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ARMY

Army 14 at Wisconsin 20

WIS
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:38 · Andy Vujnovich punt for 26 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+3.1Home team on offense+17.4Garbage-time factor+11.5Score differential+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 11:22: Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +8.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 2:43: Graham Mertz 1 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick), (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +12.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:38: A.J. Howard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +19.1 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:38: Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:38 — WIS win probability +9.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:23: run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 47 — WIS win probability +8.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 7ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:31ARMY 4th & 7 at WIS 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:30WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:26ARMY 4th & 4 at WIS 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:31WIS 4th & 1 at ARMY 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.5%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:36ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:52WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.9%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:06ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:57WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 48, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:43ARMY 4th & 6 at WIS 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:57WIS 4th & 7 at ARMY 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:54ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.4%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:07ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:03WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:38WIS 4th & 13 at ARMY 35, up 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:51ARMY 4th & 4 at WIS 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ARMY made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 12:58WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:22WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:43WIS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:38ARMY Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1085% → 84%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
84.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+5
84.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+12
84.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
84.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-3
84.1%
Graham Mertz sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 43 Graham Mertz fumbled, recovered by Army Nolan Cockrill , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4116% → 17%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
83.6%
Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+4
83.4%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+2
83.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
83.2%
Zach Harding punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4783% → 82%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
83.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Wisc 11Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+4
83.0%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 15Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+2
82.5%
Graham Mertz run for 2 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
82.3%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:4918% → 19%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
82.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
82.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
81.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
81.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
81.0%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
80.9%
Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
80.9%
Zach Harding punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
13 plays · 95 yds · 6:1281% → 84%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
81.1%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+11
80.9%
Braelon Allen run for 11 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
80.8%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
80.8%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 25Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+18
80.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 18 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
81.1%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Braelon AllenSimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
80.8%
Braelon Allen run for 13 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
81.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-5
81.0%
PENALTY WIS False Start (Nelson,Jack) 5 yards from ARM36 to ARM41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
80.9%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
80.5%
John Chenal run for no gain to the Army 35Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
79.9%
John Chenal run for 2 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
84.0%
Braelon Allen run for 33 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:0517% → 17%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
82.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 22Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+18
83.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 18 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
81.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
81.5%
Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the Army 44Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+1
81.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 45Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+4
82.6%
Zach Harding punt for 40 yds , Dean Engram returns for 4 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 6:0383% → 89%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
82.8%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Wisc 19Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
82.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
83.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
83.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
83.5%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+8
82.8%
Jack Sanborn run for 8 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+36
84.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 36 yds to the WISCONSIN 16 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Malkelm Morrison) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
84.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-5
84.2%
PENALTY WIS False Start (Ferguson,Jake) 5 yards from ARM13 to ARM18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 12
OPP 18
0
84.2%
(04:11) Mertz,Graham pass incomplete to Ferguson,Jake, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ARM Pass Interference (Broughton,Marquel) 11 yard from ARM18 to ARM07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
84.2%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Army 5Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
89.1%
Graham Mertz run for 5 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1013% → 13%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
87.3%
Jabari Laws run for 3 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
87.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
87.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Army 29Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
87.2%
Zach Harding punt for 51 yds , Dean Engram returns for no gain to the Wisc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:0088% → 88%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
87.8%
Brady Schipper run for 4 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+16
87.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 16 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
88.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.8%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
88.8%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
88.2%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Brady SchipperSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
87.6%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10Uncategorized
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2413% → 13%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
87.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the Army 18Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
87.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:0512% → 15%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
87.4%
PENALTY WIS Offside (Chenal,Leo) 5 yards from ARM31 to ARM36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
87.6%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 34 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
86.0%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+1
85.9%
Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
86.9%
Tyson Riley run for no gain to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
84.9%
Cole Talley 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:2986% → 86%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
85.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 12 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
86.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 7 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+10
86.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 10 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
87.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
87.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Army 39Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
86.6%
Kendric Pryor run for 3 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
85.6%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 6:5014% → 13%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
85.7%
PENALTY ARM False Start (Finucane,Connor) 5 yards from ARM12 to ARM07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+2
86.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+10
86.2%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Reikan Donaldson for 10 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+2
86.5%
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+2
86.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
85.8%
Jabari Laws run for 6 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
85.5%
Tyrell Robinson run for 5 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
85.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Army 34Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
85.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+10
85.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
84.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
85.5%
Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+2
86.9%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 2 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
87.5%
Zach Harding punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5688% → 87%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
87.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
87.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 0:12
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
87.4%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q3 0:03
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
86.7%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:3814% → 22%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
86.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
85.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
85.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
85.5%
Brandon Walters run for 8 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-10
84.3%
(13:38) Laws,Jabari pass incomplete to Walters,Brandon PENALTY ARM Holding (Donaldson,Reikan) 10 yards from WIS35 to WIS45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+36
86.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 36 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
86.3%
Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the Wisc 8Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
86.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
15 plays · 40 yds · 6:2988% → 89%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.6%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
88.0%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
87.9%
Braelon Allen run for 10 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
89.7%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Army 49 Braelon Allen fumbled, forced by Cedrick Cunningham Jr., recovered by Wisc Braelon AllenSimilar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-5
90.2%
(08:51) Mertz,Graham rush for 5 yards loss to the WIS46 (Smith,Arik; Jones,Spencer) PENALTY WIS Illegal Shift (Chenal,John) 5 yards from ARM49 to WIS46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+1
89.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+9
89.3%
Graham Mertz run for 9 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
91.1%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+10
90.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 10 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
91.9%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Army 31Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
91.8%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+4
91.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 4 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 13
OPP 35
0
89.1%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:3014% → 14%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
85.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+4
86.0%
Cade Barnard run for 4 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+5
87.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-19
85.9%
Jabari Laws sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 19 yards to the Army 1 Jabari Laws fumbled, recovered by Wisc Keeanu Benton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-19
85.9%
Jabari Laws sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 19 yards to the Army 1 Jabari Laws fumbled, recovered by Wisc Keeanu Benton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Graham Mertz 1 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick), (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 1:473% → 22%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
97.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 25 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
97.2%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the Army 49Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
97.2%
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the Army 49Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+5
97.3%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Reikan Donaldson for 5 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+4
97.4%
Braheam Murphy run for 4 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+36
97.1%
Jabari Laws pass complete to A.J. Howard for 36 yds to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
78.1%
A.J. Howard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
96.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:38
A.J. Howard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)
-19.1
TD · Q4 2:43
Graham Mertz 1 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick), (Collin Larsh KICK)
+12.3
TD · Q4 0:38
Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:38
+9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com