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CONN

UConn 13 at Massachusetts 27

MASS
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:56 · George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Keelan Marion at the UConn 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense−1.4Pregame prior−6.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:11: Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +4.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:27: Cameron Carson 21 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +5.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:56: Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +5.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:46: Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside (Keelan Marion) declined — MASS win probability +12.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:54: Zamar Wise run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +10.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 10CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:43MASS 4th & 1 at CONN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:56CONN 4th & 4 at MASS 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:56MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:40MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 29, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:23CONN 4th & 17 at MASS 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:10MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 23, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:54CONN 4th & 5 at midfield, up 3
    Close callPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:56MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:27MASS 4th & 3 at CONN 3, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%−2.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−12.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:27CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−3.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:22MASS 4th & 2 at CONN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−2.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−4.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:03CONN 4th & 9 at MASS 35, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.5%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:56MASS 4th & 4 at CONN 10, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−13.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:07CONN 4th & 3 at MASS 3, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.7%−3.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−10.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:36MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:21CONN 4th & 8 at MASS 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:11MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:15CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:46MASS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:54MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.1%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.1%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
42.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
42.1%
Joe McFadden punt for 44 yds, downed at the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:3243% → 47%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
42.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
42.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
42.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
42.6%
Zamar Wise run for 10 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
42.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside (Pierce DeVaughn) to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+15
42.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 15 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
42.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
42.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
42.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+5
42.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
42.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
42.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
47.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 0:5653% → 57%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+30
46.7%
Nathan Carter run for 30 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
46.0%
Nathan Carter run for 10 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
43.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 34 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 3 yds · 1:2444% → 44%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
44.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
44.3%
Zamar Wise run for 5 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-1
44.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+9
44.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 9 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
44.7%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
44.6%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
44.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+3
43.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds , Keelan Marion returns for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:0256% → 57%
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+12
44.5%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 12 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
43.8%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+15
43.8%
Nathan Carter run for 15 yds to the MASS 38 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
43.6%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 11 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
43.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+10
43.3%
Nathan Carter run for 10 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-2
43.5%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
44.5%
Nathan Carter run for 7 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-5
44.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Noel Ofori-Nyadu) to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
43.4%
Joe McFadden 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
43.2%
Brady Olson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
42.6%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
42.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Keelan Marion at the UConn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3457% → 56%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
42.8%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Cody Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 30 Steven Krajewski fumbled, recovered by UConn Christian Haynes , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+2
43.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+11
44.3%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 11 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+3
43.8%
Joe McFadden punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 20 , Eric Collins returns for 3 yds to the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
43.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
43.8%
Zamar Wise run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
43.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
42.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 49 yds, downed at the UConn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
43.9%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
43.6%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+8
44.4%
Steven Krajewski run for 8 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
43.2%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+28
44.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 28 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
42.0%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
42.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 5 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-14
41.9%
Steven Krajewski run for 1 yd to the UMass 32 CONNECTICUT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Keelan Marion) to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
44.7%
Haydn Kerr punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
42.5%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+6
42.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 6 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+4
41.6%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 4 yds Isaac Ross fumbled, forced by Jackson Mitchell, recovered by UMassSimilar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
41.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 47 yds, downed at the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
42.2%
Krajewski, Stev pass incomplete to Clercius, Keven, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Lindsey,Donte) 15 yards to the UCONN45, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
40.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 9 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-4
40.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 5
50
0
41.0%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Keelan Marion, broken up by Bryce WattsSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 5
50
0
42.2%
Joe McFadden punt for 42 yds, downed at the UMass 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4042% → 41%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
41.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+2
42.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+1
41.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
42.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
42.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 7 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 25
-2
42.2%
Zamar Wise pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
41.1%
George Georgopoulos punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13INT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:3160% → 57%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
40.2%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 16
OWN 33
-10
42.5%
Krajewski, Stev rush for 9 yards to the UCONN42, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UCONN holding (Keating, Brian) 10 yards to the UCONN23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 26
OWN 23
+8
42.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 8 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 18
OWN 31
-5
43.1%
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted Donte Lindsey return for 5 yds to the UConn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:3347% → 48%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
46.8%
Brady Olson run for 11 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
48.2%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+21
48.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 12 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, face mask (9 yards) (Eric Watts) to the UConn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
48.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
48.1%
Cameron Carson 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:3344% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
44.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 18 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
46.9%
Zamar Wise run for 18 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
47.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 17 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
49.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
49.1%
Zamar Wise run for 2 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+11
47.5%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 11 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
49.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UConn 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
49.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UConn 5Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
47.5%
Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q3 9:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
53.3%
Cameron Carson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0054% → 50%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
45.9%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-5
45.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Jay Rose) to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
48.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Jay Rose, broken up by Josh WallaceSimilar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
49.0%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Kevens Clercius, broken up by Josh WallaceSimilar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
50.5%
Joe McFadden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 49 yds · 0:0052% → 54%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
52.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Isaac RossSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
51.8%
Eric Collins run for 4 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+7
50.3%
Zamar Wise run for 7 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
52.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 31 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
56.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
57.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
55.9%
Zamar Wise run for 2 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 2
OPP 31
-1
53.9%
Zamar Wise run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:2052% → 51%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
48.2%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+16
49.4%
Heron Maurisseau run for 16 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
45.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+11
44.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
44.8%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
44.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
45.4%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+53
49.4%
Joe McFadden 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:0754% → 63%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
54.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+49
53.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 49 yds to the UConn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
59.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
59.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+6
57.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 6 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
62.9%
Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
62.9%
Nathan Carter run for no gain to the UConn 5Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 5
-7
63.3%
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted Bryce Watts return for 7 yds to the UConn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2671% → 84%
Q4 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
71.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
71.1%
Zamar Wise run for 3 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside (Keelan Marion) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22FG
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3918% → 24%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
82.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+5
80.2%
Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+46
80.5%
Nathan Carter run for 46 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
75.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 7 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+9
75.9%
Nathan Carter run for 9 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.9%
Steven Krajewski run for no gain to the UMass 5Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
75.9%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
77.6%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
75.6%
Joe McFadden 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 5:1383% → 97%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+28
83.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
50
+8
85.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
86.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
86.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+2
85.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+22
85.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 22 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
86.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+13
86.2%
Zamar Wise run for 13 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Zamar Wise run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:1897% → 98%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
96.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-5
96.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 47Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+45
98.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds , Keelan Marion returns for 45 yds to the UMass 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
96.6%
Steven Krajewski run for 2 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
96.6%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
96.7%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Heron MaurisseauSimilar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 8
OPP 40
-10
96.7%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:2699% → 99%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
50
+8
98.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-1
98.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+3
99.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
99.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:46
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside (Keelan Marion) declined
+12.7
TD · Q4 4:54
Zamar Wise run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)
+10.7
FG · Q3 9:27
Cameron Carson 21 yd FG GOOD
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com