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CAM

Campbell 7 at Liberty 48

LIB
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadCAM aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreCAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:26 · Corey Petersen punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior+37.0Home team on offense+11.0Score differential+4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Garbage-time factor+2.0Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:57: Timeout LIBERTY, clock 04:57 — LIB win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 1:37: Alex Barbir 41 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:25: Malik Willis run for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir PAT MISSED) — CAM win probability +0.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:53: Joshua Mack run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:53: Shedro Louis run for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CAM made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:04CAM 4th & 12 at CAM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:35CAM 4th & 5 at LIB 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:58CAM 4th & 8 at CAM 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:37LIB 4th & 10 at CAM 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:34CAM 4th & 6 at CAM 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:20LIB 4th & 16 at LIB 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:58LIB 4th & 9 at CAM 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:26CAM 4th & 16 at CAM 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:13CAM 4th & 7 at LIB 48, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:43CAM 4th & 10 at CAM 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:17LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 31, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:05CAM 4th & 13 at CAM 48, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:33CAM 4th & 14 at LIB 46, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:33LIB 4th & 4 at CAM 36, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:18LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:53LIB Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:53LIB Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:46LIB Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:18LIB Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CAMDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:562% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.3%
PENALTY CAM Delay Of Game 5 yards from CAM25 to CAM20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Dontae CrowSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
98.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Dontae Crow for 10 yds to the Camp 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
98.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the Camp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Dontae Crow for 2 yds to the Camp 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
98.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Julian Hill for 7 yds to the Camp 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 39
-5
98.3%
PENALTY CAM Delay Of Game 5 yards from CAM39 to CAM34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Corey Petersen punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:4698% → 98%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.0%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+15
98.0%
CAMPBELL Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Camp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
98.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 35 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
98.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 35 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:322% → 2%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the Camp 21Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+26
98.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jai Williams for 26 yds to the Camp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
98.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Caleb Snead for 9 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+3
98.0%
C.J. Freeman run for 3 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Caleb SneadSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
98.0%
C.J. Freeman run for 2 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+3
98.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Caleb Snead for 3 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
97.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Julian HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.7%
Willis,Malik pass complete to Huntley,Johnny for 6 yards to the LIB42 (Rivens,Tywun), out of bounds PENALTY CAM Offside (Ngwenah,Prince) 5 yards from LIB36 to LIB41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+3
97.7%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
97.7%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
97.7%
Malik Willis run for 8 yds to the Camp 46Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+40
97.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 40 yds to the Camp 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:592% → 2%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Lamagea McDowellSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Lamagea McDowellSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Dontae Crow for 2 yds to the Camp 27Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Lamagea McDowellSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Corey Petersen punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:2198% → 98%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 3 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+25
97.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 25 yds to the Camp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
97.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 14 yds to the Camp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.0%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
98.0%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
97.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Shedro LouisSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
98.2%
Alex Barbir 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:032% → 2%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
97.8%
Michael Jamerson run for 4 yds to the Camp 27Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Caleb SneadSimilar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+13
97.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 13 yds to the Camp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
97.8%
C.J. Freeman run for 7 yds to the Camp 47Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
97.8%
C.J. Freeman run for 7 yds to the Camp 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+1
97.7%
C.J. Freeman run for 1 yd to the Camp 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
97.7%
C.J. Freeman run for 1 yd to the Camp 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-5
97.7%
PENALTY CAM False Start (Hover,Ian) 5 yards from CAM49 to CAM44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
97.7%
Corey Petersen punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 2:1499% → 99%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.5%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
98.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 9 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
98.5%
LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 24Similar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+4
98.5%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 11
OWN 28
-5
98.7%
PENALTY LIB False Start (Graham,Jonathan) 5 yards from LIB28 to LIB23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 16
OWN 23
0
98.7%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 16
OWN 23
0
98.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Josh McNeely at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 9TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:392% → 2%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
50
+10
97.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Dontae Crow for 10 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
97.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Caleb Snead for 40 yds for a TD (Isaac Riffle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 3:4399% → 99%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
98.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
98.7%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
98.8%
Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
98.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.8%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Camp 47Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
98.8%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Camp 49Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
98.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.8%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Camp 47Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
98.8%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Camp 49Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
98.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
98.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Josh McNeely at the Camp 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 3:323% → 3%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
97.5%
C.J. Freeman run for 1 yd to the Camp 15Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
97.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to RJ JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+15
