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EMU

Eastern Michigan 42 at Massachusetts 28

MASS
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:59 · Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray Pettway, broken up by Kempton Shine
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior−34.9Home team on offense−14.8Score differential−8.2Garbage-time factor−5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:48: Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:51: Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 45 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +5.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:36: Jawon Hamilton run for 10 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:27: Carter Scudo run for 2 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +3.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:07: Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 54 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:36MASS 4th & 6 at EMU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:59MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:09EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:34EMU 4th & 13 at MASS 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:59EMU 4th & 6 at MASS 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:59MASS 4th & 6 at EMU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%−0.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:03EMU 4th & 2 at MASS 4, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:27MASS 4th & 1 at EMU 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:22EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:48EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:59EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:25MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:48EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:51MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:36EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:27MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:07EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:53MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3898% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
2.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+43
2.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 43 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
2.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
2.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive offside (Billy Wooden) to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+16
2.1%
BRYANT, Ben pass incomplete to DRUMMOND, Dylan, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Boykin,Noah) 16 yards to the UMASS2, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
2.1%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the UMass 1Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:462% → 3%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
2.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 8 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+8
2.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
2.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+11
2.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 11 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
2.4%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+18
2.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 18 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
2.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-1
2.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
2.4%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 6
OPP 31
0
3.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Taylor Edwards, broken up by Tariq SpeightsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4497% → 97%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
3.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 21 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
3.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 25 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
3.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 9 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+2
3.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
3.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun, broken up by Te'Rai PowellSimilar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
3.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
3.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4INT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.1%
Brady Olson run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
3.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 12 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
3.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
3.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
3.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
3.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-17
3.3%
Brady Olson pass intercepted David Carter Jr. return for 17 yds to the EMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:1897% → 98%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
3.3%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 9
50
+5
3.3%
Bryson Moss run for 5 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+6
3.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
3.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 14 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
3.4%
Bryson Moss run for 1 yd to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
3.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Moss for 3 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+11
3.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dennis Smith for 11 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
3.4%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 13Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
2.2%
Samson Evans run for 13 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
2.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 8 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
2.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+8
2.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 8 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
2.7%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
2.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 6 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
2.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold, broken up by Freddie McGee IIISimilar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
2.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for no gain to the EMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:5298% → 98%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
2.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 17 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
2.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
2.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun, broken up by Cody JonesSimilar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+8
2.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 8 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
2.4%
Jake Julien punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:363% → 6%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
3.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+3
3.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
3.0%
Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Johnson,Jermain, PENALTY EMU holding (PAUL, Jarrett) 10 yards to the UMASS40, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
3.2%
Jermaine Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
3.3%
Isaac Ross pass complete to Brady Olson for 25 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
4.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray Pettway, broken up by Robert Daniel Jr.Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+13
4.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 13 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
4.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.1%
Josiah Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 2:5196% → 96%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
4.4%
Ben Bryant run for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
4.4%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
4.3%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+42
4.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 42 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
4.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the UMass 18 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Sidy Sow) to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
4.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
4.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond, broken up by Noah BoykinSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
4.0%
Ben Bryant sacked by Da'Shon Ross for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+43
4.3%
Chad Ryland 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.5%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 9 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
5.7%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
5.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
6.0%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
5.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+31
5.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 31 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
5.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Alex Merritt) to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
5.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
5.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 2 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
5.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
5.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:5195% → 95%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
5.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 26 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
4.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 11 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
4.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+9
4.8%
Ben Bryant run for 9 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
4.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 5 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+2
4.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-3
4.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
5.4%
Chad Ryland 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
5.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 15 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
6.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 15 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
6.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
6.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+4
6.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
6.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray Pettway, broken up by Kempton ShineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:1595% → 99%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
4.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 26 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
4.6%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+14
4.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 14 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
4.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+5
4.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive offside (Billy Wooden) to the UMass 3Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 1
OPP 3
0
4.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-1
4.6%
Preston Hutchinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 4Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+3
5.1%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.5%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the UMass 1Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.3%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:572% → 7%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
2.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 15 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
2.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 19 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
7.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 45 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
5.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun, broken up by Donte LindseySimilar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
5.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun, broken up by Noah BoykinSimilar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
5.9%
JULIEN, Jake punt 36 yards to the UMASS39, fair catch by Collins,Eric, PENALTY UMASS roughing the kicker (Johnson,Jermain) 15 yards to the EMU40, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
5.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 42 Darius Boone Jr. fumbled, forced by Donte Lindsey, recovered by UMass Viczaril AlobwedeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
7.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 17 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
8.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 2 yds Melvin Hill fumbled, forced by Jarrett Paul, recovered by EMich T.J. PeavySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:2494% → 99%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
5.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 24 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
5.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 8 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
4.9%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
5.0%
BRYANT, Ben pass incomplete to BEYDOUN, Hassan, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Lindsey,Donte) 15 yards to the UMASS30, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
4.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+15
4.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 15 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
1.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 10 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:092% → 5%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.5%
Brady Olson run for 9 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
1.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
1.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
1.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+9
1.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 9 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
1.7%
Zamar Wise run for 3 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+7
1.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 7 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+21
1.7%
Carter Scudo run for 21 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
1.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
2.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+2
2.2%
Carter Scudo run for 2 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
1.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
5.3%
Carter Scudo run for 2 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2096% → 99%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
3.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dennis Smith for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
3.6%
Ben Bryant run for 4 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
3.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond, broken up by Noah BoykinSimilar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+54
0.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 54 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:141% → 4%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
1.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
0.9%
Brady Olson run for 9 yds to the UMass 29 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (T.J. Peavy) to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
1.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
1.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 26 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
1.1%
Brady Olson sacked by Grant Trueman for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+10
1.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 10 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+8
1.1%
Carter Scudo run for 8 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
3.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 29 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
2.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-1
2.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:51
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 45 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q4 12:36
Jawon Hamilton run for 10 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-3.6
TD · Q4 6:27
Carter Scudo run for 2 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com