Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 17 at Liberty 62

LIB
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Williams Stadium (VA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:07: Cameron Carson 38 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:28: T.J. Green run for 29 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck PAT MISSED) — LIB win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:36: Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 49 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK) — LIB win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:40MASS 4th & 8 at LIB 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07MASS 4th & 12 at LIB 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:07LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:55MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:35MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:08LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:58MASS 4th & 14 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:28LIB 4th & 1 at MASS 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:10MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:34MASS 4th & 10 at LIB 34, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:10MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 43, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:47LIB 4th & 18 at LIB 17, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:38LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 34, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:59MASS 4th & 5 at LIB 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:39LIB 4th & 10 at MASS 35, up 38
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:09MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:20MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:46LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:40LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:42LIB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:28LIB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:36LIB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:05LIB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:38MASS Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:15LIB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:29LIB Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:01LIB Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:03MASS Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Brady Olson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.5%
T.J. Green run for 26 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:531% → 1%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
99.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+4
99.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 6
OWN 11
-5
99.5%
Brady Olson sacked by Aakil Washington for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 6 Brady Olson fumbled, recovered by Liber Stephen Sings V , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 6 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:331% → 1%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
99.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 39 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jaret PallottaSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+16
99.5%
Brady Olson run for 16 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 12
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 12
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jaret PallottaSimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+38
99.4%
Cameron Carson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Max Morgan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:121% → 1%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+3
99.4%
Zamar Wise run for 3 yds to the UMass 30 Zamar Wise fumbled, forced by Robert Rahimi, recovered by UMass Zamar WiseSimilar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+1
99.4%
Eric Collins run for 1 yd to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
99.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 2:1399% → 100%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
99.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 8 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+7
99.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Treon Sibley for 7 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Treon Sibley for no gain to the Liber 39Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.4%
T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Liber 40Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+60
99.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 60 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:071% → 1%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.4%
Jermaine Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+2
99.4%
Zamar Wise run for 2 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+10
99.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 18 , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 22 LIBERTY Penalty, Illegal Block (Chance Smith) to the Liber 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:27100% → 99%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.5%
Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 9 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.5%
T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny HuntleySimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:101% → 1%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
99.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+23
99.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 23 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.1%
Brady Olson run for 1 yd to the Liber 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+2
99.1%
Eric Collins run for 2 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 11
OPP 47
-15
99.1%
Olson,Brady pass complete to Merriweather,Ellis for 47 yards to the LIB00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY MAS Pass Interference (Arnold,Rico) 15 yards from LIB47 to MAS38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 26
OWN 38
+12
99.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 14
50
0
99.1%
George Georgopoulos punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 2:3099% → 100%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+43
99.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 43 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.5%
Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Liber 45Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+17
99.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 17 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to T.J. GreenSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 9 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+29
99.6%
T.J. Green run for 29 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 2 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+4
99.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 4 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
99.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+1
99.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the Liber 34Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 6 yds to the Liber 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
99.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 23 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 49 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 15 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+15
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 44 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for 15 yds to the Liber 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.8%
Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+14
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 14 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 8 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
99.8%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 13 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+19
99.8%
Malik Willis run for 19 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 8 yds to the UMass 4Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 4 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
99.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 13 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to T.J. GreenSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-10
99.8%
Malik Willis sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Liber 17Similar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:090% → 0%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+10
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jaret Pallotta for 10 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the Liber 49Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+11
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 11 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 30 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the Liber 25Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.8%
Malik Willis run for 6 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.8%
Malik Willis run for 8 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 12 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 6 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+15
99.9%
Willis,Malik pass incomplete to Frith,Noah PENALTY MAS Pass Interference (Wallace,Josh) 15 yards from MAS40 to MAS25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
99.9%
Willis,Malik pass incomplete to Brumm,Brody PENALTY MAS Holding (Wallace,Josh) 10 yards from MAS25 to MAS15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
99.9%
Willis,Malik pass complete to Douglas,Demario for 15 yards to the MAS00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY LIB Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Bodden,Jacob) 5 yards from MAS15 to MAS20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+11
99.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Brody Brumm for 11 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Shedro Louis run for 9 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Johnson,Josiah, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LIB Pass Interference (Stone,Cedric) 10 yards from MAS40 to MAS50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jaret Pallotta for 2 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 5
50
+4
99.9%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+11
99.9%
Nate Hampton run for 11 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to Treon SibleySimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to D'Wayne CrawfordSimilar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to D'Wayne CrawfordSimilar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Nate Hampton run for 7 yds to the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q3 0:09
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 58 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
99.9%
Kaidon Salter run for 13 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+38
99.9%
Kaidon Salter run for 38 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Brody BrummSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+39
99.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Brody Brumm for 39 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 3 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jared Chisari for 2 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 27TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
100.0%
Nate Hampton run for 12 yds to the Liber 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the Liber 21Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Nate Hampton run for no gain to the Liber 21Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+15
100.0%
Hampton,Nate pass incomplete to Ogle,Eddie PENALTY MAS Pass Interference (Lindsey,Donte) 15 yards from LIB21 to LIB36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the Liber 37Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+63
100.0%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 63 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 28TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:580% → 0%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 3 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
100.0%
Zamar Wise run for 11 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Zamar Wise run for 4 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 10 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 3 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+15
100.0%
LIBERTY Penalty, Targeting (Cade Robinson) to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 6 yds to the Liber 22Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Jacob OrlandoSimilar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+10
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 10 yds to the Liber 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro run for 4 yds to the Liber 8Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-2
100.0%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:36
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 49 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)
+0.2
FG · Q1 11:07
Cameron Carson 38 yd FG GOOD
-0.1
TD · Q2 9:28
T.J. Green run for 29 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck PAT MISSED)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com