Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 0 at Penn State 28

PSU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Beaver Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:34 · Noah Vedral sacked for 0 yards to the PnSt 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior+7.7Home team on offense+28.1Score differential+21.0Garbage-time factor+7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:03: Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 8 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK) — PSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:52: Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 33 — PSU win probability +3.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:32: Parker Washington 17 Yd pass from Christian Veilleux (Jordan Stout Kick) — PSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:13: Christian Veilleux pass complete to Theo Johnson for 3 yds to the PnSt 33 — PSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:31: Christian Veilleux pass complete to Malick Meiga for 67 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK) — PSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9RUTG made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:56PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:12RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:46PSU 4th & 10 at RUTG 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:40RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:16PSU 4th & 6 at RUTG 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:34RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:44PSU 4th & 6 at PSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:08RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:09PSU 4th & 14 at PSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:00RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:30PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:40RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:22RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:00PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:41RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:14PSU 4th & 12 at RUTG 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:52RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−2.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:13RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:34RUTG 4th & 3 at PSU 8, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.9%−2.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:29PSU 4th & 8 at RUTG 17, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 1:03PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:32PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:31PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:32PSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0483% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
82.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 6 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
82.9%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
82.9%
CLIFFORD, Sean pass to the right incomplete intended for DOTSON, Jahan thrown to the PSU47; QB hurried by SINGLETON, Drew. PENALTY PSU Holding on WALLACE, Caedan RUT Holding on YOUNG, Avery , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
82.9%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+12
82.5%
Jordan Stout punt for 52 yds , Bo Melton returns for 12 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4417% → 18%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
82.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
82.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
82.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for no gain to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
82.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2682% → 82%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
82.2%
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+17
82.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Keyvone Lee for 17 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
82.3%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
82.3%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
82.2%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
81.7%
Jordan Stout punt for 38 yds, downed at the Rutgr 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0618% → 19%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
81.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+3
81.7%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 7
-1
81.8%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
81.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2481% → 81%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
81.4%
Keyvone Lee run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
81.4%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
81.3%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
80.6%
Jordan Stout punt for 36 yds, downed at the Rutgr 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4220% → 20%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
80.5%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+9
80.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+2
80.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 2 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
80.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 43 yds, downed at the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5080% → 79%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
80.4%
Sean Clifford run for 4 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
80.6%
Noah Cain run for no gain to the PnSt 44Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
80.3%
Sean Clifford run for no gain to the PnSt 44Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
79.3%
Jordan Stout punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:3621% → 22%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
79.4%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+15
79.3%
VEDRAL, Noah pass to the right incomplete intended for MELTON, Bo thrown to the RUT39. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on PORTER JR., Joey enforced 15 yards to the RUT28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
79.2%
MELTON, Bo rush to the right for a loss of 5 yards to the RUT41 (BROWN, Ji'Ayir), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, RUT Illegal Shift enforced 0 yards PSU Personal Foul on BROWN, Ji'Ayir enforced 0 yards from the RUT23 to the RUT23, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with -5 yards on the play. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
78.9%
VEDRAL, Noah pass to the right complete for 5 yards to MELTON, Bo caught at the RUT42 and advanced to the RUT43, out of bounds. PENALTY PSU Offsides on SMITH, Brandon enforced 5 yards from the RUT38 to the RUT43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+1
78.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
78.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+6
78.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
50
-4
78.5%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 14
OWN 46
0
79.0%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 14
OWN 46
-1
79.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
78.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:5178% → 77%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
78.2%
Keyvone Lee run for 2 yds to the PnSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+14
78.2%
Christian Veilleux run for 14 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
78.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Parker Washington for 15 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
79.1%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-3
78.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Noah Cain for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 40
-5
78.0%
Christian Veilleux run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 39 fumbled, recovered by PnSt Christian VeilleuxSimilar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
76.5%
Jordan Stout punt for 39 yds , Bo Melton returns for no gain to the Rutgr 39 RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Block (Tre Avery) to the Rutgr 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:0923% → 24%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
76.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+18
76.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Victor Konopka for 18 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
76.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 9 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
75.3%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
75.5%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
75.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
75.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 2 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
75.8%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 8
OWN 47
-5
76.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Delay Of Game (Christian Izien) to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
75.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3076% → 74%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
76.3%
Christian Veilleux run for 5 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
77.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+4
76.1%
Christian Veilleux run for 4 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
75.6%
Jordan Stout punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
