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HC

Holy Cross 38 at UConn 28

CONN
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadHC aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreHC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:22 · Patrick Haughney punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cameron Ross at the UConn 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+9.4Home team on offense−1.0Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:54: Matthew Sluka pass complete to Ayir Asante for 24 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK) — HC win probability +10.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: HC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:57: Keelan Marion 3 Yd pass from Jack Zergiotis (Joe McFadden Kick) — CONN win probability +11.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:43: Matthew Sluka pass complete to Tyler Purdy for 3 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK) — HC win probability +16.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: HC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:18: Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 8 yds for a TD, (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +23.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 8:19: Tyler Purdy run for 14 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK) — HC win probability +28.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: HC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8HC made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 9:35CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:25HC 4th & 7 at HC 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:52HC 4th & 3 at HC 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:26HC 4th & 7 at HC 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:44CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22HC 4th & 13 at CONN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    41.0%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:41CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:30HC 4th & 1 at HC 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.5%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.4%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:22HC 4th & 3 at CONN 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%−3.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:35HC 4th & 10 at HC 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−2.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:40HC 4th & 8 at HC 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:30CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−3.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:39HC 4th & 19 at HC 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−8.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:25CONN 4th & 8 at HC 41, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−1.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:57HC 4th & 16 at CONN 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:03CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 40, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:36HC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:23CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:22CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:44HC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:54HC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:57CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:43HC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:18CONN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:19HC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HCDrive 1TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:2136% → 38%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
64.5%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 8 yds to the HCrss 31Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+6
64.5%
Peter Oliver run for 6 yds to the HCrss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
64.5%
Peter Oliver run for 2 yds to the HCrss 39Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
64.5%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Spencer Gilliam for 3 yds to the HCrss 42Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+23
64.5%
Peter Oliver run for 23 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
64.5%
Matthew Sluka run for 20 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
64.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offsides (Dal'mont Gourdine) to the UConn 10Similar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 5
OPP 10
+1
64.5%
Peter Oliver run for 1 yd to the UConn 9Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
64.5%
Peter Oliver run for 3 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
62.1%
Matthew Sluka run for 6 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5663% → 62%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
62.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 10 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
62.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
62.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
62.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
61.9%
Joe McFadden punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1038% → 39%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
62.1%
Jordan Forrest run for 1 yd to the HCrss 23Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+2
62.2%
Jordan Forrest run for 2 yds to the HCrss 25Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
62.3%
Matthew Sluka sacked by Kevon Jones and Nick Harris for 0 yards to the HCrss 25Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
61.3%
Patrick Haughney punt for 38 yds, downed at the UConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0461% → 61%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
61.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 2 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
61.6%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
61.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
60.5%
Joe McFadden punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2940% → 40%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
60.4%
run for 7 yds to the HCrss 23Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
60.1%
Peter Oliver run for no gain to the HCrss 23Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
60.4%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
60.1%
Patrick Haughney punt for 38 yds, downed at the UConn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:2960% → 65%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
60.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
50
+50
64.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Keelan Marion for 50 yds for a TD, (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:4237% → 36%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
63.4%
Marco Siderman sacked for 0 yards to the HCrss 8Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 17
OWN 8
-6
63.6%
Jonathan Abrams run for a loss of 6 yards to the HCrss 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:1365% → 69%
Q1 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
65.0%
Robert Burns run for 1 yd to the HCrss 1Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.0%
Robert Burns run for no gain to the HCrss 1Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.5%
Jack Zergiotis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5633% → 31%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.4%
Marco Siderman run for 5 yds to the HCrss 30Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
67.1%
Peter Oliver run for no gain to the HCrss 30Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
67.5%
Marco Siderman pass complete to Spencer Gilliam for a loss of 2 yards to the HCrss 28Similar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
68.6%
Patrick Haughney punt for 44 yds, downed at the UConn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10INT TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:1669% → 63%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
68.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
68.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-29
63.1%
Jason Modak 29 Yd Interception Return (Derek Ng Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:0063% → 62%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
63.5%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Matt Cedeno for 0 yards to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+2
62.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 2 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
61.9%
Haydn Kerr punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:2239% → 38%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
60.8%
Peter Oliver run for 4 yds to the HCrss 48Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