97.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jalen Kelsey for 15 yds to the Camp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to RJ JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.5%
C.J. Freeman run for 2 yds to the Camp 28Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+24
97.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jalen Kelsey for 24 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Dontae CrowSimilar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
97.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Caleb SneadSimilar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+1
97.4%
C.J. Freeman run for 1 yd to the Liber 49Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 11
OPP 49
-5
97.5%
PENALTY CAM False Start (Streater,Greg) 5 yards from LIB49 to CAM46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 16
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Corey Petersen punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 3:0199% → 97%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
98.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 9 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
98.5%
Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.5%
Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
98.5%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-5
98.4%
PENALTY LIB False Start 5 yards from LIB41 to LIB36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+13
98.4%
Malik Willis run for 13 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
98.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 6 yds to the Camp 45Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-5
97.9%
PENALTY LIB False Start (Schultz,Tristan) 5 yards from CAM45 to CAM50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
50
+20
97.9%
Malik Willis run for 20 yds to the Camp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
97.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to T.J. Green for 18 yds to the Camp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
97.3%
Malik Willis run for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir PAT MISSED)Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
97.3%
Malik Willis run for 12 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:203% → 3%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.8%
Michael Jamerson run for 5 yds to the Camp 27Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.8%
Michael Jamerson run for 5 yds to the Camp 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+5
96.7%
Michael Jamerson run for 5 yds to the Camp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+5
96.7%
Michael Jamerson run for 5 yds to the Camp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:0397% → 99%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
96.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 16 yds to the Camp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
96.5%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Camp 7Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+5
96.5%
Willis,Malik pass incomplete to Moore,Stetson, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CAM Pass Interference (Grate,Malik) 5 yards from CAM07 to CAM02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.6%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Camp 1Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:342% → 2%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
98.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the Camp 23Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
98.3%
Lamagea McDowell run for 3 yds to the Camp 26Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
98.4%
Lamagea McDowell run for no gain to the Camp 26Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+5
98.4%
Williams,Hajj-Malik rush for 2 yards gain to the CAM28 (Jackson,Storey) PENALTY LIB Offside (Chibueze,Henry) 5 yards from CAM26 to CAM31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
98.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Caleb Snead for 18 yds to the Camp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.3%
Lamagea McDowell run for 3 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
98.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Austin HiteSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
98.5%
Corey Petersen punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 4:2099% → 100%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
98.6%
T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+9
98.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 9 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
98.7%
T.J. Green run for 9 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
98.6%
T.J. Green run for 5 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.0%
T.J. Green run for 7 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
99.0%
T.J. Green run for 6 yds to the Camp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.1%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
99.0%
T.J. Green run for 11 yds to the Camp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.8%
Shedro Louis run for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jai Williams for 5 yds to the Camp 30Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
99.8%
Williams,Hajj-Malik pass complete to Williams,Jai for 4 yards to the CAM34, out of bounds PENALTY LIB Holding (Lowe,Duron) 9 yards from CAM30 to CAM39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Dontae CrowSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Caleb SneadSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Corey Petersen punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 27Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 11
OWN 27
-14
99.8%
PENALTY LIB UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Adair,Andrew) 14 yards from LIB27 to LIB13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 25
OWN 13
+18
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 18 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Camp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:120% → 0%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Lamagea McDowell run for 8 yds to the Camp 33Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Lamagea McDowell run for 3 yds to the Camp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Williams,Hajj-Malik pass incomplete to Williams,Jai PENALTY LIB Offside (Zachary,Khristian) 5 yards from CAM36 to CAM41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+10
99.9%
Lamagea McDowell run for 10 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to RJ Jackson for 4 yds to the Camp 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Lamagea McDowell run for 1 yd to the Camp 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Julian HillSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Corey Petersen punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+20
99.9%
Joshua Mack run for 20 yds to the Camp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Camp 45Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+33
99.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Kylen Austin for 33 yds to the Camp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
99.9%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Camp 7 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kylen Austin) to the Camp 20Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 18
OPP 20
-10
99.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Camp 27Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 25
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to D'Wayne CrawfordSimilar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 25
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 27 yds for a TD PENALTY LIB Illegal Substitution 5 yards from CAM03 to CAM08. NO PLAY. (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Michael Jamerson run for 1 yd to the Camp 26Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+32
99.9%
Michael Jamerson run for 17 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Targeting (Jaylon Jimmerson) to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Michael Jamerson run for 1 yd to the Liber 43Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Jordan GocoSimilar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Michael Jamerson run for 3 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Corey Petersen punt for 5 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 7:15100% → 100%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Liber 40Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 4 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+14
99.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Brody Brumm for 14 yds to the Camp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 6 yds to the Camp 36Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 3 yds to the Camp 33Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 3 yds to the Camp 36Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Johnathan Bennett run for 4 yds to the Camp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 2 yds to the Camp 30Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+28
100.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Stetson Moore for 28 yds to the Camp 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Johnathan Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Lamagea McDowell run for 1 yd to the Camp 26Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
100.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Austin Hite for 16 yds to the Camp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Lamagea McDowell run for 3 yds to the Camp 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:53
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q3 4:53
Shedro Louis run for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 0:25
Malik Willis run for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir PAT MISSED)
-0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com