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YALE

Yale 15 at UConn 21

CONN
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadYALE aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreYALE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:39 · Jack Bosman punt for 55 yds, downed at the UConn 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorTime remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Home team on offense−1.4Score differential−2.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Pregame prior−3.4Time remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:22: Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 63 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +9.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:20: Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 14 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +12.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:15: Steven Krajewski run for 20 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +13.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:30: Nolan Grooms pass complete to Chase Nenad for 60 yds for a TD (Jack Bosman PAT MISSED) — YALE win probability +12.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: YALE has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:52: Nolan Grooms pass incomplete — YALE win probability +8.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: YALE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 11 of 14YALE made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 13:58CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:33CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:46YALE 4th & 4 at YALE 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:12CONN 4th & 2 at YALE 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:59YALE 4th & 3 at YALE 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07CONN 4th & 16 at CONN 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:53YALE 4th & 3 at CONN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:37CONN 4th & 5 at YALE 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:38YALE 4th & 19 at YALE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:08CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:39YALE 4th & 5 at YALE 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:36CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:59YALE 4th & 4 at YALE 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:14CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:54YALE 4th & 3 at YALE 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:40YALE 4th & 10 at CONN 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−3.9
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:55CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:50YALE 4th & 10 at YALE 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  19. Q3 4:26CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:42CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 45, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%−1.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:22YALE 4th & 23 at YALE 22, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:23CONN 4th & 1 at YALE 44, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−4.0
    27% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−2.8
    average punt
  23. Q4 7:11YALE 4th & 10 at CONN 45, down 12
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%−0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 5:22CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 18, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:52CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  26. Q4 1:52YALE 4th & 11 at YALE 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.4%−3.1
    average punt
  27. Q4 0:00YALE 4th & 5 at CONN 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−8.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−7.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3YALE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 5:22CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:20CONN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:15CONN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:30YALE Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0044% → 45%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
44.4%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 14:58
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-1
44.4%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 14:58
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
44.4%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
44.6%
Joe McFadden punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 2INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:3255% → 55%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
44.6%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Jaylan Sandifer for 7 yds to the Yale 30Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-1
44.6%
Zane Dudek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Yale 29Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+5
44.7%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Zane Dudek for 5 yds to the Yale 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
44.6%
Griffin O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
44.6%
Griffin O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+14
44.7%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Zane Dudek for 14 yds to the Yale 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
44.5%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 6 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
44.5%
Zane Dudek run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
44.5%
Zane Dudek run for 3 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
45.2%
Griffin O'Connor pass intercepted return for no gain to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5346% → 46%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
46.2%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Clay Patterson for 0 yards to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+4
45.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 4 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+3
45.7%
Steven Krajewski run for 3 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
45.9%
Joe McFadden punt for 42 yds , returns for no gain to the Yale 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:4454% → 53%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
46.4%
Spencer Alston run for a loss of 1 yard to the Yale 27Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+7
46.6%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Mason Tipton for 7 yds to the Yale 34Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
46.5%
Griffin O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
47.1%
Jack Bosman punt for 51 yds , returns for no gain to the UConn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:3447% → 47%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
46.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 18Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
46.7%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+12
46.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 12 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
47.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 6 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
47.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 6 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
47.8%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
47.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 4 yds to the Yale 48Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
47.8%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
48.1%
Haydn Kerr punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
46.8%
O'CONNOR, Griffin pass to the right incomplete intended for ROUSE II, Melvin broken up by DIXON, Malik at the YAL45. PENALTY UCO Pass Interference on DIXON, Malik enforced 15 yards to the YAL35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:1354% → 53%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.4%
Griffin O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
46.6%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Darrion Carrington for 2 yds to the Yale 37Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
46.8%
Griffin O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+5
47.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Yale 42Similar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+13
46.9%
Jack Bosman punt for 50 yds , Keelan Marion returns for 13 yds to the UConn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:5248% → 47%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
