%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Rico Arnold for 9 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
57.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
55.4%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Rico Arnold for 9 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
57.2%
Lytle,Tyler pass incomplete to Collins,Eric (Jor. Jones), PENALTY UMASS ineligible downfield on pass (Collins,Eric) 5 yards to the UMASS35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-3
55.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 18
OWN 32
0
55.6%
Tyler Lytle pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+5
54.7%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 5 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 13
OWN 37
+52
54.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Coby Tippett at the MASS 26 for a 1ST down RHODE ISLAND Penalty, kick catching interference (15 Yards) to the RIsld 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 8TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:0848% → 61%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
51.7%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Ed Lee, broken up by Hugo KlagesSimilar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
52.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Paul Woods for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
51.3%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Paul Woods, broken up by Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
51.4%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+30
52.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Ivory Frimpong for 30 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
50.7%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Ivory FrimpongSimilar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
50.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Paul Woods for 9 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+1
51.2%
Jaylen Smith run for 1 yd to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 0
OPP 7
+4
49.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive offside (Hugo Klages) to the UMass 3Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Joey Kenny for 3 yds for a TD, (C.J. Carrick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:3341% → 54%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
41.4%
Tyler Lytle sacked by L.B. Mack III for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 16Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+40
41.1%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Rico Arnold for 25 yds to the RIsld 41 for a 1ST down RHODE ISLAND Penalty, roughing passer (O'Neil Robinson) to the RIsld 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
43.4%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the RIsld 40Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-10
43.5%
Tyler Lytle sacked by L.B. Mack III for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 16
50
+17
41.4%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Jacob Orlando for 17 yds to the RIsld 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
44.7%
Tyler Lytle pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
44.6%
Lytle,Tyler pass incomplete to Logan,Nahji, PENALTY URI pass interference (Yianakopolos) 15 yards to the URI18, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
44.6%
Lytle,Tyler pass incomplete to Johnson,Josiah, PENALTY URI E (E. Stewart) 15 yards to the URI3, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
44.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the RIsld 3Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.5%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
50.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.7%
Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
47.5%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Paul WoodsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
48.8%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Paul WoodsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
49.9%
Davey Schaum-Bartocci punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 39 , Eric Collins returns for 5 yds to the UMass 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
50.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
51.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
52.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the RIsld 45Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
52.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the RIsld 43Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-5
52.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Dalton Tomlison) to the RIsld 48Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+8
51.8%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Rico Arnold for 8 yds to the RIsld 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
52.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Rico Arnold) to the RIsld 45Similar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+5
51.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the RIsld 40Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
52.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the RIsld 41Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-5
50.6%
Tyler Lytle sacked by L.B. Mack III for a loss of 5 yards to the RIsld 46Similar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
47.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 13TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:1856% → 80%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
43.9%
Kasim Hill run for no gain to the RIsld 20Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
44.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Ed Lee for 5 yds to the RIsld 25Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+17
44.9%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Ivory Frimpong for 17 yds to the RIsld 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+34
41.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Paul Woods for 34 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
39.2%
Jaylen Smith run for 4 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
39.2%
Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+11
40.7%
K. Hill pass incomplete to Lee, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Davis,Tanner) 11 yards to the UMASS7, 1ST DOWN URI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
39.2%
Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
39.2%
Kasim Hill run for 3 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.0%
Kasim Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (C.J. Carrick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
26.3%
Tyler Lytle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
26.1%
Tyler Lytle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 10
OWN 8
-1
25.3%
Tyler Lytle sacked by Malachi Burby and L.B. Mack III for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 7Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 11
OWN 7
0
25.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 58 yds, downed at the RIsld 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 15TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:2479% → 95%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.6%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
20.6%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Matt Pires for 3 yds to the RIsld 38Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-10
20.0%
K. Hill rush for 12 yards to the 50 yardline (Johnson,Gerrell), PENALTY URI holding (Correia) 10 yards to the URI28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+72
5.2%
Jaylen Smith 72 Yd Run (C.J. Carrick Kick), (C.J. Carrick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:1910% → 11%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.2%
Tyler Lytle pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
10.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
10.2%
Tyler Lytle pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+1
10.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 49 yds , Coby Tippett returns for 1 yd to the RIsld 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
3.6%
Jaylen Smith run for 11 yds to the RIsld 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
3.7%
Gabe Sloat run for 1 yd to the RIsld 33Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
3.7%
Gabe Sloat run for 1 yd to the RIsld 34Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-10
3.7%
K. Hill rush for 11 yards to the URI45, PENALTY URI holding (Delasoudas) 10 yards to the URI24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+2
4.0%
Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 26Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+1
4.1%
Davey Schaum-Bartocci punt for 39 yds , Eric Collins returns for 1 yd to the UMass 27 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UMass 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:116% → 20%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
6.1%
Tyler Lytle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
5.9%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 11 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.1%
Tyler Lytle pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
6.1%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Melvin Hill for 9 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
6.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
6.5%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Eric Collins for 18 yds to the RIsld 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+31
7.5%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Tray Pettway for 31 yds to the RIsld 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
7.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the RIsld 1Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 5:2494% → 98%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
6.2%
Gabe Sloat run for 3 yds to the RIsld 18Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+6
6.2%
Kasim Hill run for 6 yds to the RIsld 24Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+5
6.2%
Kasim Hill run for 5 yds to the RIsld 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
6.0%
Gabe Sloat run for 4 yds to the RIsld 33Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
6.0%
Gabe Sloat run for 8 yds to the RIsld 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
5.6%
Gabe Sloat run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 1
50
+5
5.1%
Gabe Sloat run for 5 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
5.3%
Gabe Sloat run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 13
OPP 48
-3
2.3%
Gabe Sloat run for a loss of 3 yards to the RIsld 49Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 16
OWN 49
+3
2.4%
Kasim Hill run for 3 yds to the MASS 48 RHODE ISLAND Penalty, Offensive holding (Evan Stewart) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
2.4%
Davey Schaum-Bartocci punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20INT
7 plays · 55 yds · 0:005% → 7%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
4.5%
Tyler Lytle pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
4.2%
Tyler Lytle pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke, broken up by Antonio Carter IISimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
4.0%
Lytle,Tyler sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UMASS23 (Mack III), fumble by Lytle,Tyler recovered by URI Mack III at UMASS18, PENALTY URI unsportsmanlike conduct (O. Robinson) 0 yards to the UMASS31, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
4.5%
RHODE ISLAND Penalty, Defensive offside (James Makszin) to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 3
OWN 38
+25
4.8%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Rico Arnold for 25 yds to the RIsld 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
5.1%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Rico Arnold for 23 yds to the RIsld 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
6.9%
Tyler Lytle pass intercepted Jordan Jones return for 5 yds to the RIsld 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0498% → 98%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
1.8%
Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 8Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+5
1.7%
Kasim Hill run for 5 yds to the RIsld 13Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+2
1.7%
Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:50
Kasim Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (C.J. Carrick KICK)
-15.9
TD · Q3 0:13
Jaylen Smith 72 Yd Run (C.J. Carrick Kick), (C.J. Carrick KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q4 8:50
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com