60.7%
Matthew Sluka sacked by Nick Harris for 0 yards to the HCrss 46Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+16
61.5%
Marco Siderman pass complete to Spencer Gilliam for 16 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
60.4%
Marco Siderman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
59.8%
Peter Oliver run for 4 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-2
60.1%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
62.1%
Patrick Haughney punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cameron Ross at the UConn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4163% → 61%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
62.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
62.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
62.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
61.4%
Joe McFadden punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 14TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:4741% → 52%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
59.1%
Peter Oliver run for 3 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+8
59.1%
Matthew Sluka run for 8 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
59.1%
Peter Oliver run for 11 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
58.3%
Peter Oliver run for 1 yd to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
48.2%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Ayir Asante for 24 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5752% → 66%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.5%
run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
51.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 11 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
52.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
52.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+10
51.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 10 yds to the HCrss 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
53.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the HCrss 41Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+15
53.7%
HOLY CROSS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jacob Dobbs) to the HCrss 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
54.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 11 yds to the HCrss 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
54.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 10 yds to the HCrss 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
54.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the HCrss 3Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.8%
Keelan Marion 3 Yd pass from Jack Zergiotis (Joe McFadden Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 16FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:5441% → 51%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.1%
Peter Oliver run for 6 yds to the HCrss 31Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
58.0%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the HCrss 33Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
58.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the HCrss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
57.8%
Peter Oliver run for 3 yds to the HCrss 41Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
57.0%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+6
58.2%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 6 yds to the HCrss 47Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
57.4%
Peter Oliver run for 2 yds to the HCrss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
55.5%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
56.1%
#9 M.Sluka pass to the right complete for 3 yards to #3 S.Gilliam to the UCO48; QB hurried by #43 J.Mitchell (#7 T.Wortham). PENALTY UCO Holding on #2 M.Bell enforced 10 yards from the HCR49 to the UCO41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
54.8%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Tenio Ayeni for 28 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+30
49.1%
Derek Ng 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18FUMBLE
12 plays · 26 yds · 5:3854% → 53%
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+14
54.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 14 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
56.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
56.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 5 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+4
57.3%
Jack Zergiotis run for 4 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
56.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
58.6%
Jack Zergiotis run for 5 yds to the HCrss 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
59.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the HCrss 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
58.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the HCrss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
59.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-10
59.1%
#26 N.Carter rush to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the HCR28 (#45 H.Burns;#6 T.Prince). PENALTY UCO Holding on #81 J.Rose enforced 10 yards from the HCR40 to the UCO50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
50
0
56.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 20
50
0
52.7%
Jack Zergiotis sacked for 0 yards to the UConn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 19TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 2:3950% → 68%
Q3 9:22
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+4
50.2%
Peter Oliver run for 4 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+33
47.7%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 33 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
31.7%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Tyler Purdy for 3 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q3 3:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
55.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 8 yds for a TD, (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 21PUNT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q3 1:35
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
49.1%
Patrick Haughney punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jahkai Gill at the UConn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
1 play · -11 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q3 0:12
4TH & 21
OWN 35
0
46.3%
Joe McFadden punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2054% → 50%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
46.1%
Jordan Forrest run for 2 yds to the HCrss 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
46.5%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
48.1%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 8
OWN 19
+4
49.8%
Patrick Haughney punt for 43 yds , Jahkai Gill returns for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24PUNT
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q4 13:30
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+2
45.9%
Joe McFadden punt for 51 yds , Jared Kreimer returns for 2 yds to the HCrss 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 25PUNT
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q4 11:39
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
45.9%
Patrick Haughney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jahkai Gill at the UConn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26PUNT
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q4 10:25
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
43.0%
Haydn Kerr punt for 39 yds, downed at the HCrss 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 27TD
1 play · 98 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
14.1%
Tyler Purdy run for 14 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28INT
1 play · 33 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
17.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 29PUNT
3 plays · 7 yds · 2:2989% → 89%
Q4 6:26
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+4
11.4%
Tyler Purdy run for 4 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
11.5%
Tyler Purdy run for 9 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
11.3%
Patrick Haughney punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 30DOWNS
1 play · 41 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 3:03
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
7.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:19
Tyler Purdy run for 14 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK)
-28.9
TD · Q3 3:18
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 8 yds for a TD, (Joe McFadden KICK)
+23.9
TD · Q3 6:43
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Tyler Purdy for 3 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK)
-16.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com