Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 3 at Coastal Carolina 53

CCU
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:41 · George Georgopoulos punt blocked by Mason Shelton blocked by Mason Shelton Mason Shelton return for 31 yds to the UMass 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+48.8Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.2Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:58: Reese White 12 Yd Run (Kieran Colahan Kick) — CCU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:30: Isaiah Likely 25 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Kieran Colahan Kick) — CCU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:01: Tyson Mobley 32 Yd Run (Liam Gray Kick) — CCU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:41MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:25MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:08MASS 4th & 6 at CCU 49, down 13
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:45MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 27, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:25MASS 4th & 8 at CCU 25, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:55MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:22MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 30, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:02CCU 4th & 1 at MASS 36, up 50
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:39CCU 4th & 9 at MASS 21, up 50
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:22MASS 4th & 11 at CCU 18, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:19CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 45, up 50
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:00CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:58CCU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:30CCU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:01CCU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:20CCU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:38CCU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:10CCU Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:010% → 1%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 9 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
99.5%
Brady Olson sacked by C.J. Brewer for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 18
OWN 28
-5
99.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 23
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Jermaine Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 23
OWN 23
+12
99.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 12 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+31
99.4%
George Georgopoulos punt blocked by Mason Shelton blocked by Mason Shelton Mason Shelton return for 31 yds to the UMass 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:1999% → 99%
Q1 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.4%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the UMass 3Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Grayson McCall 3 Yd Run (Liam Gray PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:351% → 1%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
99.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Josaiah Stewart) to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
99.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
99.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
99.3%
Brady Olson sacked by Jeffrey Gunter for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 14
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+3
99.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 3 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
99.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 52 yds, downed at the CCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 99 yds · 4:1599% → 99%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
99.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 6 yds to the CCaro 7Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 7
-3
99.2%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-3 Yards) to the CCaro 4Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+19
99.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 19 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.2%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+6
99.1%
Grayson McCall run for 6 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
99.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 8 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+12
99.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+35
99.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 35 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.3%
Reese White 12 Yd Run (Kieran Colahan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:201% → 1%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 6 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Kay'Ron AdamsSimilar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 4 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
99.1%
George Georgopoulos punt for 27 yds, downed at the CCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:3199% → 99%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
99.1%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+2
99.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+10
99.1%
Reese White run for 10 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+18
99.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 18 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+14
99.1%
Reese White run for 14 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.4%
Isaiah Likely 25 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Kieran Colahan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7SF
6 plays · -25 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 8 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-10
99.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-21
99.4%
Brady Olson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 21 yards to the UMass 7 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the UMass 7Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 28
OWN 7
0
99.4%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-4
99.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+31
99.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 16 yds to the COASTALCAR 47 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Gerrell Johnson) to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.7%
Tyson Mobley 32 Yd Run (Liam Gray Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 5 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.8%
Brady Olson run for 1 yd to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 1 yd to the CCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.7%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+9
99.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 9 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Greg LatushkoSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
99.8%
Reese White run for 13 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+16
99.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 16 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 23 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11END OF HALF
15 plays · 60 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
99.8%
Brady Olson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 4 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Emmanuel Johnson) to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 20 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 10 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+10
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 10 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for no gain to the CCaro 15Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+20
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 5 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Roughing Passer (Tristan Armstrong) to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.8%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Reese WhiteSimilar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+52
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 52 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Taylor EdwardsSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 48 yds, downed at the CCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
99.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter run for 7 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+47
99.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 47 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
99.9%
CJ Beasley run for 14 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the UMass 4Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
99.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UMass 9Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 9 yds for a TD, (Kieran Colahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q3 5:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, downed at the CCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 5:26100% → 100%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Tyler RobertsSimilar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cletus Mathurin) to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
99.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jordan Mahoney) to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.9%
CJ Beasley run for 10 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Isaiah Connelly run for 7 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Isaiah Connelly run for 2 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Tyler RobertsSimilar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Isaiah Connelly run for 1 yd to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+11
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Tyler Roberts for 11 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Patrick McSweeneySimilar
Q4 14:39
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
99.9%
Kieran Colahan 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:430% → 0%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Isaac Ross for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+14
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Michael Fitzgerald for 14 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Michael FitzgeraldSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 2 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+13
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Rico Arnold for 13 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Isaac Ross for 6 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Isaac RossSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+7
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro run for 7 yds to the CCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Isaac RossSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro run for 2 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-3
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 18Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+35
100.0%
Cameron Carson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18END OF GAME
17 plays · 62 yds · 7:52100% → 100%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
Isaiah Connelly run for 2 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
100.0%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Chris Rhone for 7 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Isaiah Connelly run for no gain to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Isaiah Connelly run for 3 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
Jarrett Guest run for 6 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+6
100.0%
Nate Hope II run for 6 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
100.0%
Nate Hope II run for 5 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Jarrett Guest run for 6 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
100.0%
Christian Malloy run for 1 yd to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+10
100.0%
Christian Malloy run for 10 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-9
100.0%
Jarrett Guest run for 1 yd to the UMass 17 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (Christian Malloy) to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 19
OPP 27
+18
100.0%
Christian Malloy run for 18 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+8
100.0%
Christian Malloy run for 8 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:30
Isaiah Likely 25 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Kieran Colahan Kick)
+0.4
TD · Q2 8:01
Tyson Mobley 32 Yd Run (Liam Gray Kick)
+0.3
TD · Q1 2:58
Reese White 12 Yd Run (Kieran Colahan Kick)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com