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UConn 0 at Fresno State 45

FRES
2021 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2021 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:46 · Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:47: Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:50: Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 61 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:46: Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 86 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Cesar Silva 24 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:21: Jordan Mims run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CONN made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:49FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:42CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:42CONN 4th & 8 at FRES 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:28FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:40CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:01CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:47CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:01FRES 4th & 18 at FRES 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:13CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:41CONN 4th & 3 at midfield, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:24CONN 4th & 19 at CONN 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.3%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00FRES 4th & 2 at CONN 42, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:09CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 3, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:05FRES 4th & 1 at CONN 39, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:12CONN 4th & 2 at FRES 44, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:30CONN 4th & 22 at CONN 13, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:59FRES 4th & 15 at CONN 34, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:59CONN 4th & 12 at FRES 32, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:34FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 33, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:47CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 43, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 2:40FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:47FRES Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:50FRES Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:46FRES Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:21FRES Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:30FRES Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.4%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
95.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
95.4%
Jack Zergiotis run for 5 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Joe McFadden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4595% → 95%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
95.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+5
95.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 5 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+1
95.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 1 yd to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
94.7%
Carson King punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 2:005% → 6%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.7%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
94.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 5 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+4
94.7%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+5
94.2%
Jack Zergiotis run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
94.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Ryan Van Demark) to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+1
94.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Brian Brewton for 1 yd to the UConn 48Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+6
94.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 6 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
94.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
94.3%
Joe McFadden punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
93.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for no gain to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
93.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 4 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
93.7%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen CropperSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+3
93.6%
Carson King punt for 40 yds , returns for 3 yds to the UConn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:097% → 7%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
93.2%
Zergiotis, Jac pass incomplete to Ross, Cameron, PENALTY UCONN holding (Keating, Brian) 10 yards to the UCONN12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+5
93.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+8
93.2%
Jack Zergiotis run for 8 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+13
93.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 13 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
93.1%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+13
93.2%
Zergiotis, Jac pass incomplete to Rose, Jay, PENALTY FS pass interference (AGINA, Kosi) 13 yards to the UCONN48, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
93.2%
Arron Mosby 31 Yd Fumble Return (Cesar Silva Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.5%
FRESNO ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 5
OWN 30
-5
93.3%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Levelle Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.6%
Carter, Nate rush for 2 yards to the UCONN27 (JONES, Kwami), PENALTY UCONN false start 5 yards to the UCONN20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+3
93.6%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
93.7%
Joe McFadden punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5693% → 93%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.3%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen CropperSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
93.3%
Jake Haener pass incomplete, broken up by Lwal UguakSimilar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+4
93.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 4 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
92.9%
Carson King punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cameron Ross at the UConn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:467% → 7%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
93.0%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+6
93.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-3
93.2%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 5
OWN 23
-2
93.4%
Joe McFadden punt for 44 yds , returns for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:4393% → 95%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+37
93.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 37 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
93.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 5
OPP 27
+9
93.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 9 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-8
93.4%
RIVERS, Ronnie rush for 14 yards to the UCONN4 (Jones, Durante), PENALTY FS holding 8 yards to the UCONN26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 18
OPP 26
+17
93.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 17 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
95.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
94.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 7 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
94.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron Ross, broken up by Justin HoustonSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
94.3%
Joe McFadden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:2295% → 94%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
94.8%
Jake Haener run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
94.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+8
94.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
95.0%
Jalen Cropper run for 13 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
94.7%
HAENER, Jake pass complete to KELLY, Josh for 48 yards to the UCONN0, clock 06:01, PENALTY FS pass interference (RIVERS, Ronnie) 15 yards to the FS37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 25
OWN 37
+3
94.5%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 22
OWN 40
+4
94.6%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 4 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 18
OWN 44
0
94.5%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Ronnie Rivers, broken up by Nick HarrisSimilar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
94.2%
Carson King punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cameron Ross at the UConn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:146% → 6%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
94.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
94.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Nathan CarterSimilar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
94.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
94.3%
Joe McFadden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
98.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 61 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
97.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+8
97.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 8 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
97.8%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
97.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 3
50
0
97.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 3
50
0
97.6%
Haydn Kerr punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15TD
1 play · 86 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+86
99.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 86 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · -9 yds · 0:221% → 1%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Nathan CarterSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-3
99.5%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 17Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-1
99.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Hairston for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 19
OWN 16
-8
99.5%
Joe McFadden punt for 53 yds , returns for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 1:1299% → 99%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.2%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
99.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 11 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
99.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 22 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+10
99.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 10 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
99.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 13 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
99.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 9 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 1
OPP 6
0
99.3%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+24
99.4%
Cesar Silva 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18INT
15 plays · 63 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
99.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 9 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-1
99.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-2
99.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+11
99.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+4
99.3%
Jake Haener run for 4 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 9 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Erik BrooksSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
99.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.4%
Logan Fife run for 7 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+6
99.3%
Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.4%
Logan Fife pass intercepted return for no gain to the UConn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
99.7%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 8
OWN 5
-3
99.7%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 2Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+1
99.7%
Robert Burns run for 1 yd to the UConn 3Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 10
OWN 3
0
99.7%
Joe McFadden punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the UConn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20TD
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:44100% → 100%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
99.7%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
99.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Logan Fife pass incomplete, broken up by Pierce DeVaughnSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.8%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jordan Mims for 5 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+9
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.8%
MIMS, Jordan rush for 1 yard to the UCONN21 (Fortt, Omar), PENALTY UCONN substitution infraction 5 yards to the UCONN17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+4
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+5
99.7%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
Q3 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
99.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the FrsSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
Brian Brewton run for 4 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
99.8%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Heron MaurisseauSimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jahkai Gill for 5 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+1
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:45100% → 100%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
99.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 13 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jordan Wilmore for 5 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-1
99.9%
Logan Fife run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+11
99.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for 11 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for 3 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
99.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for 6 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for 7 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
99.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 10 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, illegal helmet contact (1 Yards) to the UConn 2Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for 1 yd to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 1 yd for a TD (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.9%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Ryan Boehm for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-5
99.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 22
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Haydn Kerr punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the UConn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24MISSED FG
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+7
99.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jordan Brown for 7 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Jordan Brown, broken up by Lwal UguakSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
99.9%
Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 15
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 15
OPP 34
+51
99.9%
Cesar Silva 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+13
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
99.9%
Krajewski, Stev pass incomplete to Ganyi, Terrance, PENALTY FS pass interference (BLAND, DaRon) 15 yards to the FS30, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Steven Krajewski run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-5
99.9%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Tyler Mello and Leonard Payne Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 12
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Cameron HairstonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
99.9%
WILMORE, Jordan rush for no gain to the FS32 (Webb, Hunter), PENALTY FS holding 10 yards to the FS22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 20
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Mac Dalena, broken up by Myles BellSimilar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 20
OWN 22
+10
99.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jordan Wilmore for 10 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Logan Fife run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+19
99.9%
Carson King punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 32 , returns for 19 yds to the UConn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 8 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 3 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Kevens Clercius, broken up by Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Haydn Kerr punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 12Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 11
OWN 12
-1
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 12
OWN 11
-1
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:50
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 61 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q2 10:47
Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 1:46
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 86 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com