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WIS

Wisconsin 52 at Rutgers 3

RUTG
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.6RUTG 23.7%Valentino Ambrosio 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 3 · Q1 4:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:34 · Valentino Ambrosio 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior−27.4Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:34: Valentino Ambrosio 24 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +2.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. FG · Q2 14:18: Collin Larsh 35 yd FG MISSED — WIS win probability +1.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:18: John Chenal 1 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick) — WIS win probability +5.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:04: Caesar Williams 29 Yd Interception Return (Collin Larsh Kick) — WIS win probability +5.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:36: Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 25 yds for a TD — WIS win probability +3.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 4:34RUTG 4th & 3 at WIS 7, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−1.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:18WIS 4th & 14 at RUTG 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−3.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:23RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:04WIS 4th & 2 at RUTG 11, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.0%−0.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−4.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:18WIS 4th & 1 at RUTG 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    73.9%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−6.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:59RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.3%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:13RUTG 4th & 3 at WIS 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.6%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:20RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:58RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 43, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:21RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 43, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:32RUTG 4th & 7 at WIS 32, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:52WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 31, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:57RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 44, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:00WIS 4th & 21 at RUTG 37, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:14RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 29, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:06WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:18WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:04WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:36WIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:31WIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:44WIS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:59WIS Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1INT
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:3681% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
19.0%
PENALTY WIS False Start (Beach,Tyler) 5 yards from WIS29 to WIS24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
19.0%
Mertz,Graham pass incomplete to Davis III,Danny, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RUT Pass Interference (Abraham,Kessawn) 14 yards from WIS24 to WIS38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+15
19.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 15 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
19.0%
Mellusi,Chez rush for 2 yards gain to the WIS40 (Fatukasi,Olakunle; Turner,Julius) PENALTY RUT Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WIS38 to WIS43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+9
19.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
19.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
19.8%
Julius Davis run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
19.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
21.0%
Graham Mertz pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3622% → 22%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
21.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 12
OWN 32
0
21.7%
Noah Vedral pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:4279% → 80%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
21.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
20.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 14 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:3221% → 24%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 11 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
20.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+35
20.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 35 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
21.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+1
21.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Wisc 19Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+5
21.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 5 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
21.2%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
21.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 5 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+2
21.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
23.7%
Valentino Ambrosio 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:1677% → 78%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.2%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+33
23.3%
Braelon Allen run for 33 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
22.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+1
22.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
22.4%
John Chenal run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
22.4%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+15
22.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 15 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
22.4%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+2
23.9%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-5
24.1%
Mertz,Graham pass complete to Dike,Chimere for 11 yards to the RUT01 (Fatukasi,Olakunle; Young,Avery) PENALTY WIS Illegal Shift (Dike,Chimere) 5 yards from RUT12 to RUT17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 17
0
24.3%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+35
22.5%
Collin Larsh 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5523% → 23%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
22.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
23.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
22.5%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
22.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 5:1977% → 78%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
22.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
22.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
22.0%
John Chenal run for 1 yd to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+29
22.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 29 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
21.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 8 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
21.5%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
21.7%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
21.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+6
21.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
21.7%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Braelon AllenSimilar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
22.3%
Collin Larsh 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:3779% → 84%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
21.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 24 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
21.3%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
21.3%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.5%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.5%
John Chenal 1 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-29
11.4%
Caesar Williams 29 Yd Interception Return (Collin Larsh Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:4611% → 11%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
11.4%
Noah Vedral sacked by Jack Sanborn for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+16
11.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
11.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-7
12.0%
Noah Vedral sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+13
11.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 13 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
12.1%
Noah Vedral run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
12.3%
Isaiah Washington pass incomplete to Noah VedralSimilar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
12.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+6
12.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 6 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
11.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 0:3793% → 96%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
6.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 15 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
6.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
6.5%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
6.6%
Brady Schipper run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+25
3.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 25 yds for a TDSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
4.0%
PENALTY RUT Personal Foul (Powell,Tyreem) 15 yards from WIS35 to WIS50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:363% → 2%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
2.3%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the Rutgr 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
3.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 23 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
3.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
3.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
3.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
-5
3.3%
PENALTY RUT Delay Of Game 5 yards from WIS49 to RUT46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
3.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 4:4997% → 99%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
3.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
3.2%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+25
3.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 25 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
3.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
3.0%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+28
3.0%
Braelon Allen run for 28 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
2.9%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+9
2.7%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.2%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
1.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
1.4%
Bo Melton run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
1.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
1.3%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
1.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
1.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 72 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.9%
Noah Vedral run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
0.8%
Simon,Evan pass incomplete to Melton,Bo PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Smith,Alexander) 15 yards from RUT24 to RUT39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
0.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
0.9%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
0.9%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
0.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 3:2299% → 99%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+36
1.0%
Braelon Allen run for 36 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
0.9%
Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+8
0.9%
Julius Davis run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
0.9%
Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+11
0.9%
Julius Davis run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
0.7%
Jackson Acker run for 18 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19INT
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:270% → 0%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
0.3%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+18
0.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 18 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
0.3%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+8
0.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Victor Konopka for 8 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
0.3%
Simon,Evan pass incomplete to Konopka,Victor PENALTY WIS Offside (Blaylock,Travian) 5 yards from RUT47 to WIS48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 5
OPP 48
+4
0.3%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+9
0.3%
Aaron Young run for 9 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
0.3%
Evan Simon run for 2 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
0.3%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+1
0.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Bo Melton for 1 yd to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 7
OPP 32
0
0.2%
Evan Simon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.5%
Julius Davis run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
0.5%
Julius Davis run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.5%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.4%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
0.2%
Cole Snyder run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Isaiah Washington for no gain to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
0.2%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
0.3%
Allen,Markus rush for 8 yards gain to the RUT36 (Lusardi,Joe) PENALTY WIS Holding (Kodanko,Kerry) 10 yards from RUT44 to WIS46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+6
0.3%
Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+22
0.3%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Markus Allen for 22 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.3%
Chase Wolf run for no gain to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
0.3%
Jackson Acker run for no gain to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-11
0.3%
Chase Wolf sacked by Aaron Lewis for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 37 Chase Wolf fumbled, recovered by Wisc Cormac Sampson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 21
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Conor Schlichting punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.1%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
0.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Victor Konopka for 6 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
0.1%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 64 yds · 4:14100% → 100%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
0.2%
Grover Bortolotti run for 16 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.2%
Markus Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
0.2%
Grover Bortolotti run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+12
0.2%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Markus Allen for 12 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
0.2%
Grover Bortolotti run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
0.2%
Grover Bortolotti run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+7
0.1%
Grover Bortolotti run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:04
Caesar Williams 29 Yd Interception Return (Collin Larsh Kick)
-5.1
TD · Q2 5:18
John Chenal 1 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick)
-5
TD · Q2 0:36
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 25 yds for a TD
-3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com