74.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Ireland Brown) to the Rutgr 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5026% → 26%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 15
OWN 14
0
74.1%
Noah Vedral sacked for 0 yards to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 21
OWN 8
+8
74.7%
Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+12
74.6%
Noah Vedral run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+1
74.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds , Jahan Dotson returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:3776% → 83%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
76.4%
Jahan Dotson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+8
77.2%
Noah Cain run for 8 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
77.5%
Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+12
77.6%
Noah Cain run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Personal Foul (Drew Singleton) to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
78.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Parker Washington for 12 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
78.2%
Christian Veilleux sacked by Tyshon Fogg for 0 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+14
78.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 14 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
78.2%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
77.3%
Christian Veilleux run for no gain to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
83.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 8 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 1:0317% → 17%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.9%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
82.7%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:3819% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
80.8%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
81.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
82.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 74 yds, downed at the PnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2281% → 80%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
81.2%
Keyvone Lee run for 9 yds to the PnSt 16Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+5
81.4%
Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
81.4%
Christian Veilleux run for 5 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
81.6%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
80.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
79.8%
Jordan Stout punt for 41 yds, downed at the Rutgr 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:1920% → 19%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
79.9%
Noah Vedral run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+3
78.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
79.0%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
79.5%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
80.2%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
81.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:2783% → 83%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+30
82.5%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 30 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
84.2%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the PnSt 49Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+13
83.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Parker Washington for 13 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
84.4%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
84.2%
Christian Veilleux run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
82.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
82.6%
Jordan Stout punt for 37 yds, downed at the Rutgr 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2219% → 18%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
80.6%
Aaron Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+2
80.9%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
81.7%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+38
82.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 43 yds RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Motion (Christian Izien) to the Rutgr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:2085% → 93%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
85.4%
Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
85.6%
Christian Veilleux run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
85.6%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+8
85.6%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tyler Warren for 8 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
93.0%
Parker Washington 17 Yd pass from Christian Veilleux (Jordan Stout Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:199% → 8%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+17
91.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aaron Young for 17 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.3%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
90.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
91.3%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+10
91.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds , Jahan Dotson returns for 10 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:4294% → 98%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
93.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Theo Johnson for 3 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+67
98.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Malick Meiga for 67 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:572% → 1%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.9%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
97.8%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
97.8%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
98.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 11 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.3%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
98.3%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+34
98.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 34 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.8%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
98.1%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the PnSt 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+5
98.2%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the PnSt 8Similar
Q4 12:34
4TH & 3
OPP 8
0
98.6%
Noah Vedral sacked for 0 yards to the PnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 5:0299% → 100%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.7%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
98.6%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+11
98.6%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Parker Washington for 11 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.7%
Keyvone Lee run for 4 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
98.7%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Parker Washington for 4 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
98.7%
PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Jahan Dotson) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:34
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+5
98.7%
STOUT, Jordan punt 41 yards to the RUT25 downed by SUTHERLAND, Jonathan. PENALTY RUT Running Into the kicker on MELTON, Max enforced 5 yards from the PSU34 to the PSU39 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Christian Izien) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
98.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+9
98.8%
Christian Veilleux run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
98.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+2
98.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+7
98.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 7 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Keyvone Lee run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25Uncategorized
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
99.9%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the left intercepted by SUTHERLAND, Jonathan at the RUT39 intended for DREMEL, Christian, no return. PENALTY PSU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on SUTHERLAND, Jonathan enforced 15 yards after the change of possession from the RUT39 to the PSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 5:51100% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Mason Stahl run for 2 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Tank Smith run for no gain to the PnSt 48Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+17
99.9%
Mason Stahl run for 17 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Caziah Holmes run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+9
99.9%
Caziah Holmes run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Mason Stahl run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-1
99.9%
Caziah Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Tank Smith run for no gain to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 8
OPP 17
-2
100.0%
Tank Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
100.0%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:32
Parker Washington 17 Yd pass from Christian Veilleux (Jordan Stout Kick)
+7.4
TD · Q2 1:03
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 8 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q3 1:31
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Malick Meiga for 67 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com