Try the model
PUR

Purdue 49 at UConn 0

CONN
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:43 · Steven Krajewski pass intercepted return for no gain to the Prdue 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 7:24: Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46 — PUR win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:21: Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 30 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:16: King Doerue run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:29: Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 59 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:35: Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:24CONN 4th & 7 at PUR 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:24CONN 4th & 1 at PUR 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:12CONN 4th & 11 at PUR 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:50CONN 4th & 7 at PUR 32, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:20CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:18CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:13CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 17, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:12CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 25, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:05PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 43, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:22CONN 4th & 5 at PUR 15, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:08PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 48, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:42CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 22, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:50PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 42, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 5:06PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:21PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:16PUR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:29PUR Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:35PUR Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:38PUR Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:12PUR Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:362% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.0%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
2.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
2.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
2.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-1
2.0%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-5
2.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Christian Haynes) to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
2.4%
Haydn Kerr punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5898% → 97%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.4%
Jack Plummer sacked by Ian Swenson for 0 yards to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+6
2.4%
Zander Horvath run for 6 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
2.4%
Jack Plummer sacked by Jackson Mitchell and Eric Watts for 0 yards to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+1
2.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 44 yds , Keelan Marion returns for 1 yd to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3END OF HALF
7 plays · 0 yds · 10:263% → 6%
Q1 10:26
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+11
2.8%
Steven Krajewski run for 11 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
2.8%
Steven Krajewski run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
2.8%
Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
2.8%
Steven Krajewski run for 1 yd to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-2
2.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brian Brewton for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-1
3.4%
Steven Krajewski run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 44 fumbled, recovered by UConnSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
5.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 2:1897% → 97%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
3.3%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+26
3.3%
David Bell run for 26 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
3.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 8 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+3
3.2%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
3.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 17 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:484% → 4%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
3.5%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
3.5%
Steven Krajewski run for 4 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+11
3.4%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jahkai Gill for 11 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
3.6%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 6
50
+4
3.6%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
3.6%
Robert Burns run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
3.6%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-2
3.6%
Steven Krajewski run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+1
3.5%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 1 yd to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
4.1%
Haydn Kerr punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 2:5196% → 97%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
4.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 7 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+4
4.0%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
4.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Dylan Downing for 10 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
4.2%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
4.2%
PURDUE Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on DOWNING, Dylan enforced (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
4.4%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+18
4.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Broc Thompson for 18 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
4.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+11
4.1%
Dylan Downing run for 11 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
3.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 30 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:314% → 4%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
3.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 40 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
4.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
4.1%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+2
4.0%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
4.0%
Joe McFadden 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:3496% → 98%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
3.7%
King Doerue run for 7 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+11
3.6%
King Doerue run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
50
+3
3.6%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+19
3.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 19 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
3.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 20 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
3.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 7 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.1%
King Doerue run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:563% → 3%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brian Brewton for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
2.7%
Nathan Carter run for 9 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
2.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jahkai Gill for 17 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
2.9%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 6
50
-5
2.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+1
2.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
2.8%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
3.1%
Haydn Kerr punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:5198% → 98%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
2.4%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+14
2.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 14 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
2.4%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+59
1.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 59 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:112% → 1%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
1.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
1.7%
Steven Krajewski run for 2 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+8
1.3%
Haydn Kerr punt for 44 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 8 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 1:4398% → 99%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
1.7%
King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+23
1.5%
King Doerue run for 23 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
1.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 13 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
1.5%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
1.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 2 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
1.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 5 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.2%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.2%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:351% → 1%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.9%
Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
0.8%
Robert Burns run for 10 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
0.8%
Robert Burns run for 5 yds to the UConn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 4:1599% → 99%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
0.8%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+12
0.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 12 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
0.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+19
0.8%
Dylan Downing run for 19 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
0.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 13 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
0.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kyle Bilodeau for 2 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+17
0.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 17 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
0.7%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
0.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+5
0.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
0.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 15 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:201% → 0%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
0.5%
Steven Krajewski run for 6 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-5
0.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Dylan Niedrowski) to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-3
0.5%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 18Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-1
0.5%
Steven Krajewski run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 17Similar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+10
0.4%
Haydn Kerr punt for 39 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 10 yds to the UConn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:01100% → 100%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
0.5%
Deion Burks run for 6 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+4
0.5%
Jackson Anthrop run for 4 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
0.5%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+12
0.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 12 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
0.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jack Cravaack for 7 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+7
0.5%
King Doerue run for 7 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
0.5%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
0.5%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
0.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Haydn Kerr punt for 54 yds, downed at the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
0.4%
Austin Burton pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 8 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+11
0.4%
Austin Burton pass complete to Marcellus Moore for 11 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
0.4%
Austin Burton run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-4
0.4%
Austin Burton run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-5
0.4%
PURDUE Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 16
OWN 34
+9
0.4%
Austin Burton pass complete to Dylan Downing for 9 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
0.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Keelan Marion at the UConn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:380% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
0.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
0.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 5 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+2
0.1%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
0.1%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
0.1%
Steven Krajewski run for 7 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+11
0.1%
Robert Burns run for 11 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
0.2%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the right incomplete intended for ROSE, Jay thrown to the PUR20. PENALTY PUR Holding on ROMPHF, Anthony enforced 10 yards from the PUR42 to the PUR32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
0.2%
Nathan Carter run for no gain to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
0.1%
Steven Krajewski run for 12 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
0.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+2
0.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jay Rose for 2 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 5
OPP 15
0
0.1%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 6:14100% → 100%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-10
0.2%
PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Block (Marcellus Moore) to the Prdue 11Similar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 14
OWN 11
+7
0.2%
Austin Burton pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 7 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+2
0.2%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+6
0.2%
Austin Burton run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
0.2%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
0.2%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+2
0.2%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
0.2%
Austin Burton pass complete to Alex Maxwell for 9 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
0.2%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
0.2%
Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-4
0.2%
TJ Sheffield run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
0.2%
Michael Alaimo sacked by Travis Jones for 0 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Brendan Cropsey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Keelan Marion at the UConn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
0.1%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
0.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 2 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+4
0.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Robert Burns for 4 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Haydn Kerr punt for 40 yds , Andrew Sowinski returns for no gain to the Prdue 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.2%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
0.2%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-1
0.2%
Marcellus Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+1
0.1%
Zac Collins punt for 38 yds , Keelan Marion returns for 1 yd to the UConn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
0.1%
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted return for no gain to the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q1 7:24
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46
-2.5
TD · Q2 8:16
King Doerue run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-1.4
TD · Q2 3:29
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 59 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com