47.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 12Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
48.1%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
47.4%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Blake Hill and Clay Patterson for 0 yards to the UConn 5Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 16
OWN 5
+21
47.0%
Joe McFadden punt for 50 yds , Melvin Rouse II returns for 21 yds to the UConn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1455% → 53%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
45.0%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Zane Dudek for 7 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
44.8%
Griffin O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
45.5%
Zane Dudek run for no gain to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
46.9%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9MISSED FG
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:1649% → 50%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
48.9%
Nathan Carter run for 9 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+15
50.1%
YALE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Yale 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
51.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 2 yds to the Yale 32Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+1
51.2%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the Yale 31Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+2
50.5%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the Yale 29Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 5
OPP 29
0
50.2%
Joe McFadden 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by , Blake Hill return for no gain to the Yale 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:5953% → 50%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
47.4%
Griffin O'Connor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Yale 30Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 14
OWN 30
0
48.2%
Griffin O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 14
OWN 30
-5
49.0%
YALE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Darrion Carrington) to the Yale 25Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 19
OWN 25
0
49.0%
Griffin O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 19
OWN 25
0
49.6%
Jack Bosman punt for 43 yds, downed at the UConn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:3050% → 50%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
50.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 4 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+9
51.1%
Steven Krajewski run for 9 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
51.6%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
51.0%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
50.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
49.7%
Joe McFadden punt for 40 yds, downed at the Yale 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2953% → 51%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
47.0%
Melvin Rouse II run for 5 yds to the Yale 18Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
47.0%
Nolan Grooms run for no gain to the Yale 18Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
47.8%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
48.8%
Jack Bosman punt for 55 yds, downed at the UConn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:1750% → 60%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
50.3%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
49.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+3
50.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 3 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
60.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 63 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 14INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4040% → 40%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.1%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Spencer Alston for 1 yd to the Yale 26Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
60.2%
O'CONNOR, Griffin pass to the right complete for 2 yards to SANDIFER, Jaylan caught at the YAL28 and advanced to the YAL28, End of Play. PENALTY UCO Offsides on HARRIS, Nick enforced 5 yards from the YAL26 to the YAL31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
59.6%
Griffin O'Connor pass intercepted return for no gain to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.8%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the left incomplete intended for TURNER, Aaron thrown to the YAL15. PENALTY YAL Holding on II, RodneyThomas UCO Holding on LUNDT, Chase , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0660% → 60%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
59.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 9 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-3
61.7%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
60.6%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
59.7%
Joe McFadden punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Melvin Rouse II at the Yale 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3740% → 36%
Q2 3:36
2ND & 1
OWN 25
-3
60.2%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Ryan Lindley for a loss of 3 yards to the Yale 22Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
62.1%
Griffin O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
61.3%
Griffin O'Connor pass complete to Darrion Carrington for 9 yds to the Yale 25Similar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
64.1%
Jack Bosman punt for 49 yds, downed at the UConn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4561% → 60%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
60.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 4 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
61.1%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
60.1%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+9
60.2%
Joe McFadden punt for 54 yds , Melvin Rouse II returns for 9 yds to the Yale 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
62.9%
Griffin O'Connor pass intercepted return for no gain to the UConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:5064% → 77%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
64.4%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 26 yds to the Yale 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
65.1%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Yale 29Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+15
64.2%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the left incomplete intended for CLERCIUS, Kevens thrown to the YAL5. PENALTY YAL Pass Interference on GRANBERRY, Jaylan enforced 15 yards to the YAL14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
76.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 14 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0625% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.3%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.5%
Nolan Grooms run for 7 yds to the Yale 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
74.5%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+24
76.4%
Jack Bosman punt for 55 yds , Keelan Marion returns for 24 yds to the UConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:3978% → 92%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
77.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 25 yds to the Yale 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
78.4%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the Yale 35Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
78.4%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the Yale 33Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+15
77.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 15 yds to the Yale 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
78.4%
Heron Maurisseau run for a loss of 2 yards to the Yale 20Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+20
92.2%
Steven Krajewski run for 20 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 23FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3510% → 13%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
50
+3
90.1%
Nolan Grooms run for 3 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+7
90.1%
Nolan Grooms run for 7 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
90.1%
Spencer Alston run for 12 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
89.1%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
89.5%
Nolan Grooms run for no gain to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
90.2%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
86.6%
