Try the model
WIS

Wisconsin 30 at Purdue 13

PUR
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Ross-Ade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:26 · Jack Ansell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Home team on offense+0.1Pregame prior−10.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:16: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +6.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. SACK · Q2 6:13: Graham Mertz sacked by Jamari Brown for a loss of 10 yards Graham Mertz fumbled, forced by Jamari Brown, recovered by Prdue George Karlaftis , return for 0 yards , return for 56 yds, (Mitchell Fineran PAT MISSED) — PUR win probability +8.1 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q2 2:06: Collin Larsh 23 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +7.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:06: Chez Mellusi run for 20 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +16.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:13: Braelon Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +12.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 12:48WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26PUR 4th & 20 at WIS 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    43.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:12PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:54WIS 4th & 2 at PUR 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−0.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:36WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:06WIS 4th & 4 at PUR 4, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−7.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:06WIS 4th & 17 at PUR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−2.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:07PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:15PUR 4th & 14 at PUR 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−5.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:16WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:49PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:42WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 31, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:06WIS 4th & 14 at PUR 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    91.9%−3.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:50PUR 4th & 23 at PUR 23, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:49WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:16PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:06WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:13WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5761% → 60%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
39.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-2
39.4%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 21Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+7
39.8%
Graham Mertz run for 7 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+9
40.0%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 52 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 9 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:0440% → 41%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
40.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 13 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
40.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 13 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
40.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Caesar Williams) to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
40.9%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Wisc 30Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
41.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-10
40.9%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
40.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
17 plays · 92 yds · 7:1159% → 63%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
40.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+18
41.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 18 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
40.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-5
40.8%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 31Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+1
41.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-5
41.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 27Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+17
41.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 17 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
40.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 9 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
40.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
41.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+9
41.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 9 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
41.0%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+19
41.0%
Braelon Allen run for 19 yds to the Prdue 8 Braelon Allen fumbled, recovered by WiscSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
41.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+9
41.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
37.2%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0339% → 38%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
38.6%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 18
OWN 13
0
38.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 18
OWN 13
+6
38.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 12
OWN 19
+53
37.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 53 yds , Dean Engram returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 27 Dean Engram fumbled, recovered by WiscSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
38.0%
Braelon Allen run for 12 yds to the Wisc 39 Braelon Allen fumbled, forced by Jamari Brown, recovered by Prdue Cam AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:4040% → 48%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
40.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
40.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 2 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+11
40.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 11 yds to the Wisc 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
41.0%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
47.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 5:0656% → 58%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
43.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 11 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
43.0%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 37Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+25
44.3%
Graham Mertz run for 15 yds to the PURDUE 48 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
42.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+9
42.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
42.2%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+3
42.5%
Brady Schipper run for 3 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+6
43.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 6 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+37
41.9%
Collin Larsh 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4544% → 43%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
43.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 17 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
44.6%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 20
OWN 32
-11
42.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Caesar Williams return for 11 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -8 yds · 1:0260% → 52%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
39.8%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+3
39.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+56
48.0%
Graham Mertz sacked by Jamari Brown for a loss of 10 yards Graham Mertz fumbled, forced by Jamari Brown, recovered by Prdue George Karlaftis , return for 0 yards , return for 56 yds, (Mitchell Fineran PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2250% → 48%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
50.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+2
49.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
50.7%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+11
52.0%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 48 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 11 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1352% → 52%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
52.3%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-3
52.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Spencer Holstege for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 11
OWN 28
-37
52.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted John Torchio return for 37 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FG
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:4850% → 57%
Q2 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
49.9%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
50.1%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
50.3%
Kendric Pryor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+23
42.8%
Collin Larsh 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13END OF HALF
11 plays · 29 yds · 1:5747% → 48%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
47.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 15 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
47.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for no gain to the Prdue 22Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
47.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 5 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+6
47.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
48.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
48.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 13 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
51.1%
PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 25
OWN 31
-1
48.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 26
OWN 30
+4
47.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 22
OWN 34
+2
48.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:5049% → 49%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.4%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
51.0%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
48.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds Payne Durham fumbled, forced by Collin Wilder, recovered by Wisc Collin WilderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3957% → 52%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
42.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Prdue 35 Chez Mellusi fumbled, forced by Jaylan Alexander, recovered by Wisc Josh SeltznerSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-13
41.9%
Graham Mertz sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 13 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 21
OPP 48
+4
45.8%
Brady Schipper run for 4 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
47.8%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 39 yds, downed at the Prdue 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:5349% → 53%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
49.2%
King Doerue run for 7 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 3
OWN 12
0
49.6%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Prdue 12Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+3
48.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 3 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
50.0%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+24
50.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 24 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
53.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
54.2%
Jack Plummer run for 5 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
53.8%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
52.6%
Jack Ansell punt for 46 yds, downed at the Wisc 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
3 plays · 94 yds · 0:5451% → 74%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+70
48.7%
Braelon Allen run for 70 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
42.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+20
26.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 20 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:3033% → 30%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
32.5%
Jack Plummer sacked by Isaiah Mullens for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
32.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
30.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
30.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5573% → 70%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
27.1%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
26.9%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
27.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+7
29.6%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 7 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20INT
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:5232% → 32%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
31.9%
Jack Plummer run for 9 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
33.8%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
32.2%
Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+10
32.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 10 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
34.4%
Jack Plummer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+19
32.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 19 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
33.8%
Austin Burton run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+13
33.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 13 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
35.6%
Jack Plummer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 29Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
34.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kyle Bilodeau for 5 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-5
32.8%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 29Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 11
OPP 29
-10
31.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Collin Wilder return for 10 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:4777% → 93%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
23.4%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+9
22.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
21.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+35
21.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 35 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
19.0%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
6.8%
Braelon Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1611% → 8%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
11.0%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
10.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-7
10.4%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
7.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4893% → 94%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
6.6%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+8
6.5%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
6.6%
John Chenal run for no gain to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
5.8%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds, downed at the Prdue 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
6.5%
Jack Plummer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 21 Jack Plummer fumbled, recovered by Wisc Nick HerbigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5495% → 97%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
4.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+3
4.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-15
4.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 19
OPP 30
+5
4.3%
Brady Schipper run for 5 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 4:06
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+43
3.3%
Collin Larsh 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 3 yds · 1:553% → 2%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.9%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
2.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
2.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
2.9%
PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+6
2.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 19
OWN 27
0
2.7%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 19
OWN 27
-4
2.6%
Jack Plummer sacked by Noah Burks for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 23
OWN 23
+5
2.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:0998% → 98%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 12
OPP 30
-2
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 14
OPP 32
-3
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:06
Chez Mellusi run for 20 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q4 10:13
Braelon Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)
-12.2
SACK · Q2 6:13
Graham Mertz sacked by Jamari Brown for a loss of 10 yards Graham Mertz fumbled, forced by Jamari Brown, recovered by Prdue George Karlaftis , return for 0 yards , return for 56 yds, (Mitchell Fineran PAT MISSED)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com