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EMU

Eastern Michigan 7 at Wisconsin 34

WIS
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:09 · Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+24.9Home team on offense+23.9Score differential+16.0Garbage-time factor+7.8Blowout margin−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:39: Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +0.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:02: Jalen Berger run for 6 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +2.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:40: Isaac Guerendo run for 82 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 8:02: Collin Larsh 39 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:38: David Carter Jr. 98 Yd Interception Return (Chad Ryland Kick) — EMU win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:16WIS 4th & 2 at EMU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:22EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 10, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:04EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:39WIS 4th & 8 at EMU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:19EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:54EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:55EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 40, down 24
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:51EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:09WIS 4th & 3 at EMU 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:02WIS 4th & 4 at EMU 21, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:28EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 25, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:26WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 43, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:51EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 16, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:29WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 31, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00EMU 4th & 6 at WIS 18, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 4:39WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:02WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:40WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:38EMU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:16WIS Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:1895% → 94%
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+60
94.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 60 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
94.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
94.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
94.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the EMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:336% → 6%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
94.1%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
93.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Summers for 4 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+3
93.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 3 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
93.9%
Jake Julien punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:1894% → 94%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
94.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 11 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
93.8%
Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
93.8%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
93.7%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
93.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+7
93.4%
Jalen Berger run for 7 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
93.3%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+5
93.2%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:316% → 6%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan SummersSimilar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Jake Julien punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:0294% → 93%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
93.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 11 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
93.8%
(03:29) Berger,Jalen rush for 35 yards gain to the EMU18 (Myrick,Terry) PENALTY WIS Holding (Lyles,Kayden) 10 yards from WIS47 to WIS37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+10
93.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
93.4%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+12
93.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
93.3%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+8
93.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Clay Cundiff for 18 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Danny Davis III) to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
93.3%
Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+8
93.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 8 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
93.2%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+7
93.2%
Jalen Berger run for 7 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-5
93.0%
Graham Mertz sacked by Woo Scott for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 15Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
92.9%
Collin Larsh 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:027% → 7%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
93.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
93.2%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
93.3%
Jake Julien punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5293% → 96%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
92.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 12 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
92.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
92.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 6 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
92.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
92.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 14 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
92.8%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+13
92.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 13 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
92.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
93.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
93.0%
Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.9%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:445% → 5%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
94.9%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
94.9%
Ben Bryant sacked by Matt Henningsen for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 18Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
95.0%
Jake Julien punt for 64 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
1 play · 82 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
97.5%
Isaac Guerendo run for 82 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:403% → 3%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan SummersSimilar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
97.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
96.8%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+8
97.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Summers for 8 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+4
97.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Jake Julien punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11Uncategorized
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:3798% → 98%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
97.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Michael Smith Jr.) to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
97.8%
Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+7
97.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.8%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack DunnSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.8%
Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+4
97.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 4 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:423% → 3%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
97.2%
Ben Bryant run for 5 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
97.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.5%
Jake Julien punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 4:2798% → 100%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
97.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 17 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
97.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
97.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
97.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+9
97.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
98.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
98.1%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+3
98.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 3 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
99.6%
Collin Larsh 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Jake Julien punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+1
99.7%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 6 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+1
99.8%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 12Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 5
OWN 12
-5
99.8%
PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from EMU12 to EMU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+9
99.9%
Ben Bryant run for 9 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Jake Julien punt for 62 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17INT TD
13 plays · 56 yds · 6:45100% → 99%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Brady Schipper run for 5 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Brady Schipper run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
99.8%
Brady Schipper run for 1 yd to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.8%
Chase Wolf pass complete to A.J. Abbott for 7 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+3
99.8%
Brady Schipper run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Brady Schipper run for 7 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Brady Schipper run for 3 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
99.9%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Chimere Dike for 18 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Brady Schipper run for 5 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-5
99.9%
PENALTY WIS False Start (Bortolini,Tanor) 5 yards from EMU10 to EMU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 13
OPP 15
-98
99.1%
David Carter Jr. 98 Yd Interception Return (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.0%
Brady Schipper run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.0%
PENALTY WIS False Start (Bruss,Logan) 5 yards from WIS26 to WIS21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
99.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Brady Schipper for 10 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:181% → 1%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.2%
Preston Hutchinson run for 6 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
99.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
99.2%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+10
99.2%
(06:04) Mertz,Graham pass incomplete to Chandler,Devin, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Smith,Cameron) 10 yards from EMU26 to EMU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.3%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+4
99.3%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+9
99.3%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.9%
PENALTY WIS UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bruss,Logan) 15 yards from WIS35 to WIS20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 52 yds · 3:410% → 0%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Bryson Moss run for 1 yd to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Zach Westmoreland run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+10
100.0%
(02:39) Hutchinson,Preston pass incomplete to Stewart,I'Shwan PENALTY WIS Holding (Engram,Dean) 10 yards from EMU33 to EMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
100.0%
Bryson Moss run for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 5 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+29
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 29 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Zach WestmorelandSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Zach WestmorelandSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+4
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to I'Shawn StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:02
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q2 4:40
Isaac Guerendo run for 82 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)
+2.5
FG · Q3 8:02
Collin Larsh 39 yd FG GOOD
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com