Jack Bosman 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4090% → 90%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
90.1%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
90.1%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
89.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
89.6%
Joe McFadden punt for 21 yds, downed at the Yale 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0513% → 11%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
87.1%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
87.2%
Elliott McElwain run for no gain to the Yale 44Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
87.6%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
89.0%
Jack Bosman punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2491% → 92%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
90.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+6
91.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
91.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-10
91.0%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the left complete for 10 yards to TURNER, Aaron caught at the UCO33 and advanced to the UCO44 (HICKEY, Dathan), out of bounds. PENALTY UCO Holding on HAIRSTON, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the UCO34 to the UCO24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+9
90.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 9 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
90.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
91.5%
Joe McFadden punt for 32 yds, downed at the Yale 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 27TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:389% → 18%
Q3 4:26
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
90.9%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+15
91.1%
GROOMS, Nolan sacked for a loss of 14 yards at the YAL16 (WATTS, Eric). PENALTY UCO Face mask on WATTS, Eric enforced 15 yards from the YAL30 to the YAL45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
90.3%
Nolan Grooms run for 25 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
89.0%
Zane Dudek run for 12 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
88.8%
Nolan Grooms run for 8 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 2
OPP 10
0
90.4%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+4
91.1%
Nolan Grooms pass complete to Elliott McElwain for 4 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
90.4%
Nolan Grooms pass complete to Jackson Hawes for 3 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.3%
Zane Dudek run for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1888% → 90%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
88.4%
Steven Krajewski run for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-1
88.8%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
88.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 5 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
88.6%
Joe McFadden punt for 50 yds, downed at the Yale 5Similar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
89.5%
YALE Penalty, False Start (Cameron Warfield) to the Yale 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:2011% → 7%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+3
89.5%
Spencer Alston run for 3 yds to the Yale 6Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+6
89.7%
Nolan Grooms run for 6 yds to the Yale 12Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+23
89.4%
Nolan Grooms pass complete to Spencer Alston for 23 yds to the Yale 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.7%
Spencer Alston run for no gain to the Yale 35Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
88.4%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
89.1%
Nolan Grooms sacked by Kevon Jones and Travis Jones for 0 yards to the Yale 22Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 23
OWN 22
0
93.1%
Jack Bosman punt for 45 yds, downed at the UConn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 30DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:5993% → 93%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
92.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 9 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-2
93.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+7
92.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
93.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the Yale 47Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
93.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Yale 45Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
93.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Yale 44Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
93.1%
Steven Krajewski run for no gain to the Yale 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 31PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:128% → 6%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.4%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
92.5%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+11
92.7%
Nolan Grooms run for 11 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
92.3%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
92.3%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
92.4%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
93.7%
Jack Bosman punt for 25 yds, downed at the UConn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4994% → 95%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
94.4%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
94.3%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Micah Awodiran and Adam Raine for 0 yards to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-1
94.3%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
94.7%
Joe McFadden punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Melvin Rouse II at the Yale 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 33TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:525% → 17%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
94.6%
Nolan Grooms pass complete to Melvin Rouse II for 2 yds to the Yale 40Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
94.7%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+60
82.6%
Nolan Grooms pass complete to Chase Nenad for 60 yds for a TD (Jack Bosman PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 34PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3890% → 92%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
89.7%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
93.4%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 1 yd to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
92.1%
Joe McFadden punt for 45 yds , Melvin Rouse II returns for 7 yds to the Yale 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YALEDrive 35DOWNS
15 plays · 68 yds · 2:5214% → 12%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
85.8%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+13
86.8%
Nolan Grooms pass complete to Elliott McElwain for 13 yds to the Yale 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
84.2%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
85.1%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-5
85.9%
YALE Penalty, False Start (Cameron Warfield) to the Yale 40Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+4
90.6%
Nolan Grooms run for 4 yds to the Yale 44Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+21
90.5%
Nolan Grooms pass complete to Melvin Rouse II for 21 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
82.3%
Nolan Grooms pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-10
83.0%
GROOMS, Nolan scrambles to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the UCO23 (FORTT, Omar;HARRIS, Nick). PENALTY YAL Holding on ALSTON, Spencer enforced 10 yards from the UCO35 to the UCO45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+6
88.9%
Nolan Grooms pass complete to Jaylan Sandifer for 6 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 14
OPP 39
-5
89.0%
YALE Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 19
OPP 44
+9
89.9%
Nolan Grooms run for 9 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+5
89.6%
GROOMS, Nolan pass up the middle incomplete intended for TIPTON, Mason thrown to the UCO0. PENALTY Before the snap, UCO Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UCO35 to the UCO30. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
87.7%
Nolan Grooms pass intercepted return for no gain to the UConn 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:15
Steven Krajewski run for 20 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)
+13.8
TD · Q2 0:20
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 14 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)
+12.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com